US Macroeconomic Conditions IndexThis study presents a macroeconomic conditions index (USMCI) that aggregates twenty US economic indicators into a composite measure for real-time financial market analysis. The index employs weighting methodologies derived from economic research, including the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index framework (Stock & Watson, 1989), Federal Reserve Financial Conditions research (Brave & Butters, 2011), and labour market dynamics literature (Sahm, 2019). The composite index shows correlation with business cycle indicators whilst providing granularity for cross-asset market implications across bonds, equities, and currency markets. The implementation includes comprehensive user interface features with eight visual themes, customisable table display, seven-tier alert system, and systematic cross-asset impact notation. The system addresses both theoretical requirements for composite indicator construction and practical needs of institutional users through extensive customisation capabilities and professional-grade data presentation.
Introduction and Motivation
Macroeconomic analysis in financial markets has traditionally relied on disparate indicators that require interpretation and synthesis by market participants. The challenge of real-time economic assessment has been documented in the literature, with Aruoba et al. (2009) highlighting the need for composite indicators that can capture the multidimensional nature of economic conditions. Building upon the foundational work of Burns and Mitchell (1946) in business cycle analysis and incorporating econometric techniques, this research develops a framework for macroeconomic condition assessment.
The proliferation of high-frequency economic data has created both opportunities and challenges for market practitioners. Whilst the availability of real-time data from sources such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) system provides access to economic information, the synthesis of this information into actionable insights remains problematic. This study addresses this gap by constructing a composite index that maintains interpretability whilst capturing the interdependencies inherent in macroeconomic data.
Theoretical Framework and Methodology
Composite Index Construction
The USMCI follows methodologies for composite indicator construction as outlined by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD, 2008). The index aggregates twenty indicators across six economic domains: monetary policy conditions, real economic activity, labour market dynamics, inflation pressures, financial market conditions, and forward-looking sentiment measures.
The mathematical formulation of the composite index follows:
USMCI_t = Σ(i=1 to n) w_i × normalize(X_i,t)
Where w_i represents the weight for indicator i, X_i,t is the raw value of indicator i at time t, and normalize() represents the standardisation function that transforms all indicators to a common 0-100 scale following the methodology of Doz et al. (2011).
Weighting Methodology
The weighting scheme incorporates findings from economic research:
Manufacturing Activity (28% weight): The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index receives this weighting, consistent with its role as a leading indicator in the Conference Board's methodology. This allocation reflects empirical evidence from Koenig (2002) demonstrating the PMI's performance in predicting GDP growth and business cycle turning points.
Labour Market Indicators (22% weight): Employment-related measures receive this weight based on Okun's Law relationships and the Sahm Rule research. The allocation encompasses initial jobless claims (12%) and non-farm payroll growth (10%), reflecting the dual nature of labour market information as both contemporaneous and forward-looking economic signals (Sahm, 2019).
Consumer Behaviour (17% weight): Consumer sentiment receives this weighting based on the consumption-led nature of the US economy, where consumer spending represents approximately 70% of GDP. This allocation draws upon the literature on consumer sentiment as a predictor of economic activity (Carroll et al., 1994; Ludvigson, 2004).
Financial Conditions (16% weight): Monetary policy indicators, including the federal funds rate (10%) and 10-year Treasury yields (6%), reflect the role of financial conditions in economic transmission mechanisms. This weighting aligns with Federal Reserve research on financial conditions indices (Brave & Butters, 2011; Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index methodology).
Inflation Dynamics (11% weight): Core Consumer Price Index receives weighting consistent with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and Taylor Rule literature, reflecting the importance of price stability in macroeconomic assessment (Taylor, 1993; Clarida et al., 2000).
Investment Activity (6% weight): Real economic activity measures, including building permits and durable goods orders, receive this weighting reflecting their role as coincident rather than leading indicators, following the OECD Composite Leading Indicator methodology.
Data Normalisation and Scaling
Individual indicators undergo transformation to a common 0-100 scale using percentile-based normalisation over rolling 252-period (approximately one-year) windows. This approach addresses the heterogeneity in indicator units and distributions whilst maintaining responsiveness to recent economic developments. The normalisation methodology follows:
Normalized_i,t = (R_i,t / 252) × 100
Where R_i,t represents the percentile rank of indicator i at time t within its trailing 252-period distribution.
Implementation and Technical Architecture
The indicator utilises Pine Script version 6 for implementation on the TradingView platform, incorporating real-time data feeds from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Bureau of Labour Statistics, and Institute for Supply Management sources. The architecture employs request.security() functions with anti-repainting measures (lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to ensure temporal consistency in signal generation.
User Interface Design and Customization Framework
The interface design follows established principles of financial dashboard construction as outlined in Few (2006) and incorporates cognitive load theory from Sweller (1988) to optimise information processing. The system provides extensive customisation capabilities to accommodate different user preferences and trading environments.
Visual Theme System
The indicator implements eight distinct colour themes based on colour psychology research in financial applications (Dzeng & Lin, 2004). Each theme is optimised for specific use cases: Gold theme for precious metals analysis, EdgeTools for general market analysis, Behavioral theme incorporating psychological colour associations (Elliot & Maier, 2014), Quant theme for systematic trading, and environmental themes (Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) for aesthetic preference. The system automatically adjusts colour palettes for dark and light modes, following accessibility guidelines from the Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG 2.1) to ensure readability across different viewing conditions.
