GabiDahduh

USD/EUR Analysis / RSI Divergence

FX_IDC:USDEUR   美元/欧元
Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)

_________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________

The USD/EUR pair was down on Friday morning in Asia, and dropped almost 0.96 %, and reached 0.8847, and an RSI Bearish Divergence has been found between the chart and the market.

The USD/EUR was trading in an uptrend channel and today was the breakout down which got a lot of investors worried about how safe is the dollar right now.
But losses were minimized as growing concerns about a newly discovered COVID-19 variant in South Africa.

Possible Scenario for the market :

The market has started dropping rapidly today and brokeout the uptrend channel, looking at the chart we can tell that the Bears are holding control right now which might cause the dollar to even fall even more.
the market is trending near the first support level at 0.8848 where we might see a rebound but so far none of the indicators are showing any Bullish movement,
the drop will probably continue to reach the second resistance level located at 0.8788 or even the 0.8720 level in the next period of time.

Technical Analysis Show :

1) The market dropped below the 5 10 20 MA and EMA indicating a Bearish trend for now, but still above the 50 100 and 200 MA & EMA.
2) The RSI is at 35.90 showing great weakness in the market with a bearish divergence found between the indicator and the market.
3) the MACD line is nearing the 0 line changing from a Bullish to a Bearish market with a Bearish crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line.

Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 0.8843 1) 0.8897
2) 0.8821 2) 0.8929
3) 0.8789 3) 0.8951

Fundamental point of view :

In Europe, a rising number of COVID-19 cases prompted Germany to consider following neighbor Austria’s lead and re-impose a lockdown.
If the COVID-19 situation worsens, then USD/EUR could go down further, but otherwise, the monetary policy divergence is definitely going to be weighing on the EUR in the medium term.

Investors are worried about the state of the dollar and looking forward to other safe-haven assets like Gold or Crypto.

This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!

Thank you for reading.

免责声明

这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。