LuxyEnergyIndexThe Luxy Energy Index (LEI) library provides functions to measure price movement exhaustion by analyzing three dimensions: Extension (distance from fair value), Velocity (speed of movement), and Volume (confirmation level).
LEI answers a different question than traditional momentum indicators: instead of "how far has price gone?" (like RSI), LEI asks "how tired is this move?"
This library allows Pine Script developers to integrate LEI calculations into their own indicators and strategies.
How to Import
//@version=6
indicator("My Indicator")
import OrenLuxy/LuxyEnergyIndex/1 as LEI
Main Functions
`lei(src)` → float
Returns the LEI value on a 0-100 scale.
src (optional): Price source, default is `close`
Returns : LEI value (0-100) or `na` if insufficient data (first 50 bars)
leiValue = LEI.lei()
leiValue = LEI.lei(hlc3) // custom source
`leiDetailed(src)` → tuple
Returns LEI with all component values for detailed analysis.
= LEI.leiDetailed()
Returns:
`lei` - Final LEI value (0-100)
`extension` - Distance from VWAP in ATR units
`velocity` - 5-bar price change in ATR units
`volumeZ` - Volume Z-Score
`volumeModifier` - Applied modifier (1.0 = neutral)
`vwap` - VWAP value used
Component Functions
| Function | Description | Returns |
|-----------------------------------|---------------------------------|---------------|
| `calcExtension(src, vwap)` | Distance from VWAP / ATR | float |
| `calcVelocity(src)` | 5-bar price change / ATR | float |
| `calcVolumeZ()` | Volume Z-Score | float |
| `calcVolumeModifier(volZ)` | Volume modifier | float (≥1.0) |
| `getVWAP()` | Auto-detects asset type | float |
Signal Functions
| Function | Description | Returns |
|---------------------------------------------|----------------------------------|-----------|
| `isExhausted(lei, threshold)` | LEI ≥ threshold (default 70) | bool |
| `isSafe(lei, threshold)` | LEI ≤ threshold (default 30) | bool |
| `crossedExhaustion(lei, threshold)` | Crossed into exhaustion | bool |
| `crossedSafe(lei, threshold)` | Crossed into safe zone | bool |
Utility Functions
| Function | Description | Returns |
|----------------------------|-------------------------|-----------|
| `getZone(lei)` | Zone name | string |
| `getColor(lei)` | Recommended color | color |
| `hasEnoughHistory()` | Data check | bool |
| `minBarsRequired()` | Required bars | int (50) |
| `version()` | Library version | string |
Interpretation Guide
| LEI Range | Zone | Meaning |
|-------------|--------------|--------------------------------------------------|
| 0-30 | Safe | Low exhaustion, move may continue |
| 30-50 | Caution | Moderate exhaustion |
| 50-70 | Warning | Elevated exhaustion |
| 70-100 | Exhaustion | High exhaustion, increased reversal risk |
Example: Basic Usage
//@version=6
indicator("LEI Example", overlay=false)
import OrenLuxy/LuxyEnergyIndex/1 as LEI
// Get LEI value
leiValue = LEI.lei()
// Plot with dynamic color
plot(leiValue, "LEI", LEI.getColor(leiValue), 2)
// Reference lines
hline(70, "High", color.red)
hline(30, "Low", color.green)
// Alert on exhaustion
if LEI.crossedExhaustion(leiValue) and barstate.isconfirmed
alert("LEI crossed into exhaustion zone")
Technical Details
Fixed Parameters (by design):
Velocity Period: 5 bars
Volume Period: 20 bars
Z-Score Period: 50 bars
ATR Period: 14
Extension/Velocity Weights: 50/50
Asset Support:
Stocks/Forex: Uses Session VWAP (daily reset)
Crypto: Uses Rolling VWAP (50-bar window) - auto-detected
Edge Cases:
Returns `na` until 50 bars of history
Zero volume: Volume modifier defaults to 1.0 (neutral)
Credits and Acknowledgments
This library builds upon established technical analysis concepts:
VWAP - Industry standard volume-weighted price measure
ATR by J. Welles Wilder Jr. (1978) - Volatility normalization
Z-Score - Statistical normalization method
Volume analysis principles from Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) methodology
Disclaimer
This library is provided for **educational and informational purposes only**. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The exhaustion readings are probabilistic indicators, not guarantees of price reversal. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management when trading.
Reversion
VixTrixVixTrix - Because markets move in both directions.
VixTrix was born from a fundamental limitation in traditional volatility indicators: they only measure downside panic, completely missing the greed-driven extremes that form market tops.
How It Works:
Dual-Component Analysis:
vixBear = Panic selling intensity (distance from recent highs)
vixBull = FOMO buying intensity (distance from recent lows)
Oscillator = vixBear - vixBull = Net fear/greed imbalance
When the oscillator is positive, fear dominates (potential bottom forming). When negative, greed dominates (potential top forming).
Professional-Grade Filtering:
The magic happens with the symmetric RMS (Root Mean Square) bands. Unlike fixed percentage bands or standard deviation, RMS:
Creates mathematically symmetric positive/negative thresholds
Naturally adapts to changing volatility regimes
Provides statistical significance to extremes
VixTrix also adds selectable MA smoothing for the RMS calculation:
WMA (default): Balanced – middle-ground approach
VWMA: Volume-weighted – filters low-volume noise
EMA: Responsive – catches quick reversals
SMA: Stable – for swing trading
HMA: Fast and smooth – ideal for day trading
Signals require triple confirmation:
Statistical Extreme: Oscillator beyond RMS band
Price Action Confirmation: Correct candle color (bullish for bottoms, bearish for tops)
Momentum Continuation: Oscillator still moving toward extreme (exhaustion)
This multi-filter approach reduces premature entries and false signals while maintaining early positioning at potential reversal points.
Why This Matters for Your Trading:
In bull markets, traditional fear indicators sit near zero, giving no warning of impending tops.
VixTrix identifies when greed becomes excessive – when FOMO buying reaches statistical extremes that often precede corrections.
In range-bound markets, VixTrix excels at identifying overreactions in both directions, providing high-probability mean reversion opportunities.
During crashes, it captures the panic selling with the same precision as VixFix, but with better timing through its momentum confirmation.
VixTrix spots continuations through:
"No Signal" = Healthy Trend – Oscillator stays between RMS bands (no exhaustion)
Failed Extremes – Touches band but no triple confirmation = trend likely continues
Hidden Divergence – Price makes higher low while oscillator makes shallower low = uptrend continues
Controlled Emotions – Oscillator negative but not extreme in uptrends (greed present but not excessive)
Key Insight: When VixTrix doesn't give a signal during a pullback, institutions aren't panicking – they're just pausing before resuming the trend.
Green columns = Bullish exhaustion (potential bottoms)
Red columns = Bearish exhaustion (potential tops)
Golden RMS bands = Dynamic thresholds adapting to current volatility
Background highlights = Active signal conditions
The Result: A professional-grade oscillator that works in all market conditions – trending up, trending down, or ranging – by measuring the complete emotional spectrum driving price action.
Luxy VWAP Magic - MTF Projection EngineThis indicator transforms the classic VWAP into a comprehensive trading system. Instead of switching between multiple indicators, you get everything in one place: multi-timeframe analysis, statistical bands, momentum detection, volume profiling, session tracking, and divergence signals.
What Makes This Different
Traditional VWAP indicators show a single line. This tool treats VWAP as a foundation for complete market analysis. The indicator automatically detects your asset type (stocks, crypto, forex, futures) and adjusts its behavior accordingly. Crypto traders get 24/7 session tracking. Stock traders get proper market hours handling. Everyone gets institutional-grade analytics.
Anchor Period Options
The anchor period determines when VWAP resets and recalculates. You have three categories of options:
Time-Based Anchors:
Session - Resets at market open. Best for intraday stock trading where you want fresh VWAP each day.
Day - Resets at midnight UTC. Standard option for most traders.
Week / Month / Quarter / Year - Longer reset periods for swing traders and position traders who want broader context.
Rolling Window Anchors:
Rolling 5D - A sliding 5-day window that never resets. Solves the Monday problem where weekly VWAP equals daily VWAP on first day of week.
Rolling 21D - Approximately one month of trading data in continuous calculation. Excellent for crypto and forex markets that trade 24/7 without clear session breaks.
Event-Based Anchors:
Dividends - Resets on ex-dividend dates. Track institutional cost basis from dividend events.
Splits - Resets on stock split dates. Useful for analyzing post-split trading behavior.
Earnings - Resets on earnings report dates. See where volume-weighted trading occurred since last quarterly report.
Standard Deviation Bands
Three sets of bands surround the main VWAP line:
Band 1 (Aqua) - Plus and minus one standard deviation. Approximately 68% of price action occurs within this range under normal distribution. Touches suggest minor extension.
Band 2 (Fuchsia) - Plus and minus two standard deviations. Only 5% of trading should occur outside this range statistically. Touches here indicate significant overextension and high probability of mean reversion.
Band 3 (Purple) - Plus and minus three standard deviations. Touches are rare (0.3% probability) and represent extreme conditions. Often marks climax moves or panic selling/buying.
Each band can be toggled independently. Most traders show Band 1 by default and add Band 2 and 3 for specific setups or volatile instruments.
Multi-Timeframe VWAP System
The MTF section plots previous period VWAPs as horizontal support and resistance levels:
Daily VWAP - Previous day's final VWAP value. Key intraday reference level.
Weekly VWAP - Previous week's final VWAP. Important for swing traders.
Monthly VWAP - Previous month's final VWAP. Institutional benchmark level.
Quarterly VWAP - Previous quarter's final VWAP. Major support/resistance for position traders.
Previous Day VWAP - Yesterday's closing VWAP specifically, separate from current daily calculation.
The Confluence Zone percentage setting determines how close multiple VWAPs must be to trigger a confluence alert. When two or more timeframe VWAPs converge within this threshold, you get a high-probability support/resistance zone.