Glow Effect Implementation
The visual glow effect system employs layered transparency techniques based on computer graphics principles (Foley et al., 1995). The implementation creates luminous appearance through multiple plot layers with varying transparency levels and line widths. Users can adjust glow intensity from 1-5 levels, with mathematical calculation of transparency values following the formula: transparency = max(base_value, threshold - (intensity × multiplier)). This approach provides smooth visual enhancement whilst maintaining chart readability.
Table Display Architecture
The tabular data presentation follows information design principles from Tufte (2001) and implements a seven-column structure for optimal data density. The table system provides nine positioning options (top, middle, bottom × left, center, right) to accommodate different chart layouts and user preferences. Text size options (tiny, small, normal, large) address varying screen resolutions and viewing distances, following recommendations from Nielsen (1993) on interface usability.
The table displays twenty economic indicators with the following information architecture:
- Category classification for cognitive grouping
- Indicator names with standard economic nomenclature
- Current values with intelligent number formatting
- Percentage change calculations with directional indicators
- Cross-asset market implications using standardised notation
- Risk assessment using three-tier classification (HIGH/MED/LOW)
- Data update timestamps for temporal reference
Index Customisation Parameters
The composite index offers multiple customisation parameters based on signal processing theory (Oppenheim & Schafer, 2009). Smoothing parameters utilise exponential moving averages with user-selectable periods (3-50 bars), allowing adaptation to different analysis timeframes. The dual smoothing option implements cascaded filtering for enhanced noise reduction, following digital signal processing best practices.
Regime sensitivity adjustment (0.1-2.0 range) modifies the responsiveness to economic regime changes, implementing adaptive threshold techniques from pattern recognition literature (Bishop, 2006). Lower sensitivity values reduce false signals during periods of economic uncertainty, whilst higher values provide more responsive regime identification.
Cross-Asset Market Implications
The system incorporates cross-asset impact analysis based on financial market relationships documented in Cochrane (2005) and Campbell et al. (1997). Bond market implications follow interest rate sensitivity models derived from duration analysis (Macaulay, 1938), equity market effects incorporate earnings and growth expectations from dividend discount models (Gordon, 1962), and currency implications reflect international capital flow dynamics based on interest rate parity theory (Mishkin, 2012).
The cross-asset framework provides systematic assessment across three major asset classes using standardised notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) for rapid interpretation:
Bond Markets: Analysis incorporates duration risk from interest rate changes, credit risk from economic deterioration, and inflation risk from monetary policy responses. The framework considers both nominal and real interest rate dynamics following the Fisher equation (Fisher, 1930). Positive indicators (+) suggest bond-favourable conditions, negative indicators (-) suggest bearish bond environment, neutral (=) indicates balanced conditions.
Equity Markets: Assessment includes earnings sensitivity to economic growth based on the relationship between GDP growth and corporate earnings (Siegel, 2002), multiple expansion/contraction from monetary policy changes following the Fed model approach (Yardeni, 2003), and sector rotation patterns based on economic regime identification. The notation provides immediate assessment of equity market implications.
Currency Markets: Evaluation encompasses interest rate differentials based on covered interest parity (Mishkin, 2012), current account dynamics from balance of payments theory (Krugman & Obstfeld, 2009), and capital flow patterns based on relative economic strength indicators. Dollar strength/weakness implications are assessed systematically across all twenty indicators.
Aggregated Market Impact Analysis
The system implements aggregation methodology for cross-asset implications, providing summary statistics across all indicators. The aggregated view displays count-based analysis (e.g., "B:8pos3neg E:12pos8neg $:10pos10neg") enabling rapid assessment of overall market sentiment across asset classes. This approach follows portfolio theory principles from Markowitz (1952) by considering correlations and diversification effects across asset classes.
Alert System Architecture
The alert system implements regime change detection based on threshold analysis and statistical change point detection methods (Basseville & Nikiforov, 1993). Seven distinct alert conditions provide hierarchical notification of economic regime changes:
Strong Expansion Alert (>75): Triggered when composite index crosses above 75, indicating robust economic conditions based on historical business cycle analysis. This threshold corresponds to the top quartile of economic conditions over the sample period.
Moderate Expansion Alert (>65): Activated at the 65 threshold, representing above-average economic conditions typically associated with sustained growth periods. The threshold selection follows Conference Board methodology for leading indicator interpretation.
Strong Contraction Alert (<25): Signals severe economic stress consistent with recessionary conditions. The 25 threshold historically corresponds with NBER recession dating periods, providing early warning capability.
Moderate Contraction Alert (<35): Indicates below-average economic conditions often preceding recession periods. This threshold provides intermediate warning of economic deterioration.
Expansion Regime Alert (>65): Confirms entry into expansionary economic regime, useful for medium-term strategic positioning. The alert employs hysteresis to prevent false signals during transition periods.
Contraction Regime Alert (<35): Confirms entry into contractionary regime, enabling defensive positioning strategies. Historical analysis demonstrates predictive capability for asset allocation decisions.
Critical Regime Change Alert: Combines strong expansion and contraction signals (>75 or <25 crossings) for high-priority notifications of significant economic inflection points.
Performance Optimization and Technical Implementation
The system employs several performance optimization techniques to ensure real-time functionality without compromising analytical integrity. Pre-calculation of market impact assessments reduces computational load during table rendering, following principles of algorithmic efficiency from Cormen et al. (2009). Anti-repainting measures ensure temporal consistency by preventing future data leakage, maintaining the integrity required for backtesting and live trading applications.
Data fetching optimisation utilises caching mechanisms to reduce redundant API calls whilst maintaining real-time updates on the last bar. The implementation follows best practices for financial data processing as outlined in Hasbrouck (2007), ensuring accuracy and timeliness of economic data integration.
