AUDUSD(20250813)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July remained unchanged from the previous month at 2.7%; the core CPI for July rose to a five-month high of 3.1%. Following the release of these data, traders increased their bets on a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
0.6516
Support and Resistance Levels:
0.6574
0.6552
0.6538
0.6493
0.6479
0.6457
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 0.6538, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 0.6552.
If the price breaks below 0.6516, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 0.6493.
图表形态
GBPUSD(20250813)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July remained unchanged from the previous month at 2.7%; the core CPI for July rose to a five-month high of 3.1%. Following the release of these data, traders increased their bets on a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
1.1656
Support and Resistance Levels:
1.1753
1.1717
1.1693
1.1618
1.1594
1.1558
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 1.1693, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 1.1717.
If the price breaks below 1.1656, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 1.1618
金汇得手:黄金昨日震荡下跌 今日主多辅空操作 美元指数昨天二次上探没新高回落,日线收阴,今日关注98-97.3区间。
黄金昨天早盘3359附近受阻回落,日内来回震荡洗盘,晚间触及3331关键支撑反弹,日线收十字星。今天倾向低多,日线支撑3340附近,触及可以做多。不过凌晨回落的低点在3345附近,如果行情走强会在3345上方运行。上方目标先看3354附近,一旦上破3359昨天高点大概率挡不住,还会去3368甚至3377附近,不破可以继续空。下方如果意外跌破3331,先看3320附近,强支撑3291附近。
操作建议:先跌接近3340多,走强的话3345先多,看破3359。接近3368或3377再空。昨天给出3363空,3342和3331多单。
原油二次上探没新高回落,日线收阴。早盘回落出新低,建议接近62.7不破先空,震荡的话63附近空。目标62.3破位看61.6附近,然后小止损博多。分析仅供参考,实盘为准,注意原油报价未统一。
黄金本周开盘暴跌50美元——逼近流动性区——静待CPI决定下一步走向📌 市场回顾
黄金本周开盘大幅下跌50美元,连续跌破关键趋势线和临近支撑位。
本轮抛压主要来自:
前期涨势后的获利了结
市场预期美元走强,因为CPI数据预测比上期好约0.1%
地缘政治因素:乌克兰–俄罗斯停火谈判接近尾声,触发避险情绪
🧐 接下来怎么走?
如果CPI优于预期 → 美元走强 → 黄金可能进一步下探至333x – 330x 流动性区
如果CPI不及预期 → 美元走弱 → 黄金可能迅速反弹至337x关键价位(此前跌破的区域)回测后再选择方向
🎯 MMFLOW 交易计划
1️⃣ 短线多单(BUY SCALP)
📌 入场:3331 – 3329
📌 止损:3325
📌 止盈:3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
2️⃣ 买入区(BUY ZONE)
📌 入场:3310 – 3308
📌 止损:3304
📌 止盈:3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ???
3️⃣ 短线空单(SELL SCALP)
📌 入场:3363 – 3365
📌 止损:3370
📌 止盈:3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340
4️⃣ 卖出区(SELL ZONE)
📌 入场:3376 – 3378
📌 止损:3382
📌 止盈:3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340
⚠️ 风险提示
CPI将成为市场的“掷骰子”时刻——即使是微小差异,也可能引发大规模止损扫盘。
下单前请务必关注图表上标注的关键价位(KeyLevel)。
After the release of CPI, the short-term gold operation strategyThe CPI data for gold is bullish. Gold has soared directly from around 3340, reaching a high of around 3354 and starting an oscillation mode. Currently, gold is still oscillating around 3349, with strong pressure from above. We will continue to focus on the pressure at 3366 and 3370 to go short and bearish.
日圆多头小心:USD/JPY关键吞噬K线仍未失效尽管近期USD/JPY呈现横向盘整甚至略有反弹,但8月1日出现的「大阴吞噬」K线形态依然值得密切关注。这类形态若出现在关键位置,往往会在图表上留下深远影响,而非昙花一现。
就业数据点燃市场情绪
8月1日(周五)对宏观交易者而言是相当活跃的一天。当日公布的美国非农就业报告逊于预期,导致美元走软,USD/JPY应声大幅回落,并形成经典的「看跌吞噬」K线形态。当日价格从开盘一路下跌,不仅跌破前一日区间,更以下影线极短的阴线收盘,卖方主导气氛明显,吸引了不少技术面交易者的注意。
这个形态为何仍具参考价值?