Session VWAPs for Global Markets
For forex, crypto, and futures traders who operate in 24/7 markets, the indicator tracks three major global sessions:
Asia Session - UTC 21:00 to 08:00. Gold colored line. Typically lower volatility, range-bound action that sets overnight levels.
London Session - UTC 08:00 to 17:00. Orange colored line. Often determines daily direction with high volume European participation.
New York Session - UTC 13:00 to 22:00. Blue colored line. Highest volume session globally. Sharp directional moves common.
Previous session VWAP values display as horizontal lines when each session closes, acting as intraday support and resistance. The table shows which sessions are currently active with checkmarks.
On-Chart Labels and Signals
The indicator plots several types of labels directly on price action when significant events occur:
Volume Spike Labels
Fire when current bar volume exceeds configurable thresholds relative to both the previous bar and the 20-bar average. Default settings require 300% of previous bar AND 200% of average volume. Green labels indicate bullish candles. Red labels indicate bearish candles. These spikes often mark institutional entry points.
Momentum Shift Labels
Appear when VWAP acceleration changes direction. The Slowing label warns when an active trend loses steam, often preceding reversal. The Accelerating label confirms trend continuation or potential bottom during downtrends. Filters available to show only reversal signals in existing trends.
VWAP Squeeze Labels
Detect when standard deviation bands contract relative to ATR (Average True Range). Low volatility compression often precedes explosive breakout moves. When the squeeze fires (releases), a label appears with directional prediction based on VWAP slope.
Divergence Labels
Mark price/volume divergences using CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) analysis:
Bullish divergence: Price makes lower low, but CVD makes higher low. Hidden accumulation despite price weakness.
Bearish divergence: Price makes higher high, but CVD makes lower high. Hidden distribution despite price strength.
Dynamic VWAP Coloring
The main VWAP line changes color based on its slope direction:
Green - VWAP is rising. Institutional buying pressure. Volume-weighted price increasing.
Red - VWAP is falling. Institutional selling pressure. Volume-weighted price decreasing.
Gray - VWAP is flat. Consolidation or balance between buyers and sellers.
This coloring can be disabled for a static blue line if you prefer cleaner visuals. The VWAP label next to the line shows the current trend direction and delta percentage.
Calculated Projection Cone
One of the most powerful features is the Calculated Projection Cone. Unlike traditional extrapolation methods that simply extend a trend line forward, this system analyzes what actually happened in similar market conditions throughout the chart's history.
How It Works:
The system classifies each bar into one of 27 unique market states:
Z-Score Level - LOW (oversold), MID (fair value), or HIGH (overbought) based on configurable thresholds
Trend Direction - DOWN, FLAT, or UP based on VWAP slope
Volume Profile - LOW (below 80%), NORMAL (80-150%), or HIGH (above 150%) relative volume
When you look at the current bar, the indicator:
1. Identifies the current market state (e.g., LOW Z-Score + UP Trend + HIGH Volume)
2. Searches through all historical bars on the chart that had the same state
3. Calculates what happened in those bars X bars later (where X is your projection horizon)
4. Shows you the probability of up/down and the average move size
Visual Elements:
Probability Cone - Colored green (bullish probability above 55%), red (bearish below 45%), or gold (neutral). The cone width represents the historical range of outcomes (roughly the 20th to 80th percentile).
Center Line - Shows the average expected price based on historical outcomes in similar conditions.
Probability Label - Displays direction probability and average move. Example: "67% UP (+0.8%)" means 67% of similar past cases moved up, averaging 0.8% gain.
Fallback System:
When the exact 27-state match has insufficient historical data:
First fallback: Uses Z-Score plus Trend only (9 broader states, ignoring volume)
Second fallback: Uses Z-Score only (3 states)
When fallback is active, confidence automatically adjusts
Settings:
Projection Horizon - How many bars forward to analyze outcomes (5, 10, 15, or 20 bars, default 10)
Lookback Period - Historical data window in days (30-252, default 60)
Minimum Samples - Cases needed before using fallback (5-30, default 10)
Z-Score Threshold - Bucket boundary for LOW/MID/HIGH classification (1.0, 1.5, or 2.0 sigma)
Cloud Transparency - Adjust visibility (50-95%)
Colors - Customize bullish, bearish, and neutral cone colors
Confidence Levels:
HIGH - 30 or more similar historical cases found
MEDIUM - 15-29 similar cases
LOW - Fewer than 15 cases (more uncertainty)
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
The Calculated Projection is based on past patterns only. It is NOT a price prediction or financial advice. Similar market states in the past do not guarantee similar outcomes in the future. The probability shown is historical frequency, not a guarantee. Always combine with other analysis and never rely solely on projections for trading decisions.
Alert Conditions
The indicator includes over 20 pre-built alert conditions:
Price vs VWAP:
Price crosses above VWAP
Price crosses below VWAP
Band Touches:
Price touches plus or minus one sigma band
Price touches plus or minus two sigma band (extreme)
Price touches plus or minus three sigma band (very extreme)
Z-Score Extremes:
Z-Score crosses above plus two (overbought extreme)
Z-Score crosses below minus two (oversold extreme)
Momentum and Trend:
Momentum slowing
Momentum accelerating
Trend turns bullish/bearish/neutral
Volume:
Volume spike detected
CVD Direction:
Buyers take control
Sellers take control
High Probability Signals:
Bullish reversal signal (oversold plus accelerating momentum)
Bearish reversal signal (overbought plus slowing momentum)
MTF and Special:
MTF confluence zone entry
VWAP squeeze fired
Bullish/Bearish divergence detected
Any significant signal (catch-all)
All signals use confirmed bar data to prevent false alerts from incomplete candles.
Settings Overview
Settings are organized into logical groups:
VWAP Settings
Anchor Period selection
Show/Hide VWAP line
Dynamic coloring toggle
VWAP label visibility
Bands Visibility
Toggle each of three bands independently
Info Table
Show/Hide table
Table position (9 options)
Text size
Volume spike label settings with adjustable thresholds
Momentum label settings with filters
Signal labels limited to 5 most recent (auto-managed)
Probability engine lookback period
Multi-Timeframe VWAP
Enable/Disable MTF system
Show MTF in table
Show MTF lines on chart
Individual timeframe toggles
Confluence zone threshold
Squeeze detection toggle
Session VWAPs
Enable/Disable session tracking
Apply to all assets option
Show session labels
Divergence Detection
Enable/Disable divergence
Pivot lookback period
Show divergence labels
Calculated Projection
Enable/Disable projection cone
Projection horizon (5, 10, 15, or 20 bars)
Lookback period in days (30-252)
Minimum samples threshold
Z-Score classification threshold (1.0, 1.5, or 2.0 sigma)
Cloud transparency adjustment
Bullish, bearish, and neutral colors
The Info Table - Your Trading Dashboard
The right side of your chart displays a compact table with up to twelve metrics.
Row-by-Row Breakdown:
Asset and Period - Shows what the indicator detected (US Stock, Crypto, Forex, etc.) and your selected anchor period. The detection happens automatically based on exchange data, so VWAP resets and calculations match your actual trading instrument.
Delta Percentage - How far current price sits from VWAP, expressed as a percentage. Positive means price trades above fair value. Negative means below. Large delta values (beyond 1-2%) often precede mean reversion moves. Day traders watch this for overextension.
Z-Score - Statistical deviation from VWAP measured in standard deviations. Unlike raw delta, Z-Score accounts for volatility. A 2% move in a volatile biotech stock differs from 2% in a stable utility. Z-Score normalizes this. Values beyond plus or minus two sigma occur only 5% of the time statistically.
Trend Direction - Whether VWAP itself is rising, falling, or flat. Rising VWAP means the volume-weighted average price is increasing, which indicates institutional accumulation. Falling VWAP suggests distribution. This differs from price trend since it weights by volume.
Momentum State - Is the trend accelerating or slowing down? This measures the rate of change in VWAP slope. When an uptrend shows slowing momentum, it often precedes reversal. Accelerating momentum in a downtrend can signal capitulation and potential bottom.
Relative Volume - Current bar volume compared to the 20-bar average, shown as percentage. Values above 150% indicate above-average activity. Spikes above 200-300% often mark institutional involvement. Low volume (below 80%) warns of potential fake moves.
MTF Bias - Four checkmarks or X marks showing whether price sits above or below Daily, Weekly, Monthly, and Quarterly VWAP. Four checkmarks means strong bullish alignment across all timeframes. Four X marks indicates bearish alignment. Mixed readings suggest consolidation or transition.
Band Probabilities - Historical statistics showing how often price touched each standard deviation band over your lookback period. This helps you understand if mean reversion or trend following works better for your specific instrument.
Session Status - Which global trading sessions are currently active (Asia, London, New York). Shows checkmarks for active sessions. Important for forex and crypto traders who need to know when major liquidity windows open and close.
Divergence State - Whether the indicator detects bullish or bearish divergence between price and cumulative volume delta. Bullish divergence occurs when price makes lower lows but buying pressure (CVD) makes higher lows, suggesting hidden accumulation.
Confidence Score - A weighted composite of all factors displayed as a progress bar and percentage. Combines MTF alignment, Z-Score, trend direction, volume delta, momentum, and relative volume into a single 0-100 score. Higher scores indicate stronger conviction setups.
Calculated Projection - When the Projection Cone is enabled, shows the historical probability of price direction and expected move. For example: "▲ 67% (+0.8%)" means in similar market states historically, price moved up 67% of the time with an average gain of 0.8%. The system analyzes 27 unique market states based on Z-Score, Trend, and Volume conditions.
Recommended Use Cases
Day Trading Stocks:
Use Session anchor with Band 1 visible. Watch for price returning to VWAP after morning move. Volume spikes near VWAP often mark institutional accumulation zones.
Swing Trading:
Use Weekly or Rolling 21D anchor. Enable MTF lines for Daily and Weekly levels. Trade pullbacks to these levels in direction of MTF bias.
Crypto and Forex:
Enable Session VWAPs. Use Rolling anchors to avoid artificial resets. Monitor session transitions for breakout opportunities.