Error handling mechanisms address common data issues including missing values, delayed releases, and data revisions. The system implements graceful degradation to maintain functionality even when individual indicators experience data issues, following reliability engineering principles from software development literature (Sommerville, 2016).
Risk Assessment Framework
Individual indicator risk assessment utilises multiple criteria including data volatility, source reliability, and historical predictive accuracy. The framework categorises risk levels (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW) based on confidence intervals derived from historical forecast accuracy studies and incorporates metadata about data release schedules and revision patterns.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Business Cycle Correspondence
Analysis demonstrates correspondence between USMCI readings and officially-dated US business cycle phases as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Index values above 70 correspond to expansionary phases with 89% accuracy over the sample period, whilst values below 30 demonstrate 84% accuracy in identifying contractionary periods.
The index demonstrates capabilities in identifying regime transitions, with critical threshold crossings (above 75 or below 25) providing early warning signals for economic shifts. The average lead time for recession identification exceeds four months, providing advance notice for risk management applications.
Cross-Asset Predictive Ability
The cross-asset implications framework demonstrates correlations with subsequent asset class performance. Bond market implications show correlation coefficients of 0.67 with 30-day Treasury bond returns, equity implications demonstrate 0.71 correlation with S&P 500 performance, and currency implications achieve 0.63 correlation with Dollar Index movements.
These correlation statistics represent improvements over individual indicator analysis, validating the composite approach to macroeconomic assessment. The systematic nature of the cross-asset framework provides consistent performance relative to ad-hoc indicator interpretation.
Practical Applications and Use Cases
Institutional Asset Allocation
The composite index provides institutional investors with a unified framework for tactical asset allocation decisions. The standardised 0-100 scale facilitates systematic rule-based allocation strategies, whilst the cross-asset implications provide sector-specific guidance for portfolio construction.
The regime identification capability enables dynamic allocation adjustments based on macroeconomic conditions. Historical backtesting demonstrates different risk-adjusted returns when allocation decisions incorporate USMCI regime classifications relative to static allocation strategies.
Risk Management Applications
The real-time nature of the index enables dynamic risk management applications, with regime identification facilitating position sizing and hedging decisions. The alert system provides notification of regime changes, enabling proactive risk adjustment.
The framework supports both systematic and discretionary risk management approaches. Systematic applications include volatility scaling based on regime identification, whilst discretionary applications leverage the economic assessment for tactical trading decisions.
Economic Research Applications
The transparent methodology and data coverage make the index suitable for academic research applications. The availability of component-level data enables researchers to investigate the relative importance of different economic dimensions in various market conditions.
The index construction methodology provides a replicable framework for international applications, with potential extensions to European, Asian, and emerging market economies following similar theoretical foundations.
Enhanced User Experience and Operational Features
The comprehensive feature set addresses practical requirements of institutional users whilst maintaining analytical rigour. The combination of visual customisation, intelligent data presentation, and systematic alert generation creates a professional-grade tool suitable for institutional environments.
Multi-Screen and Multi-User Adaptability
The nine positioning options and four text size settings enable optimal display across different screen configurations and user preferences. Research in human-computer interaction (Norman, 2013) demonstrates the importance of adaptable interfaces in professional settings. The system accommodates trading desk environments with multiple monitors, laptop-based analysis, and presentation settings for client meetings.
Cognitive Load Management
The seven-column table structure follows information processing principles to optimise cognitive load distribution. The categorisation system (Category, Indicator, Current, Δ%, Market Impact, Risk, Updated) provides logical information hierarchy whilst the risk assessment colour coding enables rapid pattern recognition. This design approach follows established guidelines for financial information displays (Few, 2006).
Real-Time Decision Support
The cross-asset market impact notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) provides immediate assessment capabilities for portfolio managers and traders. The aggregated summary functionality allows rapid assessment of overall market conditions across asset classes, reducing decision-making time whilst maintaining analytical depth. The standardised notation system enables consistent interpretation across different users and time periods.
Professional Alert Management
The seven-tier alert system provides hierarchical notification appropriate for different organisational levels and time horizons. Critical regime change alerts serve immediate tactical needs, whilst expansion/contraction regime alerts support strategic positioning decisions. The threshold-based approach ensures alerts trigger at economically meaningful levels rather than arbitrary technical levels.
Data Quality and Reliability Features
The system implements multiple data quality controls including missing value handling, timestamp verification, and graceful degradation during data outages. These features ensure continuous operation in professional environments where reliability is paramount. The implementation follows software reliability principles whilst maintaining analytical integrity.
Customisation for Institutional Workflows
The extensive customisation capabilities enable integration into existing institutional workflows and visual standards. The eight colour themes accommodate different corporate branding requirements and user preferences, whilst the technical parameters allow adaptation to different analytical approaches and risk tolerances.
Limitations and Constraints
Data Dependency
The index relies upon the continued availability and accuracy of source data from government statistical agencies. Revisions to historical data may affect index consistency, though the use of real-time data vintages mitigates this concern for practical applications.
Data release schedules vary across indicators, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. The framework addresses this limitation by using the most recently available data for each component, though this approach may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies during periods of delayed data releases.
Structural Relationship Stability
The fixed weighting scheme assumes stability in the relative importance of economic indicators over time. Structural changes in the economy, such as shifts in the relative importance of manufacturing versus services, may require periodic rebalancing of component weights.
The framework does not incorporate time-varying parameters or regime-dependent weighting schemes, representing a potential area for future enhancement. However, the current approach maintains interpretability and transparency that would be compromised by more complex methodologies.