尽管当前价格尚未明确延续下行趋势,但吞噬K线的「规模」与「位置」依然构成技术层面的重要信号。该形态出现在多个阻力点交汇处,包括一连串的前高、200日简单移动平均线,以及自今年1月高点起锚的VWAP(成交量加权平均价格)。
对于如此强烈的K线型态,价格往往会有一段短期的技术反弹或修正,但这不一定代表趋势反转。吞噬K线的高点经常成为后市的重要关键位,而目前所看到的横向整理,更像是市场在「消化讯号」,而非出现明显的多头转向。短线交易者或许会将这段整理视为多空激战区,而长线参与者则会聚焦于卖方是否能够捍卫8月1日的高点压力位。
若从吞噬K线高点拉至近期盘整低点进行斐波那契回撤分析,目前价格正逼近50%回撤位。若在此位置出现明确卖压,空方可能重新掌握主导权;反之,若价格有效突破,则有机会进一步上探更高压力区。但在此之前,8月1日的看跌吞噬形态仍构成图表上不可忽视的关键,直到其高点被实质性突破之前,该形态仍将压制中期上行预期。
USD/JPY日K线图
过去表现不代表未来结果
放大观察:USD/JPY 日K线图
过去表现不代表未来结果
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8.12比特币行情本文撰写时间13:07
近期由于私事繁忙断更一段时间,大家见谅!即日起将恢复持续更新!
比特币前面下跌至111850位置后持续拉升至目前高点122450位置,未破前高123300;以太坊回调至3353位置后持续拉升至目前高点4370位置,再度突破前高,未破历史高点4877;
日线图上看,比特前面下跌至111850位置是并未跌到支撑位置的,前面一波下跌的支撑是107700,103500区间,没有到达这个区间就走出反弹,说明市场多头是强势的,行情也是表现的多头强势,但比特币上涨并未突破前面高点123300位置,这波反弹的压力位是120850,刺破但收针,这种走势我们能视为压力有效,日线收针并收出阴锤头线,这个信号就是下跌信号,交易上给到信号我们就可以做布局,这波回调不看很深,预计116000-114200区间就好,空单可现价直接119100附近做布局,止损带120800,目标看116000,114200,到达后根据收线情况再来做多布局,自行把握进场机会;
周线上看,以太坊强压4000这里这次被有效突破,前面几次上涨承压并给到不同程度的回调,目前大级别上看以太依旧是处于多头强势,4000这里压力也将变为支撑,日线上以太也是上方收2根阴十字,有回调信号,但行情不走出很大幅度回调,以太的回调需求不大,比特币走出回调以太坊大概也就试探下4000附近就将开始反弹,交易上以太坊回调做多为主,高空为辅,比特币有下跌信号,以太坊可同步比特币进出,现价4315附近可直接进,止损4400,目标4100-4000,到达目标后根据走势多单杀进去,自行把握进场机会;
短线交易,控制风险,盈亏自理;
找股价在ma21以上//@version=5
indicator("Scan: MA5>MA250 & Price ma250 // 长期上升过滤
vol_ok = volume >= ta.sma(volume,20)*0.5 // 流动性过滤(可选)
signal = (ma5 > ma250) and (close < ma21) and ma250_up and vol_ok
plot(signal ? 1 : 0, style=plot.style_columns, title="Signal")
hline(0, color=color.gray)
hline(1, color=color.green)
Crude oil - Sell around 65.00, target 63.00-61.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has recently begun to decline, and selling is still evident. There is still room for selling below this level. Today's strategy is to continue selling on rebounds. If the daily line breaks 63.00, it will continue to decline. If it rebounds, consider selling around 65.00. Without major fundamental support, crude oil will struggle to recover on the daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today, focus on the most important data point this week, the CPI. This economic data has recently seen significant movement, even surpassing the non-farm payroll data.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil - Sell around 65.00, target 63.00-61.00
Gold - Sell around 3362, target 3340-3320Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday's daily close was a large negative candlestick, which wiped out five days of gains. We sold at 3369 yesterday to take profits. Yesterday's close was a clear reversal signal, and the analysis chart also shows a breakout signal. The large negative candlestick pattern on the daily chart reaffirms the sell position. Today's strategy is undoubtedly bearish, and we should continue to sell on rebounds. Today's CPI data is out, and I believe we can still maintain our selling strategy before the data is released. Let's look at the daily chart. The current selling is only short-term, and the long-term direction remains uncertain. The daily chart is still in a wave structure and is still in the process of correction. Its overall direction is unclear. We are just followers, and we need to find its rhythm and follow it, either buying or selling. The 1-hour profit-taking chart shows that 3366 is the first minor resistance level in the Asian session today, and 3362 is the hourly high. We will continue to sell based on this level. The 1-hour high of yesterday's rebound was around 3380, which has become a new strong resistance level. If this level is not broken, it is basically a sell-off. On the contrary, if it unexpectedly breaks, it is necessary to adjust the strategy and rhythm. Gold's recent fundamentals and data have a significant impact on the market, and the buying and selling cycles are very fast.