Mean Reversion:
Focus on Z-Score reaching plus or minus two. Add Band 2 visibility. Combine with slowing momentum for highest probability reversals.
Trend Following:
Watch MTF bias alignment. Four checkmarks plus accelerating momentum plus high volume confirms trend continuation setups.
Projection Planning:
Enable the Calculated Projection to see what happened historically in similar market conditions. Use 5-10 bars for intraday setups, 15-20 bars for swing trade planning. Focus on high probability readings (above 60%) with HIGH confidence (30 or more samples). The cone shows the probable range of outcomes based on actual historical data. Combine with other factors like MTF alignment and volume for higher conviction setups.
Important Notes
The indicator does not repaint. MTF values use previous period's confirmed data.
Rolling VWAP works best on 15-minute timeframes and above due to bar lookback requirements.
Session VWAPs apply to global markets by default (forex, crypto, futures). Enable the all-assets option for stocks if desired.
Volume data for forex represents tick volume, not actual traded volume.
All alert conditions fire only on confirmed (closed) bars to prevent false signals.
The Calculated Projection updates each bar as market state changes. This is expected behavior. The projection shows probabilities based on similar past conditions, not a fixed prediction.
Q AND A
Q: Does this indicator repaint?
A: No. The main VWAP calculation uses standard TradingView VWAP methodology. Multi-timeframe values use previous period's confirmed data with appropriate lookahead settings. All alert signals require bar confirmation.
Q: Why does my Rolling VWAP look different on 1-minute versus 15-minute charts?
A: Rolling VWAP calculates across a fixed number of trading days. On very short timeframes, the bar lookback may hit TradingView limits. For best Rolling VWAP accuracy, use 15-minute or higher timeframes.
Q: Can I use this on any instrument?
A: Yes. The indicator automatically detects asset type and adjusts behavior. Stocks use standard market hours. Crypto uses 24/7 calculations. Forex uses tick volume. Everything adapts automatically.
Q: What does the Confidence Score actually measure?
A: The score combines six weighted factors: MTF alignment (25%), Z-Score position (20%), Trend direction (20%), CVD pressure (15%), Momentum state (10%), and Relative volume (10%). Higher scores indicate more factors aligned in one direction.
Q: Why are Session VWAPs not showing on my stock chart?
A: Session VWAPs apply to 24-hour markets by default (forex, crypto, futures). For stocks, enable the Use for All Assets option in Session VWAP settings.
Q: The Divergence labels appear delayed. Is this a bug?
A: Divergence detection requires pivot confirmation, which needs bars on both sides of the pivot point. The label appears at the actual pivot location (several bars back) once confirmed. This is intentional and prevents false signals.
Q: Can I change the band colors?
A: Yes. Each of the three bands has its own color input setting. You can customize Band 1, Band 2, and Band 3 colors to match your preferences. The defaults are Aqua, Fuchsia, and Purple. The main VWAP line color adapts dynamically based on slope direction or can be set to static blue.
Q: How do I set up alerts?
A: Right-click on the chart, select Add Alert, choose this indicator, and select your desired condition from the dropdown. All conditions include descriptive alert messages with relevant data.
Q: What is the Probability Engine lookback period?
A: This setting determines how many trading days the indicator analyzes to calculate band touch rates and mean reversion statistics. Default is 60 days (approximately 3 months). Longer periods provide more stable statistics but may miss recent behavior changes.
Q: Why do I see fewer labels than expected?
A: Signal labels (Volume, Momentum, Squeeze, Divergence) are limited to 5 most recent labels on the chart to keep it clean. When a new label appears, the oldest one is automatically removed. Additionally, momentum labels have several filters: check the slope multiplier setting (higher values require stronger trends) and the Only Reversal Signals option (when enabled, labels only appear for potential reversals, not trend confirmations).
Q: What is the Calculated Projection and how accurate is it?
A: The Calculated Projection analyzes what happened in past market conditions similar to the current state. It classifies each bar by Z-Score level, Trend direction, and Volume profile (27 unique states), then shows the historical probability of up vs down and the average move size. It is NOT a price prediction or guarantee. The probability shown is how often similar conditions led to up/down moves historically, not a future guarantee. Always use it as one input among many.
Q: Why does the Projection probability change?
A: The projection updates on each bar as market state changes. If Z-Score moves from LOW to MID, or trend shifts from UP to FLAT, the system looks up a different historical category. This is expected behavior. The projection shows what happened in similar past conditions to the current bar's state.
Q: The Projection shows LOW confidence. What does that mean?
A: Confidence levels indicate sample size: HIGH means 30 or more historical cases found, MEDIUM means 15-29 cases, LOW means fewer than 15 cases. When sample size is low, the system uses a fallback: first aggregating by Z-Score plus Trend only (ignoring volume), then by Z-Score only. LOW confidence means less statistical reliability, so weight other factors more heavily in your decision.
Q: Why does the cone sometimes show 50/50 probability?
A: A 50/50 reading means that in similar past market states, price moved up roughly half the time and down half the time. This indicates a neutral or balanced condition where historical patterns provide no directional edge. Consider waiting for a higher probability setup or using other analysis methods.
CREDITS AND ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Methodology Foundation:
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) - Standard institutional benchmark calculation, widely used since the 1980s for algorithmic execution and fair value assessment
Standard Deviation Bands - Statistical volatility measurement applying normal distribution principles to price deviation from mean
Z-Score Analysis - Classic statistical normalization technique for comparing values across different volatility regimes
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) - Order flow analysis concept measuring aggressive buying versus selling pressure
Concept Integration:
Mean reversion probability engine - Custom historical statistics tracking for band touch rates
Momentum acceleration detection - Second derivative analysis of VWAP slope changes
VWAP Squeeze - Volatility compression concept adapted from TTM Squeeze methodology applied to VWAP bands versus ATR
Confidence scoring system - Weighted composite scoring combining multiple technical factors
Calculated Projection Cone - Probability-based projection using 27-state market classification (Z-Score, Trend, Volume) with historical outcome analysis and weighted fallback system
All calculations use standard public domain formulas and TradingView built-in functions. No proprietary third-party code was used.
For questions, feedback, or feature requests, please comment below or send a private message.
Happy Trading!
Profitable Pair Correlation Divergence Scanner v6This strategy identifies divergence opportunities between two correlated assets using a combination of Z-Score spread analysis, trend confirmation, RSI & MACD momentum checks, correlation filters, and ATR-based stop-loss/take-profit management. It’s optimized for positive P&L and realistic trade execution.
Key Features:
Pair Divergence Detection:
Measures deviation between returns of two assets and identifies overbought/oversold spread conditions using Z-Score.
Trend Alignment:
Trades only in the direction of the primary asset’s trend using a fast EMA vs slow EMA filter.
Momentum Confirmation:
Confirms trades with RSI and MACD to reduce false signals.
Correlation Filter:
Ensures the pair is strongly correlated before taking trades, avoiding noisy signals.
Risk Management:
Dynamic ATR-based stop-loss and take-profit ensures proper reward-to-risk ratio.
Exit Conditions:
Automatically closes positions when Z-Score normalizes, or ATR-based exits are hit.
How It Works:
Calculate Returns:
Computes returns for both assets over the selected timeframe.
Z-Score Spread:
Calculates the spread between returns and normalizes it using moving average and standard deviation.
Trend Filter:
Only takes long trades if the fast EMA is above the slow EMA, and short trades if the fast EMA is below the slow EMA.
Momentum Confirmation:
Confirms trade direction with RSI (>50 for longs, <50 for shorts) and MACD alignment.
Correlation Check:
Ensures the pair’s recent correlation is strong enough to validate divergence signals.
Trade Execution:
Opens positions when Z-Score crosses thresholds and all conditions align. Positions close when Z-Score normalizes or ATR-based SL/TP is hit.
Plot Explanation:
Z-Score: Blue line shows divergence magnitude.
Entry Levels: Red/Green lines mark long/short thresholds.
Exit Zone: Gray lines show normalization zone.
EMA Trend Lines: Purple (fast), Orange (slow) for trend alignment.
Correlation: Teal overlay shows current correlation strength.
Usage Tips:
Use highly correlated pairs for best results (e.g., EURUSD/GBPUSD).
Run on higher timeframe charts (1h or 4h) to reduce noise.
Adjust ATR multiplier based on volatility to avoid premature stops.
Combine with alerts for automated notifications or webhook execution.
Conclusion:
The Profitable Pair Correlation Divergence Scanner v6 is designed for traders who want systematic, low-risk, positive P&L trading opportunities with minimal manual monitoring. By combining trend alignment, momentum confirmation, correlation filters, and dynamic exits, it reduces false signals and improves execution reliability.
Run it on TradingView and watch how it captures divergence opportunities while maintaining positive P&L across trades.
Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion using RSI [Krishna Peri]How it Works
Long entries trigger when:
- RSI reaches oversold levels, and
- At least one bullish candle closes inside the lower Bollinger Band
Short entries trigger when:
- RSI reaches overbought levels, and
- At least one bearish candle closes inside the upper Bollinger Band
This approach aims to capture exhaustion moves where price pushes into extreme deviation from its mean and then snaps back toward the middle band.
Important Disclaimer
This is a mean-reversion strategy, which means it performs best in sideways, ranging, or slowly oscillating market conditions. When markets shift into strong trends, Bollinger Bands expand and volatility increases, which may cause some signals to become inaccurate or fail altogether.
For best results, combine this script with:
- Price action
- Market structure
- Higher-timeframe trend context
- Previous day/week/month highs & lows
- Untested liquidity levels or imbalance zones
- Session timing (Asia, London, NY)
Using these confluences helps filter out low-probability trades and significantly improves consistency and precision.
Bottom Up - Reverso ProReverso Pro by Bottom Up - Excess is the signal. Reversion is the edge.
Reverso is a mean reverting indicator that identifies market excesses and signals reversals for highly probable retracements to an average value.
Reverso's algorithm is extremely precise because it also takes into account the historical volatility of the instrument and constantly recalibrates itself dynamically without repainting.