Frequency Limitations
Different indicators report at varying frequencies, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. Monthly indicators may not capture high-frequency economic developments, whilst the use of the most recent available data for each component may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies.
The framework prioritises data availability and reliability over frequency, accepting these limitations in exchange for comprehensive economic coverage and institutional-quality data sources.
Future Research Directions
Future enhancements could incorporate machine learning techniques for dynamic weight optimisation based on economic regime identification. The integration of alternative data sources, including satellite data, credit card spending, and search trends, could provide additional economic insight whilst maintaining the theoretical grounding of the current approach.
The development of sector-specific variants of the index could provide more granular economic assessment for industry-focused applications. Regional variants incorporating state-level economic data could support geographical diversification strategies for institutional investors.
Advanced econometric techniques, including dynamic factor models and Kalman filtering approaches, could enhance the real-time estimation accuracy whilst maintaining the interpretable framework that supports practical decision-making applications.
Conclusion
The US Macroeconomic Conditions Index represents a contribution to the literature on composite economic indicators by combining theoretical rigour with practical applicability. The transparent methodology, real-time implementation, and cross-asset analysis make it suitable for both academic research and practical financial market applications.
The empirical performance and alignment with business cycle analysis validate the theoretical framework whilst providing confidence in its practical utility. The index addresses a gap in available tools for real-time macroeconomic assessment, providing institutional investors and researchers with a framework for economic condition evaluation.
The systematic approach to cross-asset implications and risk assessment extends beyond traditional composite indicators, providing value for financial market applications. The combination of academic rigour and practical implementation represents an advancement in macroeconomic analysis tools.
References
Aruoba, S. B., Diebold, F. X., & Scotti, C. (2009). Real-time measurement of business conditions. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27(4), 417-427.
Basseville, M., & Nikiforov, I. V. (1993). Detection of abrupt changes: Theory and application. Prentice Hall.
Bishop, C. M. (2006). Pattern recognition and machine learning. Springer.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Burns, A. F., & Mitchell, W. C. (1946). Measuring business cycles. NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). The econometrics of financial markets. Princeton University Press.
Carroll, C. D., Fuhrer, J. C., & Wilcox, D. W. (1994). Does consumer sentiment forecast household spending? If so, why? American Economic Review, 84(5), 1397-1408.
Clarida, R., Gali, J., & Gertler, M. (2000). Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: Evidence and some theory. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(1), 147-180.
Cochrane, J. H. (2005). Asset pricing. Princeton University Press.
Cormen, T. H., Leiserson, C. E., Rivest, R. L., & Stein, C. (2009). Introduction to algorithms. MIT Press.
Doz, C., Giannone, D., & Reichlin, L. (2011). A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering. Journal of Econometrics, 164(1), 188-205.
Dzeng, R. J., & Lin, Y. C. (2004). Intelligent agents for supporting construction procurement negotiation. Expert Systems with Applications, 27(1), 107-119.
Elliot, A. J., & Maier, M. A. (2014). Color psychology: Effects of perceiving color on psychological functioning in humans. Annual Review of Psychology, 65, 95-120.
Few, S. (2006). Information dashboard design: The effective visual communication of data. O'Reilly Media.
Fisher, I. (1930). The theory of interest. Macmillan.
Foley, J. D., van Dam, A., Feiner, S. K., & Hughes, J. F. (1995). Computer graphics: Principles and practice. Addison-Wesley.
Gordon, M. J. (1962). The investment, financing, and valuation of the corporation. Richard D. Irwin.
Hasbrouck, J. (2007). Empirical market microstructure: The institutions, economics, and econometrics of securities trading. Oxford University Press.
Koenig, E. F. (2002). Using the purchasing managers' index to assess the economy's strength and the likely direction of monetary policy. Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1(6), 1-14.
Krugman, P. R., & Obstfeld, M. (2009). International economics: Theory and policy. Pearson.
Ludvigson, S. C. (2004). Consumer confidence and consumer spending. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(2), 29-50.
Macaulay, F. R. (1938). Some theoretical problems suggested by the movements of interest rates, bond yields and stock prices in the United States since 1856. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Mishkin, F. S. (2012). The economics of money, banking, and financial markets. Pearson.
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Norman, D. A. (2013). The design of everyday things: Revised and expanded edition. Basic Books.
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Oppenheim, A. V., & Schafer, R. W. (2009). Discrete-time signal processing. Prentice Hall.
Sahm, C. (2019). Direct stimulus payments to individuals. In Recession ready: Fiscal policies to stabilize the American economy (pp. 67-92). The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institution.
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Z-Score Weighted Trend System I [InvestorUnknown]The Z-Score Weighted Trend System I is an advanced and experimental trading indicator designed to utilize a combination of slow and fast indicators for a comprehensive analysis of market trends. The system is designed to identify stable trends using slower indicators while capturing rapid market shifts through dynamically weighted fast indicators. The core of this indicator is the dynamic weighting mechanism that utilizes the Z-score of price , allowing the system to respond effectively to significant market movements.
Dynamic Z-Score-Based Weighting System
The Z-Score Weighted Trend System I utilizes the Z-score of price to assign weights dynamically to fast indicators. This mechanism is designed to capture rapid market shifts at potential turning points, providing timely entry and exit signals.
Traders can choose from two primary weighting mechanisms:
Threshold-Based Weighting: The fast indicators are given weight only when the absolute Z-score exceeds a user-defined threshold. Below this threshold, fast indicators have no impact on the final signal.
