Gold Bear Case - Wyckoff Distribution Pattern - Posting for fun
This chart is for entertainment purposes only and setups up a possible bear scenario. I'm not an expert at distribution patterns but I thought it would be fun to see if this might fit the pattern.
I don't think gold is excluded from the 'everything bubble' that the Fed is trying to pop. The Fed has been very clear that interest rates are going to go higher and stay higher for a long time. Gold does not yield interest payments and so people are going to put their money in things that do (e.g. treasury bills paying 4-5% for a low risk return).
I would not be surprised to see a large correction in gold to prices below or at $1k.
I'm neither bearish or bullish on gold.
Enjoy.
I don't think gold is excluded from the 'everything bubble' that the Fed is trying to pop. The Fed has been very clear that interest rates are going to go higher and stay higher for a long time. Gold does not yield interest payments and so people are going to put their money in things that do (e.g. treasury bills paying 4-5% for a low risk return).
I would not be surprised to see a large correction in gold to prices below or at $1k.
I'm neither bearish or bullish on gold.
Enjoy.