This tool is suitable for mean-reversion traders who want to study EMA reactions, understand market trends, and refine entry/exit strategies based on price-memory dynamics.
Why Reverso Pro is different (This isn’t just another indicator)
Zero repainting – What you see is what you get. No tricks, no redraws, ever.
Dynamically adapts to the historical volatility of the instrument — works the same on Forex, stocks, indices, or some random crypto.
Constant real-time recalibration — adjusts instantly to volatility regime changes.
Fully adjustable sensitivity — From machine-gun signals for brutal scalping to only the most extreme deviations for monster-probability swing trades.
Native multi-timeframe control — Choose the timeframe used for signal calculation (5 min, 1H, daily, or custom). Reverso bends to your style.
When a Reverso signal fires:
Price has reached a statistically extreme deviation from its historical memory.
The probability of a snapback to the mean is at its peak.
It’s time to go counter-trend with the lowest risk and the highest reward possible.
Customization Options
You can use it on any timeframe and instrument.
You can customize also the timeframe over which the signals are processed to suit very fast scalping trading or to intercept slower and longer movements for swing trading.
The sensitivity of the indicator can also be customized to emit multiple signals or identify only the most extreme levels of deviation from the mean.
Add to chart. Turn on alerts. Happy trading!
Bottom Up - The Ecosystem Designed for Traders
bottomup.finance
Stochastic Hash Strat [Hash Capital Research]# Stochastic Hash Strategy by Hash Capital Research
## 🎯 What Is This Strategy?
The **Stochastic Slow Strategy** is a momentum-based trading system that identifies oversold and overbought market conditions to capture mean-reversion opportunities. Think of it as a "buy low, sell high" approach with smart mathematical filters that remove emotion from your trading decisions.
Unlike fast-moving indicators that generate excessive noise, this strategy uses **smoothed stochastic oscillators** to identify only the highest-probability setups when momentum truly shifts.
---
## 💡 Why This Strategy Works
Most traders fail because they:
- **Chase prices** after big moves (buying high, selling low)
- **Overtrade** in choppy, directionless markets
- **Exit too early** or hold losses too long
This strategy solves all three problems:
1. **Entry Discipline**: Only trades when the stochastic oscillator crosses in extreme zones (oversold for longs, overbought for shorts)
2. **Cooldown Filter**: Prevents revenge trading by forcing a waiting period after each trade
3. **Fixed Risk/Reward**: Pre-defined stop-loss and take-profit levels ensure consistent risk management
**The Math Behind It**: The stochastic oscillator measures where the current price sits relative to its recent high-low range. When it's below 25, the market is oversold (time to buy). When above 70, it's overbought (time to sell). The crossover with its moving average confirms momentum is shifting.
---
## 📊 Best Markets & Timeframes
### ⭐ OPTIMAL PERFORMANCE:
**Crude Oil (WTI) - 12H Timeframe**
- **Why it works**: Oil markets have predictable volatility patterns and respect technical levels
**AAVE/USD - 4H to 12H Timeframe**
- **Why it works**: DeFi tokens exhibit strong momentum cycles with clear extremes
### ✅ Also Works Well On:
- **BTC/USD** (12H, Daily) - Lower frequency but high win rate
- **ETH/USD** (8H, 12H) - Balanced volatility and liquidity
- **Gold (XAU/USD)** (Daily) - Classic mean-reversion asset
- **EUR/USD** (4H, 8H) - Lower volatility, requires patience
### ❌ Avoid Using On:
- Timeframes below 4H (too much noise)
- Low-liquidity altcoins (wide spreads kill performance)
- Strongly trending markets without pullbacks (Bitcoin in 2021)
- News-driven instruments during major events
---
## 🎛️ Understanding The Settings
### Core Stochastic Parameters
**Stochastic Length (Default: 16)**
- Controls the lookback period for price comparison
- Lower = faster reactions, more signals (10-14 for volatile markets)
- Higher = smoother signals, fewer trades (16-21 for stable markets)
- **Pro tip**: Use 10 for crypto 4H, 16 for commodities 12H
**Overbought Level (Default: 70)**
- Threshold for short entries
- Lower values (65-70) = more trades, earlier entries
- Higher values (75-80) = fewer but higher-conviction trades
- **Sweet spot**: 70 works for most assets
**Oversold Level (Default: 25)**
- Threshold for long entries
- Higher values (25-30) = more trades, earlier entries
- Lower values (15-20) = fewer but stronger bounce setups
- **Sweet spot**: 20-25 depending on market conditions
**Smooth K & Smooth D (Default: 7 & 3)**
- Additional smoothing to filter out whipsaws
- K=7 makes the indicator slower and more reliable
- D=3 is the signal line that confirms the trend
- **Don't change these unless you know what you're doing**
---
### Risk Management
**Stop Loss % (Default: 2.2%)**
- Automatically exits losing trades
- Should be 1.5x to 2x your average market volatility
- Too tight = death by a thousand cuts
- Too wide = uncontrolled losses
- **Calibration**: Check ATR indicator and set SL slightly above it
**Take Profit % (Default: 7%)**
- Automatically exits winning trades
- Should be 2.5x to 3x your stop loss (reward-to-risk ratio)
- This default gives 7% / 2.2% = 3.18:1 R:R
- **The golden rule**: Never have R:R below 2:1
---
### Trade Filters
**Bar Cooldown Filter (Default: ON, 3 bars)**
- **What it does**: Forces you to wait X bars after closing a trade before entering a new one
- **Why it matters**: Prevents emotional revenge trading and overtrading in choppy markets
- **Settings guide**:
- 3 bars = Standard (good for most cases)
- 5-7 bars = Conservative (oil, slow-moving assets)
- 1-2 bars = Aggressive (only for experienced traders)
**Exit on Opposite Extreme (Default: ON)**
- Closes your long when stochastic hits overbought (and vice versa)
- Acts as an early profit-taking mechanism
- **Leave this ON** unless you're testing other exit strategies
**Divergence Filter (Default: OFF)**
- Looks for price/momentum divergences for additional confirmation
- **When to enable**: Trending markets where you want fewer but higher-quality trades
- **Keep OFF for**: Mean-reverting markets (oil, forex, most of the time)
---
## 🚀 Quick Start Guide
### Step 1: Set Up in TradingView
1. Open TradingView and navigate to your chart
2. Click "Pine Editor" at the bottom
3. Copy and paste the strategy code
4. Click "Add to Chart"
5. The strategy will appear in a separate pane below your price chart
### Step 2: Choose Your Market
**If you're trading Crude Oil:**
- Timeframe: 12H
- Keep all default settings
- Watch for signals during London/NY overlap (8am-11am EST)
**If you're trading AAVE or crypto:**
- Timeframe: 4H or 12H
- Consider these adjustments:
- Stochastic Length: 10-14 (faster)
- Oversold: 20 (more aggressive)
- Take Profit: 8-10% (higher targets)
### Step 3: Wait for Your First Signal
**LONG Entry** (Green circle appears):
- Stochastic crosses up below oversold level (25)
- Price likely near recent lows
- System places limit order at take profit and stop loss
**SHORT Entry** (Red circle appears):
- Stochastic crosses down above overbought level (70)
- Price likely near recent highs
- System places limit order at take profit and stop loss
**EXIT** (Orange circle):
- Position closes either at stop, target, or opposite extreme
- Cooldown period begins
### Step 4: Let It Run
The biggest mistake? **Interfering with the system.**
- Don't close trades early because you're scared
- Don't skip signals because you "have a feeling"
- Don't increase position size after a big win
- Don't revenge trade after a loss
**Follow the system or don't use it at all.**
---
### Important Risks:
1. **Drawdown Pain**: You WILL experience losing streaks of 5-7 trades. This is mathematically normal.
2. **Whipsaw Markets**: Choppy, range-bound conditions can trigger multiple small losses.
3. **Gap Risk**: Overnight gaps can cause your actual fill to be worse than the stop loss.
4. **Slippage**: Real execution prices differ from backtested prices (factor in 0.1-0.2% slippage).
---
## 🔧 Optimization Guide
### When to Adjust Settings:
**Market Volatility Increased?**
- Widen stop loss by 0.5-1%
- Increase take profit proportionally
- Consider increasing cooldown to 5-7 bars
**Getting Too Few Signals?**
- Decrease stochastic length to 10-12
- Increase oversold to 30, decrease overbought to 65
- Reduce cooldown to 2 bars
**Getting Too Many Losses?**
- Increase stochastic length to 18-21 (slower, smoother)
- Enable divergence filter
- Increase cooldown to 5+ bars
- Verify you're on the right timeframe
### A/B Testing Method:
1. **Run default settings for 50 trades** on your chosen market
2. Document: Win rate, profit factor, max drawdown, emotional tolerance
3. **Change ONE variable** (e.g., oversold from 25 to 20)
4. Run another 50 trades
5. Compare results
6. Keep the better version
**Never change multiple settings at once** or you won't know what worked.
---
## 📚 Educational Resources
### Key Concepts to Learn:
**Stochastic Oscillator**
- Developed by George Lane in the 1950s
- Measures momentum by comparing closing price to price range
- Formula: %K = (Close - Low) / (High - Low) × 100
- Similar to RSI but more sensitive to price movements
**Mean Reversion vs. Trend Following**
- This is a **mean reversion** strategy (price returns to average)
- Works best in ranging markets with defined support/resistance
- Fails in strong trending markets (2017 Bitcoin, 2020 Tech stocks)
- Complement with trend filters for better results
**Risk:Reward Ratio**
- The cornerstone of profitable trading
- Winning 40% of trades with 3:1 R:R = profitable
- Winning 60% of trades with 1:1 R:R = breakeven (after fees)
- **This strategy aims for 45% win rate with 2.5-3:1 R:R**
### Recommended Reading:
- *"Trading Systems and Methods"* by Perry Kaufman (Chapter on Oscillators)
- *"Mean Reversion Trading Systems"* by Howard Bandy
- *"The New Trading for a Living"* by Dr. Alexander Elder
---
## 🛠️ Troubleshooting
### "I'm not seeing any signals!"
**Check:**
- Is your timeframe 4H or higher?