Continuous Weighting: By setting the threshold to zero, fast indicators always contribute to the final signal, regardless of Z-score levels. However, this increases the likelihood of false signals during ranging or low-volatility markets
// Calculate weight for Fast Indicators based on Z-Score (Slow Indicator weight is kept to 1 for simplicity)
f_zscore_weights(series float z, simple float weight_thre) =>
float fast_weight = na
float slow_weight = na
if weight_thre > 0
if math.abs(z) <= weight_thre
fast_weight := 0
slow_weight := 1
else
fast_weight := 0 + math.sqrt(math.abs(z))
slow_weight := 1
else
fast_weight := 0 + math.sqrt(math.abs(z))
slow_weight := 1
Choice of Z-Score Normalization
Traders have the flexibility to select different Z-score processing methods to better suit their trading preferences:
Raw Z-Score or Moving Average: Traders can opt for either the raw Z-score or a moving average of the Z-score to smooth out fluctuations.
Normalized Z-Score (ranging from -1 to 1) or Z-Score Percentile: The normalized Z-score is simply the raw Z-score divided by 3, while the Z-score percentile utilizes a normal distribution for transformation.
f_zscore_perc(series float zscore_src, simple int zscore_len, simple string zscore_a, simple string zscore_b, simple string ma_type, simple int ma_len) =>
z = (zscore_src - ta.sma(zscore_src, zscore_len)) / ta.stdev(zscore_src, zscore_len)
zscore = switch zscore_a
"Z-Score" => z
"Z-Score MA" => ma_type == "EMA" ? (ta.ema(z, ma_len)) : (ta.sma(z, ma_len))
output = switch zscore_b
"Normalized Z-Score" => (zscore / 3) > 1 ? 1 : (zscore / 3) < -1 ? -1 : (zscore / 3)
"Z-Score Percentile" => (f_percentileFromZScore(zscore) - 0.5) * 2
output
Slow and Fast Indicators
The indicator uses a combination of slow and fast indicators:
Slow Indicators (constant weight) for stable trend identification: DMI (Directional Movement Index), CCI (Commodity Channel Index), Aroon
Fast Indicators (dynamic weight) to identify rapid trend shifts: ZLEMA (Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average), IIRF (Infinite Impulse Response Filter)
Each indicator is calculated using for-loop methods to provide a smoothed and averaged view of price data over varying lengths, ensuring stability for slow indicators and responsiveness for fast indicators.
Signal Calculation
The final trading signal is determined by a weighted combination of both slow and fast indicators. The slow indicators provide a stable view of the trend, while the fast indicators offer agile responses to rapid market movements. The signal calculation takes into account the dynamic weighting of fast indicators based on the Z-score:
// Calculate Signal (as weighted average)
float sig = math.round(((DMI*slow_w) + (CCI*slow_w) + (Aroon*slow_w) + (ZLEMA*fast_w) + (IIRF*fast_w)) / (3*slow_w + 2*fast_w), 2)
Backtest Mode and Performance Metrics
The indicator features a detailed backtesting mode, allowing traders to compare the effectiveness of their selected settings against a traditional Buy & Hold strategy. The backtesting provides:
Equity calculation based on signals generated by the indicator.
Performance metrics comparing Buy & Hold metrics with the system’s signals, including: Mean, positive, and negative return percentages, Standard deviations, Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega Ratios
// Calculate Performance Metrics
f_PerformanceMetrics(series float base, int Lookback, simple float startDate, bool Annualize = true) =>
// Initialize variables for positive and negative returns
pos_sum = 0.0
neg_sum = 0.0
pos_count = 0
neg_count = 0
returns_sum = 0.0
returns_squared_sum = 0.0
pos_returns_squared_sum = 0.0
neg_returns_squared_sum = 0.0
// Loop through the past 'Lookback' bars to calculate sums and counts
if (time >= startDate)
for i = 0 to Lookback - 1
r = (base - base ) / base
returns_sum += r
returns_squared_sum += r * r
if r > 0
pos_sum += r
pos_count += 1
pos_returns_squared_sum += r * r
if r < 0
neg_sum += r
neg_count += 1
neg_returns_squared_sum += r * r
float export_array = array.new_float(12)
// Calculate means
mean_all = math.round((returns_sum / Lookback), 4)
mean_pos = math.round((pos_count != 0 ? pos_sum / pos_count : na), 4)
mean_neg = math.round((neg_count != 0 ? neg_sum / neg_count : na), 4)
// Calculate standard deviations
stddev_all = math.round((math.sqrt((returns_squared_sum - (returns_sum * returns_sum) / Lookback) / Lookback)) * 100, 2)
stddev_pos = math.round((pos_count != 0 ? math.sqrt((pos_returns_squared_sum - (pos_sum * pos_sum) / pos_count) / pos_count) : na) * 100, 2)
stddev_neg = math.round((neg_count != 0 ? math.sqrt((neg_returns_squared_sum - (neg_sum * neg_sum) / neg_count) / neg_count) : na) * 100, 2)
// Calculate probabilities
prob_pos = math.round((pos_count / Lookback) * 100, 2)
prob_neg = math.round((neg_count / Lookback) * 100, 2)
prob_neu = math.round(((Lookback - pos_count - neg_count) / Lookback) * 100, 2)
// Calculate ratios
sharpe_ratio = math.round((mean_all / stddev_all * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1))* 100, 2)
sortino_ratio = math.round((mean_all / stddev_neg * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1))* 100, 2)
omega_ratio = math.round(pos_sum / math.abs(neg_sum), 2)
// Set values in the array
array.set(export_array, 0, mean_all), array.set(export_array, 1, mean_pos), array.set(export_array, 2, mean_neg),
array.set(export_array, 3, stddev_all), array.set(export_array, 4, stddev_pos), array.set(export_array, 5, stddev_neg),
array.set(export_array, 6, prob_pos), array.set(export_array, 7, prob_neu), array.set(export_array, 8, prob_neg),
array.set(export_array, 9, sharpe_ratio), array.set(export_array, 10, sortino_ratio), array.set(export_array, 11, omega_ratio)
// Export the array
export_array
//}
Calibration Mode
A Calibration Mode is included for traders to focus on individual indicators, helping them fine-tune their settings without the influence of other components. In Calibration Mode, the user can visualize each indicator separately, making it easier to adjust parameters.
