USD/JPY(20251211)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
On December 11th, the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.50%-3.75% by a 9-3 vote, marking the third consecutive rate cut at its meeting. The policy statement removed the description of a "low" unemployment rate. The latest dot plot maintains its forecast of a 25 basis point rate cut in 2026. Additionally, the Fed will purchase $40 billion in Treasury bills over the next 30 days, beginning December 12th, to maintain an ample supply of reserves.
Technical News:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
156.24
Support and Resistance Levels:
157.38
156.95
156.68
155.80
155.53
155.10
Trading Strategy:
A break above 156.24 could be a buy signal, with a first target price of 156.68.
A break below 155.80 could be a sell signal, with a first target price of 155.53.
Technical
USD/JPY(20250812)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The Trump team has included Bowman, Jefferson, and Logan as candidates for Federal Reserve Chair, and the nominee is expected to be announced this fall.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
147.90
Support and Resistance Levels:
148.78
148.45
148.24
147.56
147.35
147.01
Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 148.24, consider buying, with the first target price being 148.45.
If the market breaks below 147.90, consider selling, with the first target price being 147.56
Now it is the dawn before the riseYou know that during the last 6 months how it went. The thing I found is that there is a classical wave pattern during the last 6 months' tendency. It's an Elliot ABC wave pattern! and now maybe it is in the triangle fluctuation, which means dawn before the rise again. And you will also want to calculate the possible ceiling floor prices it will hit for this triangle, which is about: (9800-6500) * 0.382 + 6500 = 7700(yesterday it is 7667). But maybe it is just a short back and may go to (9800-6500) * 0.5 + 6500 = 8150 or (9800-6500) * 0.618 + 6500 = 8500. But no matter which price it will hit finally, we probably have reasons to believe that now it is in the fluctuation. :)
So just wait till the price rushes out of the triangle