- Is the stochastic actually reaching extreme levels (check if your asset is stuck in middle range)?
- Is cooldown still active from a previous trade?
- Are you on a low-liquidity pair?
**Solution**: Switch to a more volatile asset or lower the overbought/oversold thresholds.
---
### "The strategy keeps losing money!"
**Check:**
- What's your win rate? (Below 35% is concerning)
- What's your profit factor? (Below 0.8 means serious issues)
- Are you trading during major news events?
- Is the market in a strong trend?
**Solution**:
1. Verify you're using recommended markets/timeframes
2. Increase cooldown period to avoid choppy markets
3. Reduce position size to 5% while you diagnose
4. Consider switching to daily timeframe for less noise
---
### "My stop losses keep getting hit!"
**Check:**
- Is your stop loss tighter than the average ATR?
- Are you trading during high-volatility sessions?
- Is slippage eating into your buffer?
**Solution**:
1. Calculate the 14-period ATR
2. Set stop loss to 1.5x the ATR value
3. Avoid trading right after market open or major news
4. Factor in 0.2% slippage for crypto, 0.1% for oil
---
## 💪 Pro Tips from the Trenches
### Psychological Discipline
**The Three Deadly Sins:**
1. **Skipping signals** - "This one doesn't feel right"
2. **Early exits** - "I'll just take profit here to be safe"
3. **Revenge trading** - "I need to make back that loss NOW"
**The Solution:** Treat your strategy like a business system. Would McDonald's skip making fries because the cashier "doesn't feel like it today"? No. Systems work because of consistency.
---
### Position Management
**Scaling In/Out** (Advanced)
- Enter 50% position at signal
- Add 50% if stochastic reaches 10 (oversold) or 90 (overbought)
- Exit 50% at 1.5x take profit, let the rest run
**This is NOT for beginners.** Master the basic system first.
---
### Market Awareness
**Oil Traders:**
- OPEC meetings = volatility spikes (avoid or widen stops)
- US inventory reports (Wed 10:30am EST) = avoid trading 2 hours before/after
- Summer driving season = different patterns than winter
**Crypto Traders:**
- Monday-Tuesday = typically lower volatility (fewer signals)
- Thursday-Sunday = higher volatility (more signals)
- Avoid trading during exchange maintenance windows
---
## ⚖️ Legal Disclaimer
This trading strategy is provided for **educational purposes only**.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
- Trading involves substantial risk of loss
- Only trade with capital you can afford to lose
- No one associated with this strategy is a licensed financial advisor
- You are solely responsible for your trading decisions
**By using this strategy, you acknowledge that you understand and accept these risks.**
---
## 🙏 Acknowledgments
Strategy development inspired by:
- George Lane's original Stochastic Oscillator work
- Modern quantitative trading research
- Community feedback from hundreds of backtests
Built with ❤️ for retail traders who want systematic, disciplined approaches to the markets.
---
**Good luck, stay disciplined, and trade the system, not your emotions.**
Order-Flow Proxy (VWAP Deviation Zones)Order-Flow Proxy (VWAP Deviation Zones) helps traders visualize when market price moves unusually far away from its Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) — a key fair-value level used by institutional participants.
When price stretches too far above or below VWAP, it often signals temporary imbalance between buying and selling pressure.
This tool highlights those moments using simple color zones and an optional statistical Z-Score filter for deeper precision.
In short: it’s a clean, minimal mean-reversion indicator showing when price is statistically “too far” from fair value.
Red zone → Price extended above VWAP → possible buyer exhaustion or short setup.
Green zone → Price extended below VWAP → possible seller exhaustion or long setup.
VWAP line → Acts as a dynamic fair-value anchor.
Concept:
VWAP combines both price and traded volume to define where most transactions occurred.
Deviations from it — measured either by a fixed distance (1%) or by Z-Score — can reveal overvaluation or undervaluation zones used by professional traders for contrarian setups.
How to use:
Apply the indicator to any intraday chart (1m–1h recommended).
Watch for background color shifts — red or green.
Optionally enable the Z-Score filter to focus only on statistically extreme deviations.
Combine with volume spikes, liquidity sweeps, or your own order-flow tools for confirmation.
Tip:
Best used as a visual overlay for detecting stretched markets and potential reversals.
Reversals & Pullbacks PRO🚀 Reversals & Pullbacks Pro — Predict Market Turning Points with Precision
Stop chasing trends — start anticipating them.
The Reversals & Pullbacks Pro indicator identifies high-probability reversal and pullback zones before they happen, using advanced mean reversion logic and momentum change signals.
What it does:
✅ Detects major reversals and minor pullbacks in real time
✅ Uses dynamic mean reversion algorithms to spot over-extended price moves
✅ Highlights premium entry zones for counter-trend and trend-reversal setups
✅ Works across many markets — Designed for Forex and Indices but can be used on Crypto
✅ Clean visuals with smart alerts (no repainting after candle close)
💡 Perfect for:
Swing traders, scalpers, and day traders who want to catch price turning points before everyone else.
⏱️ Don’t react — predict.
Upgrade your trading with Reversals & Pullback Pro and trade market reversals like a PRO!
VWAP Entry Assistant (v1.0)Description:
Anchored VWAP with a lightweight assistant for VWAP reversion trades.
It shows the distance to VWAP, an estimated hit probability for the current bar, the expected number of bars to reach VWAP, and a recommended entry price.
If the chance of touching VWAP is low, the script suggests an adjusted limit using a fraction of ATR.
The VWAP line is white by default, and a compact summary table appears at the bottom-left.
Educational tool. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with TradingView or any exchange. Always backtest before use.
Volume Delta [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
The Volume Delta indicator visualizes the dominance between buying and selling volume within a given period. It calculates the percentage of bullish (buy) versus bearish (sell) volume, then color-codes the candles and provides a real-time dashboard comparing delta values across multiple currency pairs. This makes it a powerful tool for monitoring order-flow strength and intermarket relationships in real time.
🔵 CONCEPTS
Each bar’s buy volume is counted when the close is higher than the open.
Each bar’s sell volume is counted when the close is lower than the open.
volumeBuy = 0.
volumeSell = 0.
for i = 0 to period
if close > open
volumeBuy += volume
else
volumeSell += volume
The indicator sums both over a chosen period to calculate the ratio of buy-to-sell pressure.
Delta (%) = (Buy Volume ÷ (Buy Volume + Sell Volume)) × 100.
Gradient colors highlight whether buying or selling pressure dominates.
🔵 FEATURES
Calculates real-time Volume Delta for the selected chart or for multiple assets.
Colors candles dynamically based on the delta intensity (green = buy pressure, red = sell pressure).
Displays a dashboard table showing volume delta % for up to five instruments.
The dashboard features visual progress bars for quick intermarket comparison.
An optional Delta Bar Panel shows the ratio of Buy/Sell volumes near the latest bar.
A floating label shows the exact Buy/Sell percentages.
Works across all symbols and timeframes for multi-asset delta tracking.
🔵 HOW TO USE
When Buy % > Sell % , it often signals bullish momentum or strong accumulation—but can also indicate over-excitement and a possible market top.
Market Tops
When Sell % > Buy % , it typically reflects bearish pressure or distribution—but may also occur near a market bottom where selling exhaustion forms.
Market Bottom
Use the Dashboard to compare volume flow across correlated assets (e.g., major Forex pairs or sector groups).
Combine readings with trend or volatility filters to confirm whether the imbalance aligns with broader directional conviction.
Treat the Delta Bar visualization as a real-time sentiment gauge—showing which side (buyers or sellers) dominates the current session.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Volume Delta transforms volume analysis into an intuitive directional signal.
By quantifying buy/sell pressure and displaying it as a percentage or color gradient, it provides traders with a clearer picture of real-time volume imbalance — whether within one market or across multiple correlated instruments.
Trend Catcher and Mean ReversionPlease DM if you want to use this strategy.
it took long time to make this code profitable using 3 parameters only!
it allow you to:
1- Pyramid as you see fit.
2- allow option to use trend catching strategy ( while keeping mean reversion strategy)
3- Time filter to limit trading and exit at your preferred time.
4- it works for long, short or both positions.
5- has trailing tp as an option as well while keeping initial sl as hard stop
6- tp multiple (of stop loss) is optional
ongoing working for alerts and automation. More on that for subscribers only.
i will charge the minimum fee to utilize this code as we don't need your money but we need people to support our vision.
Cointegration IndicationThis indicator is inspired by Nobel Prize–winning research (Engle & Granger, 1987). The core idea is simple but powerful: even if two markets look noisy on their own, their relationship can be surprisingly stable over the long run. When they drift apart, history suggests they often snap back together and that’s exactly where opportunities arise.
What this tool does is bring that theory into practice. It estimates a long-run equilibrium between two assets (Y ~ α + βX), calculates the residual spread (ε), and then evaluates whether that spread behaves in a mean-reverting way. The Z-Score tells you when the spread has moved far from its historical mean. The Error Correction Model (ECM) adds a second layer: it checks whether the spread tends to close again, and how strong that adjustment pressure is. If λ is negative and stable, the relationship is cointegrated and mean-reverting. If not, the pair is unstable — even if the Z-Score looks attractive.
Signals are summarized clearly:
– Strong Setup appears when we see both extreme divergence and a stable, negative λ.
– Weak Setup means only partial confirmation.
– Invalid means the relationship is breaking down.
Why this matters
Cointegration analysis is widely used by institutional desks, especially in pairs trading, statistical arbitrage, and risk management. Classic cases include equity index futures vs ETFs (Alexander, 2001), oil vs energy stocks (Chen & Huang, 2010), or swap spreads in fixed income (Tsay, 2010). In crypto, temporary cointegration has been observed between BTC and ETH in periods of high liquidity (Corbet et al., 2018). With this indicator, you can explore these relationships directly on TradingView, test asset pairs, and see when divergences become statistically significant.
Limitations to keep in mind
– Timeframe choice matters: Daily calculations are usually more stable; weekly or intraday often show unstable signals. To avoid confusion, you can fix the calculation timeframe in the settings.