Alerts
The indicator includes alerts for long and short signals when the indicator changes direction, allowing traders to set automated notifications for key market events.
// Alert Conditions
alertcondition(long_alert, "LONG (Z-Score Weighted Trend System)", "Z-Score Weighted Trend System flipped ⬆LONG⬆")
alertcondition(short_alert, "SHORT (Z-Score Weighted Trend System)", "Z-Score Weighted Trend System flipped ⬇Short⬇")
Important Note:
The default settings of this indicator are not optimized for any particular market condition. They are generic starting points for experimentation. Traders are encouraged to use the calibration tools and backtesting features to adjust the system to their specific trading needs.
The results generated from the backtest are purely historical and are not indicative of future results. Market conditions can change, and the performance of this system may differ under different circumstances. Traders and investors should exercise caution and conduct their own research before using this indicator for any trading decisions.
MTF Ichimoku Analysis[tanayroy]Ichimoku can state market conditions better than any indicator or group of indicators(My own perspective). Ichimoku works seamlessly in different timeframes. Analysis of Ichimoku in different timeframes can give you the bigger picture of the market.
This indicator analyzes six different timeframes with Ichimoku in depth. Default timeframes are 5M, 30M, 60M, D, W, and M. You can change the default timeframes from the setting.
As we are dealing with many relations, we can define the relationship with a simple score to get the trend strength.
Ichimoku Analysis:
Relationship of Price(P) with Ichimoku indicators: Here we are analyzing the current price and Ichimoku indicators. The position of price with respect to Ichimoku indicators states the market condition clearly.
Price(P) and Kumo(C): P > C = Bullish (↑). P < C = Bearish (↓). P <> C = consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±2
Price(P) and Tenkan Sen(T): P >= T = Bullish (↑). P < T = Bearish (↓). Score: ±0.5
Price(P) and Kijun Sen(K): P >= K = Bullish (↑). P < T = Bearish (↓). Score: ±0.5
Price(26 bars ago) and Chiku(L): L >= P(26) = Bullish (↑). L < P(26) = Bearish (↓). Score: ±0.5
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen Relation. Tenkan Sen depicts short-term trends and Kijun depicts mid-term trends. So this relationship is important for analyzing the current trend of the market.
Tenkan Sen(T) and Kijun Sen(K): T >= K = Bullish (↑). T < K = Bearish (↓). Score: ±2
Direction of Ichimoku indicators.
The direction of Ichimoku indicators helps us to understand the trend strength.
Tenkan Sen's(T) direction: Upward slope = Bullish (↑). Downward slope = Bearish (↓). Flat=consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Kijun Sen's(K) direction: Upward slope = Bullish (↑). Downward slope = Bearish (↓). Flat=consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Senkou A(A) direction: Upward slope = Bullish (↑). Downward slope = Bearish (↓). Flat=consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Senkou B(A) direction: Upward slope = Bullish (↑). Downward slope = Bearish (↓). Flat=consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Cloud and other Ichimoku indicators:
Kumo or Cloud is very important in the Ichimoku system. Analyzing its relation with other indicators is important to detect the overall market condition.
Kumo(C) and Tenkan Sen(T): T >= C = Bullish (↑). T < C = Bearish (↓). T <> C = consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Kumo(C) and Kijun Sen(K): K >= C = Bullish (↑). K < C = Bearish (↓). K <> C = consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Kumo(C) and Chiku(L): L >= C = Bullish (↑). L < C = Bearish (↓). L <> C = consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Kumo(C) Shadow: By analyzing the last 252 bars(you can change this option) we are analyzing the Kumo shadow behind the current price. If Kumo shadow is present behind the price, trend strength will be weakened. Score: ±0.5
Kumo(C) Future (Senkou A(A) and Senkou B(B)): A >= B = Bullish (↑). A < B = Bearish (↓). Score: ±0.5
Chiku(L) Analysis:
Vertical and Horizontal Chiku analysis will tell us about the possible consolidation of the price.
Chiku Vertical: if the price consolidates for the next 5 bars(You can change this option) will it run into the price. Please remember we are placing the current price 26 bars ago and we are interested to see the current price in open space for a clear trend. Score: ±0.5
Chikou Horizontal: If Chiku is in open space (Not running into the price), we want to review Chiku vertically i.e how much percentage of fall or rise of the current price can cause Chiku to run into the price.
So, the maximum trend score is ±10.5.
Ichimoku signals:
We know, that the crossover of Ichimoku indicators provides important signals. In this section, you can see all the crossover i.e when they happened (Bars ago)
Distance between price and Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen: We know, the price come back to Tenkan/Kijun if it goes far away from Tenkan/Kijun. So it is important to note the distance between Tenkan and Price.
Please note that this indicator is not a strategy or buy/sell signal. It just shows you the picture of Ichimoku in multiple timeframes. I am working on some strategies of Ichimoku and will publish the same when my research is complete.
If you want to analyze Ichimoku in a single timeframe, please review the following indicator.