Support 333 and 3341, resistance 3366 and 3380, and the watershed between strength and weakness is 3362.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today, focus on the most important data this week, CPI. This economic data has recently moved significantly, even surpassing the non-farm payroll data.
Trading Recommendation:
Gold - Sell around 3362, target 3340-3320
Gold prices plummeted! Gold was sold off strongly!Market News:
Spot gold prices fluctuated narrowly in early Asian trading on Tuesday (August 12), currently trading around $3,355 per ounce. Gold prices plummeted on Monday after Trump announced he would not impose tariffs on gold imports, putting significant pressure on London gold prices. The renewed extension of the US-China trade tariff truce, potential progress in Russia-Ukraine peace talks, and market anxiety over upcoming US inflation data have collectively weakened gold's safe-haven appeal, accelerating a price decline and sell-off. Amidst multiple negative headwinds, market attention is turning to the upcoming US inflation data. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday, followed by the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday. These figures will provide key insights into the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. If inflation data falls short of expectations, bets on a rate cut will strengthen, benefiting gold. Conversely, if inflation exceeds expectations, further dollar strength will weigh on international gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Technically, the gold daily chart closed with a single, large, bearish candlestick, breaking below 3345, the low since August 4th. The New York closing price fell below the 10/7-day moving average at 3350. Gold is poised for a short-term correction due to data news. The short-term four-hour moving average formed a downward crossover at 3380, the RSI indicator is trading below its mid-axis, and the Bollinger Bands on the hourly chart are opening downward, with prices trading within the lower mid-range. Looking at the current gold market, yesterday's sharp drop has wiped out the buying advantage created by last week's weekly close. Next, focus on the direction of the market after the major market move: Support in the 3375-3380 area has been broken, and subsequent resistance could continue to be based on the intraday high and last week's high, maintaining a selling strategy. The 3340 area below is a key support level. If this level holds, buying could trigger a rebound at any time. However, if it does, the market will immediately return to selling.
Trading Strategy:
Short-term gold buy at 3332-3335, stop loss at 3324, target at 3360-3380;
Short-term gold sell at 3376-3379, stop loss at 3388, target at 3350-3330;
Key Points:
First Support Level: 3340, Second Support Level: 3333, Third Support Level: 3320
First Resistance Level: 3368, Second Resistance Level: 3381, Third Resistance Level: 3396
XAU/USD(20250812) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The Trump team has included Bowman, Jefferson, and Logan as candidates for Federal Reserve Chairman, and the chairman is expected to be announced this fall.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
3363
Support and Resistance Levels:
3426
3402
3387
3338
3323
3299
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 3363, consider buying, with the first target price at 3387.
If the price breaks below 3338, consider selling, with the first target price at 3323.