– Cointegration is not permanent. Structural breaks (earnings, regulation, macro shifts) can destroy old relationships.
– Results are approximate. Rolling regressions, Z-Scores, and ECM estimates are sensitive to the length of the chosen windows.
– This is a research tool — not a ready-made trading system. It should be used as one piece in a broader framework.
References
Alexander, C. (2001). Market models: A guide to financial data analysis. Wiley.
Chen, S. S., & Huang, C. W. (2010). Long-run equilibrium and short-run dynamics in energy stock prices and oil prices. Energy Economics, 32(1), 19–26.
Corbet, S., Meegan, A., Larkin, C., Lucey, B., & Yarovaya, L. (2018). Exploring the dynamic relationships between cryptocurrencies and other financial assets. Economics Letters, 165, 28–34.
Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276.
Tsay, R. S. (2010). Analysis of financial time series (3rd ed.). Wiley.
20 MA ReversionA mean reversion tactic with the 20 SMA:
the indicator is chcking specific parameters, such as the volume related to the last day's volume, distance from 20 SMA, CCI values and changes, trends, and recent gaps that will act as a magnet.
enjoy!
Monthly VWAPDescription
This indicator identifies potential mean reversion opportunities by tracking price deviations from monthly VWAP with dynamic volatility-adjusted thresholds.
Core Logic:
The indicator monitors when price moves significantly away from monthly VWAP and looks for potential reversal opportunities. It uses ATR-based dynamic thresholds that adapt to current market volatility, combined with volume confirmation to filter out weak signals.
Key Features:
Adaptive Thresholds: ATR-based bands that adjust to market volatility
Volume Confirmation: Requires average volume spike to validate signals
Monthly Reset: VWAP anchors reset each month for fresh reference levels
Visual Clarity: Color-coded deviation line with background highlights for active signals
Info Panel: Shows days from anchor and current price context vs fair value
Signal Generation:
Buy Signal: Price below monthly VWAP by threshold amount with elevated volume
Sell Signal: Price above monthly VWAP by threshold amount with elevated volume
Neutral: Price within threshold range or insufficient volume
Best Used For:
Mean reversion strategies in ranging markets
Identifying potential oversold/overbought conditions
Understanding price position relative to monthly fair value
Mean-Reversion Indicator_V2_SamleeOverview
This is the second version of my mean reversion indicator. It combines a moving average with adaptive standard deviation bands to detect when the price deviates significantly from its mean. The script provides automatic entry/exit signals, real-time PnL tracking, and shaded trade zones to make mean reversion trading more intuitive.
Core Logic
Mean benchmark: Simple Moving Average (MA).
Volatility bands: Standard deviation of the spread (close − MA) defines upper and lower bands.
Trading rules:
Price breaks below the lower band → Enter Long
Price breaks above the upper band → Enter Short
Price reverts to MA → Exit position
What’s different vs. classic Bollinger/Keltner
Bandwidth is based on the standard deviation of the price–MA spread, not raw closing prices.
Entry signals use previous-bar confirmation to reduce intrabar noise.
Exit rule is a mean-touch condition, rather than fixed profit/loss targets.
Enhanced visualization:
A shaded box dynamically shows the distance between entry and current/exit price, making it easy to see profit/loss zones over the holding period.
Instant PnL labels display current position side (Long/Short/Flat) and live profit/loss in both pips and %.
Entry and exit points are clearly marked on the chart with labels and exact prices.
These visualization tools go beyond what most indicators provide, giving traders a clearer, more practical view of trade evolution.
Key Features
Automatic detection of position status (Long / Short / Flat).
Chart labels for entries (“Entry”) and exits (“Exit”).
Real-time floating PnL calculation in both pips and %.
Info panel (top-right) showing entry price, current price, position side, and PnL.
Dynamic shading between entry and current/exit price to visualize profit/loss zones.
Usage Notes & Risk
Mean reversion may underperform in strong trending markets; parameters (len_ma, len_std, mult) should be validated per instrument and timeframe.
Works best on relatively stable, mean-reverting pairs (e.g., AUDNZD).
Risk management is essential: use independent stop-loss rules (e.g., limit risk to 1–2% of equity per trade).
This script is provided for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
Mean Reversion Channel [QuantAlgo]🟢 Overview
The Mean Reversion Channel indicator is a range-bound trading system that combines dynamic price channels with momentum-weighted analysis to identify optimal mean reversion opportunities. It creates adaptive upper and lower reversion zones based on recent price action and volatility, while incorporating a momentum-biased equilibrium line that shifts based on volume-weighted price momentum. This creates a three-tier system where traders and investors can identify overbought and oversold conditions within established ranges, detect momentum exhaustion points, and anticipate channel breakouts or breakdowns. This indicator is particularly valuable for strategic dollar cost averaging (DCA) strategies, as it helps identify optimal accumulation zones during oversold conditions and provides tactical risk management levels for systematic investment approaches across different market conditions and asset classes.
🟢 How It Works
The indicator employs a four-stage calculation process that transforms raw price and volume data into actionable mean reversion signals. First, it establishes the base channel by calculating the highest high and lowest low over a user-defined lookback period, creating the foundational price range for mean reversion analysis. This channel adapts continuously as new price data becomes available, ensuring the system remains relevant to current market conditions.
In the second stage, the system calculates volume-weighted momentum by combining price momentum with volume activity. The momentum calculation takes the price change over a specified period and multiplies it by the volume ratio (current volume versus 20-period average volume, for instance) and a volume factor multiplier. This creates momentum readings that are more significant during high-volume periods and less influential during low-volume conditions.
The third stage creates the dynamic reversion zones using Average True Range (ATR) calculations. The upper reversion zone is positioned below the channel high by an ATR-based distance, while the lower reversion zone is positioned above the channel low. These zones contract when momentum is negative (upper zone) or positive (lower zone), creating asymmetric reversion bands that adapt to momentum conditions.
The final stage establishes the momentum-biased equilibrium line by calculating the midpoint between the reversion zones and adjusting it based on momentum bias. When momentum is positive, the equilibrium shifts upward; when negative, it shifts downward. This creates a dynamic reference level that helps identify when price action is moving against the prevailing momentum trend, signaling potential mean reversion opportunities.
🟢 How to Use
1. Mean Reversion Signal Identification
Lower Reversion Zone Signals: When price reaches or falls below the lower reversion zone with bearish momentum, the system generates potential long/buy entry signals indicating oversold conditions within the established range.
Upper Reversion Zone Signals: When price reaches or exceeds the upper reversion zone with bullish momentum, the system generates potential short/sell entry signals indicating overbought conditions.
2. Equilibrium Line Analysis and Momentum Exhaustion
Equilibrium Breaks: The dynamic equilibrium line serves as a momentum bias indicator within the channel. Price crossing above equilibrium suggests shifting to bullish bias, while breaks below indicate bearish bias development within the mean reversion framework.
Momentum Exhaustion Signals: The system identifies momentum exhaustion when price breaks through the equilibrium line opposite to the prevailing momentum direction. Bullish exhaustion occurs when price falls below equilibrium despite positive momentum, while bearish exhaustion happens when price rises above equilibrium during negative momentum periods.
3. Channel Expansion and Breakout Detection
Channel Boundary Breaks: When price breaks above the upper reversion zone or below the lower reversion zone, it signals potential channel expansion or false breakout conditions. These events often precede significant trend changes or range expansion phases.
Range Expansion Alerts: Breaks above the channel high or below the channel low indicate potential breakout from the mean reversion range, suggesting trend continuation or new directional movement beyond the established boundaries.
🟢 Pro Tips for Trading and Investing
→ Strategic DCA Optimization: Use the lower reversion zone as primary accumulation levels for dollar cost averaging strategies. When price reaches oversold conditions with bearish momentum exhaustion signals, it often represents optimal entry points for systematic investment programs, allowing investors to accumulate positions at statistically favorable price levels within the established range.
→ DCA Pause and Acceleration Signals : Monitor equilibrium line breaks to adjust DCA frequency and amounts. When price consistently trades below equilibrium with momentum exhaustion signals, consider accelerating DCA intervals or increasing investment amounts. Conversely, when price reaches upper reversion zones, consider pausing or reducing DCA activity until more favorable conditions return.
→ Momentum Divergence Detection: Watch for divergences between price action and momentum readings within the channel. When price makes new lows but momentum shows improvement, or price makes new highs with deteriorating momentum, these signal high-probability mean reversion setups ideal for contrarian investment approaches.
→ Alert-Based Systematic Investing/Trading: Utilize the comprehensive alert system for automated DCA triggers. Set up alerts for lower reversion zone touches combined with momentum exhaustion signals to create systematic entry points that remove emotional decision-making from long-term investment strategies, particularly effective for volatile assets where timing improvements can significantly impact overall returns.
Mean Reversion IndicatorMean Reversion Indicator
This indicator generates buy and sell signals based on a mean reversion framework.
Buy signals appear when price conditions suggest oversold levels with confirmation filters applied.
Sell signals appear when price conditions suggest overbought levels or profit-taking opportunities.
Includes background shading to highlight the backtest window.
Alerts are available for both Buy and Sell signals, so users can receive notifications in real-time.
⚠️ This indicator is for analysis and alerts only. It does not include strategy backtesting or trade execution.
Mean Reversion & Momentum Hybrid | D_QUANT 📌 Mean Reversion & Momentum Hybrid | D_QUANT
📖 Description:
This indicator combines mean reversion logic, volatility filtering, and percentile-based momentum to deliver clear, context-aware buy/sell signals designed for trend-following and contrarian setups.
At its core, it merges:
A Bollinger Band % Positioning Model (BB%)
A 75th/25th Percentile Momentum System
A Volatility-Adjusted Trend Filter using RMA + ATR
All tied together with a dynamic gradient-style oscillator that visualizes signal strength and persistence over time — making it easy to track high-conviction setups.
Signals only trigger when all three core components align, filtering out noise and emphasizing high-probability turning points or trend continuations.