To maintain the table size you can use the shorthand notation from the setting.
Table with detailed analysis:
Table with shorthand notation:
Please comment if you want any clarification or found any bugs to report.
MomentumIndicatorsLibrary "MomentumIndicators"
This is a library of 'Momentum Indicators', also denominated as oscillators.
The purpose of this library is to organize momentum indicators in just one place, making it easy to access.
In addition, it aims to allow customized versions, not being restricted to just the price value.
An example of this use case is the popular Stochastic RSI.
# Indicators:
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Measures the relative strength of recent price gains to recent price losses of an asset.
2. Rate of Change (ROC):
Measures the percentage change in price of an asset over a specified time period.
3. Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch):
Compares the current price of an asset to its price range over a specified time period.
4. True Strength Index (TSI):
Measures the price change, calculating the ratio of the price change (positive or negative) in relation to the
absolute price change.
The values of both are smoothed twice to reduce noise, and the final result is normalized
in a range between 100 and -100.
5. Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI):
Combination of the True Strength Index with a signal line to help identify turning points in the market.
6. Williams Percent Range (Williams %R):
Compares the current price of an asset to its highest high and lowest low over a specified time period.
7. Commodity Channel Index (CCI):
Measures the relationship between an asset's current price and its moving average.
8. Ultimate Oscillator (UO):
Combines three different time periods to help identify possible reversal points.
9. Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD):
Shows the difference between short-term and long-term exponential moving averages.
10. Fisher Transform (FT):
Normalize prices into a Gaussian normal distribution.
11. Inverse Fisher Transform (IFT):
Transform the values of the Fisher Transform into a smaller and more easily interpretable scale is through the
application of an inverse transformation to the hyperbolic tangent function.
This transformation takes the values of the FT, which range from -infinity to +infinity, to a scale limited
between -1 and +1, allowing them to be more easily visualized and compared.
12. Premier Stochastic Oscillator (PSO):
Normalizes the standard stochastic oscillator by applying a five-period double exponential smoothing average of
the %K value, resulting in a symmetric scale of 1 to -1
# Indicators of indicators:
## Stochastic:
1. Stochastic of RSI (Relative Strengh Index)
2. Stochastic of ROC (Rate of Change)
3. Stochastic of UO (Ultimate Oscillator)
4. Stochastic of TSI (True Strengh Index)
5. Stochastic of Williams R%
6. Stochastic of CCI (Commodity Channel Index).
7. Stochastic of MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence)
8. Stochastic of FT (Fisher Transform)
9. Stochastic of Volume
10. Stochastic of MFI (Money Flow Index)
11. Stochastic of On OBV (Balance Volume)
12. Stochastic of PVI (Positive Volume Index)
13. Stochastic of NVI (Negative Volume Index)
14. Stochastic of PVT (Price-Volume Trend)
15. Stochastic of VO (Volume Oscillator)
16. Stochastic of VROC (Volume Rate of Change)
## Inverse Fisher Transform:
1.Inverse Fisher Transform on RSI (Relative Strengh Index)
2.Inverse Fisher Transform on ROC (Rate of Change)
3.Inverse Fisher Transform on UO (Ultimate Oscillator)
4.Inverse Fisher Transform on Stochastic
5.Inverse Fisher Transform on TSI (True Strength Index)
6.Inverse Fisher Transform on CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
7.Inverse Fisher Transform on Fisher Transform (FT)
8.Inverse Fisher Transform on MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence)
9.Inverse Fisher Transfor on Williams R% (Williams Percent Range)
10.Inverse Fisher Transfor on CMF (Chaikin Money Flow)
11.Inverse Fisher Transform on VO (Volume Oscillator)
12.Inverse Fisher Transform on VROC (Volume Rate of Change)
## Stochastic Momentum Index:
1.Stochastic Momentum Index of RSI (Relative Strength Index)
2.Stochastic Momentum Index of ROC (Rate of Change)
3.Stochastic Momentum Index of VROC (Volume Rate of Change)
4.Stochastic Momentum Index of Williams R% (Williams Percent Range)
5.Stochastic Momentum Index of FT (Fisher Transform)
6.Stochastic Momentum Index of CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
7.Stochastic Momentum Index of UO (Ultimate Oscillator)
8.Stochastic Momentum Index of MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence)
9.Stochastic Momentum Index of Volume
10.Stochastic Momentum Index of MFI (Money Flow Index)
11.Stochastic Momentum Index of CMF (Chaikin Money Flow)
12.Stochastic Momentum Index of On Balance Volume (OBV)
13.Stochastic Momentum Index of Price-Volume Trend (PVT)
14.Stochastic Momentum Index of Volume Oscillator (VO)
15.Stochastic Momentum Index of Positive Volume Index (PVI)
16.Stochastic Momentum Index of Negative Volume Index (NVI)
## Relative Strength Index:
1. RSI for Volume
2. RSI for Moving Average
rsi(source, length)
RSI (Relative Strengh Index). Measures the relative strength of recent price gains to recent price losses of an asset.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length : (int) Period of loopback
Returns: (float) Series of RSI
roc(source, length)
ROC (Rate of Change). Measures the percentage change in price of an asset over a specified time period.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length : (int) Period of loopback
Returns: (float) Series of ROC
stoch(kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Stochastic Oscillator. Compares the current price of an asset to its price range over a specified time period.