⚙️ Methodology Overview:
Bollinger Bands % (BB%):
Price is measured as a percentage between upper and lower Bollinger Bands (based on OHLC4). Entries are only considered when price exceeds custom BB% thresholds — emphasizing market extremes.
Volatility-Based Trend Filter (RMA + ATR):
A smoothed RMA baseline is paired with ATR to define trend bias. This ensures signals only occur when price deviates meaningfully beyond recent volatility.
Percentile Momentum Model (75th/25th Rank):
Price is compared against its rolling 75th and 25th percentile. If price breaks these statistical boundaries (adjusted by ATR), it triggers a directional momentum condition.
Signal Consensus Engine:
All three layers must agree — BB% condition, trend filter, and percentile momentum — before a buy or sell signal is plotted.
Gradient Oscillator Visualization:
Signals appear as a fading oscillator line with a gradient-filled area beneath it. The color intensity represents how “fresh” or “strong” the signal is, fading over time if not reconfirmed, offering both clarity and signal aging at a glance.
🔧 User Inputs:
🧠 Core Settings:
Source: Select the price input (default: close)
Bollinger Bands Length: Period for BB basis and deviation
Bollinger Bands Multiplier: Width of the bands
Minimum BB Width (% of Price): Prevents signals during low-volatility chop
📊 BB% Thresholds:
BB% Long Threshold (L): Minimum %B to consider a long
BB% Short Threshold (S): Maximum %B to consider a short
🔍 Trend Filter Parameters:
RMA Length: Period for the smoothed trend baseline
ATR Length: Lookback for ATR in trend deviation filter
⚡️ Momentum Parameters:
Momentum Length: Period for percentile momentum calculation
Mult_75 / Mult_25: ATR-adjusted thresholds for breakout above/below percentile levels
🎨 Visualization:
Bar Coloring: Highlights candles during active signals
Background Coloring: Optional background shading for signals
Show Oscillator Plot: Toggle the gradient-style oscillator
🧪 Use Case:
This indicator works well across all assets for trend identification. It is particularly effective when used on higher timeframes (e.g. 12H, 1D,2D) to capture mean reversion bounces or confirm breakouts backed by percentile momentum and volatility expansion.
⚠️ Notes:
This is not financial advice. Use in combination with proper risk management and confluence from other tools.
Buy The Dip - ENGThis script implements a grid trading strategy for long positions in the USDT market. The core idea is to place a series of buy limit orders at progressively lower prices below an initial entry point, aiming to lower the average entry price as the price drops. It then aims to exit the entire position when the price rises a certain percentage above the average entry price.
Here's a detailed breakdown:
1. Strategy Setup (`strategy` function):
`'거미줄 자동매매 250227'`: The name of the strategy.
`overlay = true`: Draws plots and labels directly on the main price chart.
`pyramiding = 15`: Allows up to 15 entries in the same direction (long). This is essential for grid trading, as it needs to open multiple buy orders.
`initial_capital = 600`: Sets the starting capital for backtesting to 600 USDT.
`currency = currency.USDT`: Specifies the account currency as USDT.
`margin_long/short = 0`: Doesn't define specific margin requirements (might imply spot trading logic or rely on exchange defaults if used live).
`calc_on_order_fills = false`: Strategy calculations happen on each bar's close, not just when orders fill.
2. Inputs (`input`):
Core Settings:
`lev`: Leverage (default 10x). Used to calculate position sizes.
`Investment Percentage %`: Percentage of total capital to allocate to the initial grid (default 80%).
`final entry Percentage %`: Percentage of the *remaining* capital (100 - `Investment Percentage %`) to use for the "semifinal" entry (default 50%). The rest goes to the "final" entry.
`Price Adjustment Length`: Lookback period (default 4 bars) to determine the initial `maxPrice`.
`price range`: The total percentage range downwards from `maxPrice` where the grid orders will be placed (default -10%, meaning 10% down).
`tp`: Take profit percentage above the average entry price (default 0.45%).
`semifinal entry price percent`: Percentage drop from `maxPrice` to trigger the "semifinal" larger entry (default -12%).
`final entry price percent`: Percentage drop from `maxPrice` to trigger the "final" larger entry (default -15%).
Rounding & Display:
`roundprice`, `round`: Decimal places for rounding price and quantity calculations.
`texts`, `label_style`: User interface preferences for text size and label appearance on the chart.
Time Filter:
`startTime`, `endTime`: Defines the date range for the backtest.
3. Calculations & Grid Setup:
`maxPrice`: The highest price point for the grid setup. Calculated as the lowest low of the previous `len` bars only if no trades are open. If trades are open, it uses the entry price of the very first order placed in the current sequence (`strategy.opentrades.entry_price(0)`).
`minPrice`: The lowest price point for the grid, calculated based on `maxPrice` and `range1`.
`totalCapital`: The amount of capital (considering leverage and `per1`) allocated for the main grid orders.
`coinRatios`: An array ` `. This defines the *relative* size ratio for each of the 11 grid orders. Later orders (at lower prices) will be progressively larger.
`totalRatio`: The sum of all ratios (66).
`positionSizes`: An array calculated based on `totalCapital` and `coinRatios`. It determines the actual quantity (size) for each of the 11 grid orders.
4. Order Placement Logic (`strategy.entry`):
Initial Grid Orders:
Runs only if within the specified time range and no position is currently open (`strategy.opentrades == 0`).
A loop places 11 limit buy orders (`Buy 1` to `Buy 11`).
Prices are calculated linearly between `maxPrice` and `minPrice`.
Order sizes are taken from the `positionSizes` array.
Semifinal & Final Entries:
Two additional, larger limit buy orders are placed simultaneously with the grid orders:
`semifinal entry`: At `maxPrice * (1 - semifinal / 100)`. Size is based on `per2`% of the capital *not* used by the main grid (`1 - per1`).
`final entry`: At `maxPrice * (1 - final / 100)`. Size is based on the remaining capital (`1 - per2`% of the unused portion).
5. Visualization (`line.new`, `label.new`, `plot`, `plotshape`, `plotchar`):
Grid Lines & Labels:
When a position is open (`strategy.opentrades > 0`), horizontal lines and labels are drawn for each of the 11 grid order prices and the "final" entry price.
Lines extend from the bar where the *first* entry occurred.
Labels show the price and planned size for each level.
Dynamic Coloring: If the price drops below a grid level, the corresponding line turns green, and the label color changes, visually indicating that the level has been reached or filled.
Plotted Lines:
`maxPrice` (initial high point for the grid).
`strategy.position_avg_price` (current average entry price of the open position, shown in red).
Target Profit Price (`strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + tp / 100)`, shown in green).
Markers:
A flag marks the `startTime`.
A rocket icon (`🚀`) appears below the bar where the `final entry` triggers.
A stop icon (`🛑`) appears below the bar where the `semifinal entry` triggers.
6. Exit Logic (`strategy.exit`, `strategy.entry` with `qty=0`):
Main Take Profit (`Full Exit`):
Uses `strategy.entry('Full Exit', strategy.short, qty = 0, limit = target2)`. This places a limit order to close the entire position (`qty=0`) at the calculated take profit level (`target2 = avgPrice * (1 + tp / 100)`). Note: Using `strategy.entry` with `strategy.short` and `qty=0` is a way to close a long position, though `strategy.exit` is often clearer. This exit seems intended to apply whenever any part of the grid position is open.
First Order Trailing Stop (`1st order Full Exit`):
Conditional: Only active if `trail` input is true AND the *last* order filled was "Buy 1" (meaning only the very first grid level was entered).
Uses `strategy.exit` with `trail_points` and `trail_offset` based on ATR values to implement a trailing stop loss/profit mechanism for this specific scenario.
This trailing stop order is cancelled (`strategy.cancel`) if any subsequent grid orders ("Buy 2", etc.) are filled.
Final/Semifinal Take Profit (`final Full Exit`):
Conditional: Only active if more than 11 entries have occurred (meaning either the "semifinal" or "final" entry must have triggered).
Uses `strategy.exit` to place a limit order to close the entire position at the take profit level (`target3 = avgPrice * (1 + tp / 100)`).
7. Information Display (Tables & UI Label):
`statsTable` (Top Right):
A comprehensive table displaying grouped information:
Market Info (Entry Point, Current Price)
Position Info (Avg Price, Target Price, Unrealized PNL $, Unrealized PNL %, Position Size, Position Value)
Strategy Performance (Realized PNL $, Realized PNL %, Initial/Total Balance, MDD, APY, Daily Profit %)
Trade Statistics (Trade Count, Wins/Losses, Win Rate, Cumulative Profit)
`buyAvgTable` (Bottom Left):
* Shows the *theoretical* entry price and average position price if trades were filled sequentially up to each `buy` level (buy1 to buy10). It uses hardcoded percentage drops (`buyper`, `avgper`) based on the initial `maxPrice` and `coinRatios`, not the dynamically changing actual average price.
`uiLabel` (Floating Label on Last Bar):
Updates only on the most recent bar (`barstate.islast`).
Provides real-time context when a position is open: Size, Avg Price, Current Price, Open PNL ($ and %), estimated % drop needed for the *next* theoretical buy (based on `ui_gridStep` input), % rise needed to hit TP, and estimated USDT profit at TP.
Shows "No Position" and basic balance/trade info otherwise.
In Summary:
This is a sophisticated long-only grid trading strategy. It aims to:
1. Define an entry range based on recent lows (`maxPrice`).
2. Place 11 scaled-in limit buy orders within a percentage range below `maxPrice`.
3. Place two additional, larger buy orders at deeper percentage drops (`semifinal`, `final`).
4. Calculate the average entry price as orders fill.
5. Exit the entire position for a small take profit (`tp`) above the average entry price.
6. Offer a conditional ATR trailing stop if only the first order fills.
7. Provide extensive visual feedback through lines, labels, icons, and detailed information tables/UI elements.
Keep in mind that grid strategies can perform well in ranging or slowly trending markets but can incur significant drawdowns if the price trends strongly against the position without sufficient retracements to hit the take profit. The leverage (`lev`) input significantly amplifies both potential profits and losses.
Directional Market Efficiency [QuantAlgo]🟢 Overview
The Directional Market Efficiency indicator is an advanced trend analysis tool that measures how efficiently price moves in a given direction relative to the total price movement over a specified period. Unlike traditional momentum oscillators that only measure price change magnitude, this indicator combines efficiency measurement with directional bias to provide a comprehensive view of market behavior ranging from -1 (perfectly efficient downward movement) to +1 (perfectly efficient upward movement).
The indicator transforms the classic Efficiency Ratio concept by incorporating directional bias, creating a normalized oscillator that simultaneously reveals trend strength, direction, and market regime (trending vs. ranging). This dual-purpose functionality helps traders and investors identify high-probability trend continuation opportunities while filtering out choppy, inefficient price movements that often lead to false signals and whipsaws.
🟢 How It Works
The indicator employs a sophisticated two-step calculation process that first measures pure efficiency, then applies directional weighting to create the final signal. The efficiency calculation compares the absolute net price change over a lookback period to the sum of all individual bar-to-bar price movements during that same period. This ratio reveals how much of the total price movement contributed to actual progress in a specific direction.
The directional component applies the mathematical sign of the net price change (positive for upward movement, negative for downward movement) to the efficiency ratio, creating values between -1 and +1. The resulting Directional Efficiency is then smoothed using an Exponential Moving Average to reduce noise while maintaining responsiveness. Additionally, the system incorporates a configurable threshold level that distinguishes between trending markets (high efficiency) and ranging markets (low efficiency), enabling regime-based analysis and strategy adaptation.
🟢 How to Use
1. Signal Interpretation and Market Regime Analysis
Positive Territory (Above Zero): Indicates efficient upward price movement with bullish directional bias and favorable conditions for long positions
Negative Territory (Below Zero): Signals efficient downward price movement with bearish directional bias and favorable conditions for short positions
High Absolute Values (±0.4 to ±1.0): Represent highly efficient trending conditions with strong directional conviction and reduced noise
Low Absolute Values (±0.1 to ±0.3): Suggest ranging or consolidating markets with inefficient price movement and increased whipsaw risk
Zero Line Crosses: Mark critical directional shifts and provide primary entry/exit signals for trend-following strategies
2. Threshold-Based Market Regime Classification
Above Threshold (Trending Markets): When efficiency exceeds the threshold level, markets are classified as trending, favoring momentum strategies
Below Threshold (Ranging Markets): When efficiency falls below the threshold, markets are classified as ranging, favoring mean reversion approaches
3. Preset Configurations for Different Trading Styles
Default
Universally applicable configuration optimized for medium-term analysis across multiple timeframes and asset classes, providing balanced sensitivity and noise filtering.
Scalping
Highly responsive setup for ultra-short-term trades with increased sensitivity to quick efficiency changes. Best suited for 1-15 minute charts and rapid-fire trading approaches.
Swing Trading
Designed for multi-day position holding with enhanced noise filtering and focus on sustained efficiency trends. Optimal for 1-4 hour and daily timeframe analysis.
🟢 Pro Tips for Trading and Investing
→ Trend Continuation Filter: Enter long positions when Directional Efficiency crosses above zero in trending markets (above threshold) and short positions when crossing below zero, ensuring alignment with efficient price movement.
→ Range Trading Optimization: In ranging markets (below threshold), take profits on extreme readings and enter mean reversion trades when efficiency approaches zero from either direction.
→ Multi-Timeframe Confluence: Combine higher timeframe trend direction with lower timeframe efficiency signals for optimal entry timing.
→ Risk Management Enhancement: Reduce position sizes or avoid new entries when efficiency readings are weak (near zero), as these conditions indicate higher probability of choppy, unpredictable price movement.
→ Signal Strength Assessment: Prioritize trades with high absolute efficiency values (±0.4 or higher) as these represent the most reliable directional moves with reduced likelihood of immediate reversal.
→ Regime Transition Trading: Watch for efficiency threshold breaks combined with directional changes as these often mark significant trend initiation or termination points requiring strategic position adjustments.
→ Alert Integration: Utilize the built-in alert system for real time notifications of zero-line crosses, threshold breaks, and regime changes to maintain constant market awareness without continuous chart monitoring.
Price Range Retrace statisticks [HERMAN]📈 Price Range Retrace Stats
This indicator is designed to help traders quantify how often price retraces to a selected equilibrium level (e.g., 50%) after sweeping the high/low of a defined time-based range.
It is especially useful for modeling sessions such as the London Opening Range (e.g., 02:00–03:00 NY time), checking if price sweeps that range in a subsequent window (e.g., 03:00–04:00), and returns to its 50% level.
✅ What does it do?
Lets you define multiple time ranges (e.g. London, NY Open, custom ranges).
Draws the range box for the selected session time.
Calculates and plots the retracement level (default 50%).
Checks if price sweeps the high/low of the range before retracing.
Tracks success rate, average distance, sample size and displays these stats in a table.
⚙️ Key Features:
Fully customizable time windows (range box time and retracement check time).
-Configurable retracement % (default 50% equilibrium).
-Optional sweep condition (only count retracements if price sweeps the high/low first).
-Clean, theme-adaptive stats table with success rates and averages.
-Supports two independent levels (e.g. London and NY sessions).
📊 Why use it?
This tool turns session-based setups into statistical models:
Backtest session strategies over many days.
Quantify edge with % success over time.
Validate trading ideas with data.
Use probabilities instead of gut feeling.
Example insight you can track:
“Between 3–4 AM NY time, price swept the high/low of the 2–3 AM London Opening Range and returned to its 50% equilibrium level in 64% of 234 sessions.”
📌 Ideal for:
ICT concepts (Opening Range, Sweep, Equilibrium Return).
Algo developers wanting probabilities.
Anyone who wants data-driven confirmation for session range mean-reversion.
Instructions:
1️⃣ Enable the desired Price Range (1 or 2).
2️⃣ Set your Range Time (e.g. 02:00–03:00).
3️⃣ Set your Retracement Check Time (e.g. 03:00–04:00).
4️⃣ Choose retracement % (e.g. 50%).
5️⃣ Watch the box and retrace line plot on chart.
6️⃣ Review the success statistics in the table.
Global Risk Matrix [QuantAlgo]🟢 Overview
The Global Risk Matrix is a comprehensive macro risk assessment tool that aggregates multiple global financial indicators into a unified risk sentiment framework. It transforms diverse economic data streams (from currency strength and liquidity measures to volatility indices and commodity prices) into standardized Z-Score readings to identify market regime shifts across risk-on and risk-off conditions.
The indicator displays both a risk oscillator showing weighted average sentiment and a dynamic 2D matrix visualization that plots signal strength against momentum to reveal current market phase and historical evolution. This helps traders and investors understand broad market conditions, identify regime transitions, and align their strategies with prevailing macro risk environments across all asset classes.
🟢 How It Works
The indicator employs Z-Score normalization across various global macro components, each representing distinct aspects of market liquidity, sentiment, and economic health. Raw data from sources like DXY, S&P 500, Fed liquidity, global M2 money supply, VIX, and commodities undergoes statistical standardization. Several components are inverted (USDT.D, DXY, VIX, credit spreads, treasury bonds, gold) to align with risk-on interpretation, where positive values indicate bullish conditions.
This unique system applies configurable weights to each component based on selected asset class presets (Crypto Investor/Trader, Stock Trader, Commodity Trader, Forex Trader, Risk Parity, or Custom), creating a weighted average Z-Score. It then analyzes both signal strength and momentum direction to classify market conditions into four distinct phases: Risk-On (positive signal, rising momentum), Risk-Off (negative signal, falling momentum), Recovery (negative signal, rising momentum), and Weakening (positive signal, falling momentum). The 2D matrix visualization plots these dimensions with historical trail tracking to show regime evolution over time.
🟢 How to Use
1. Risk Oscillator Interpretation and Phase Analysis
Positive Territory (Above Zero) : Indicates risk-on conditions with capital flowing toward growth assets and higher risk tolerance
Negative Territory (Below Zero) : Signals risk-off sentiment with capital seeking safety and defensive positioning
Extreme Levels (±2.0) : Represent statistically significant deviations that often precede regime reversals or trend exhaustion
Zero Line Crosses : Mark critical transitions between risk regimes, providing early signals for portfolio rebalancing
Phase Color Coding : Green (Risk-On), Red (Risk-Off), Blue (Recovery), Yellow (Weakening) for immediate regime identification
2. Risk Matrix Visualization and Trail Analysis
Current Position Marker (⌾) : Shows real-time location in the risk/momentum space for immediate situational awareness
Historical Trail : Connected path showing recent market evolution and regime transition patterns
Quadrant Analysis : Risk-On (upper right), Risk-Off (lower left), Recovery (lower right), Weakening (upper left)
Trail Patterns : Clockwise rotation typically indicates healthy regime cycles, while erratic movement suggests uncertainty
3. Pro Tips for Trading and Investing
→ Portfolio Allocation Filter : Use Risk-On phases to increase exposure to growth assets, small caps, and emerging markets while reducing defensive positions during confirmed green phases
→ Entry Timing Enhancement : Combine Recovery phase signals with your technical analysis for optimal long entry points when macro headwinds are clearing but prices haven't fully recovered
→ Risk Management Overlay : Treat Weakening phase transitions as early warning systems to tighten stop losses, reduce position sizes, or hedge existing positions before full Risk-Off conditions develop
→ Sector Rotation Strategy : During Risk-On periods, favor cyclical sectors (technology, consumer discretionary, financials) while Risk-Off phases favor defensive sectors (utilities, consumer staples, healthcare)
→ Multi-Timeframe Confluence : Use daily matrix readings for strategic positioning while applying your regular technical analysis on lower timeframes for precise entry and exit execution
→ Divergence Detection : Watch for situations where your asset shows bullish technical patterns while the matrix shows Risk-Off conditions—these often provide the highest probability short opportunities and vice versa