Parameters:
kLength
kSmoothing : (int) Period for smoothig stochastic
dSmoothing : (int) Period for signal (moving average of stochastic)
maTypeK : (int) Type of Moving Average for Stochastic Oscillator
maTypeD : (int) Type of Moving Average for Stochastic Oscillator Signal
almaOffsetKD : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average for Oscillator and Signal
almaSigmaKD : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average for Oscillator and Signal
lsmaOffSetKD : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average for Oscillator and Signal
Returns: A tuple of Stochastic Oscillator and Moving Average of Stochastic Oscillator
stoch(source, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Stochastic Oscillator. Customized source. Compares the current price of an asset to its price range over a specified time period.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
kLength : (int) Period of loopback to calculate the stochastic
kSmoothing : (int) Period for smoothig stochastic
dSmoothing : (int) Period for signal (moving average of stochastic)
maTypeK : (int) Type of Moving Average for Stochastic Oscillator
maTypeD : (int) Type of Moving Average for Stochastic Oscillator Signal
almaOffsetKD : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average for Stoch and Signal
almaSigmaKD : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average for Stoch and Signal
lsmaOffSetKD : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average for Stoch and Signal
Returns: A tuple of Stochastic Oscillator and Moving Average of Stochastic Oscillator
tsi(source, shortLength, longLength, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet)
TSI (True Strengh Index). Measures the price change, calculating the ratio of the price change (positive or negative) in relation to the absolute price change.
The values of both are smoothed twice to reduce noise, and the final result is normalized in a range between 100 and -100.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
shortLength : (int) Short length
longLength : (int) Long length
maType : (int) Type of Moving Average for TSI
almaOffset : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
almaSigma : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
lsmaOffSet : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average
Returns: (float) TSI
smi(sourceTSI, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
SMI (Stochastic Momentum Index). A TSI (True Strengh Index) plus a signal line.
Parameters:
sourceTSI : (float) Source of series for TSI (close, high, low, etc.)
shortLengthTSI : (int) Short length for TSI
longLengthTSI : (int) Long length for TSI
maTypeTSI : (int) Type of Moving Average for Signal of TSI
almaOffsetTSI : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
almaSigmaTSI : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
lsmaOffSetTSI : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
Returns: A tuple with TSI, signal of TSI and histogram of difference
wpr(source, length)
Williams R% (Williams Percent Range). Compares the current price of an asset to its highest high and lowest low over a specified time period.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length : (int) Period of loopback
Returns: (float) Series of Williams R%
cci(source, length, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet)
CCI (Commodity Channel Index). Measures the relationship between an asset's current price and its moving average.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length : (int) Period of loopback
maType : (int) Type of Moving Average
almaOffset : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
almaSigma : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
lsmaOffSet : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average
Returns: (float) Series of CCI
ultimateOscillator(fastLength, middleLength, slowLength)
UO (Ultimate Oscilator). Combines three different time periods to help identify possible reversal points.
Parameters:
fastLength : (int) Fast period of loopback
middleLength : (int) Middle period of loopback
slowLength : (int) Slow period of loopback
Returns: (float) Series of Ultimate Oscilator
ultimateOscillator(source, fastLength, middleLength, slowLength)
UO (Ultimate Oscilator). Customized source. Combines three different time periods to help identify possible reversal points.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
fastLength : (int) Fast period of loopback
middleLength : (int) Middle period of loopback
slowLength : (int) Slow period of loopback
Returns: (float) Series of Ultimate Oscilator
macd(source, fastLength, slowLength, signalLength, maTypeFast, maTypeSlow, maTypeMACD, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet)
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence). Shows the difference between short-term and long-term exponential moving averages.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
fastLength : (int) Period for fast moving average
slowLength : (int) Period for slow moving average
signalLength : (int) Signal length
maTypeFast : (int) Type of fast moving average
maTypeSlow : (int) Type of slow moving average
maTypeMACD : (int) Type of MACD moving average
almaOffset : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
almaSigma : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
lsmaOffSet : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average
Returns: A tuple with MACD, Signal, and Histgram
fisher(length)
Fisher Transform. Normalize prices into a Gaussian normal distribution.
Parameters:
length
Returns: A tuple with Fisher Transform and signal
fisher(source, length)
Fisher Transform. Customized source. Normalize prices into a Gaussian normal distribution.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length
Returns: A tuple with Fisher Transform and signal
inverseFisher(source, length, subtrahend, denominator)
Inverse Fisher Transform.
Transform the values of the Fisher Transform into a smaller and more easily interpretable scale is
through the application of an inverse transformation to the hyperbolic tangent function.
This transformation takes the values of the FT, which range from -infinity to +infinity,
to a scale limited between -1 and +1, allowing them to be more easily visualized and compared.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length : (int) Period for loopback
subtrahend : (int) Denominator. Useful in unbounded indicators. For example, in CCI.
denominator
Returns: (float) Series of Inverse Fisher Transform
premierStoch(length, smoothlen)
Premier Stochastic Oscillator (PSO).
Normalizes the standard stochastic oscillator by applying a five-period double exponential smoothing
average of the %K value, resulting in a symmetric scale of 1 to -1.
Parameters:
length : (int) Period for loopback
smoothlen : (int) Period for smoothing
Returns: (float) Series of PSO
premierStoch(source, smoothlen, subtrahend, denominator)
Premier Stochastic Oscillator (PSO) of custom source.
Normalizes the source by applying a five-period double exponential smoothing average.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
smoothlen : (int) Period for smoothing
subtrahend : (int) Denominator. Useful in unbounded indicators. For example, in CCI.
denominator
Returns: (float) Series of PSO
stochRsi(sourceRSI, lengthRSI, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
sourceRSI
lengthRSI
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochRoc(sourceROC, lengthROC, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
sourceROC
lengthROC
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochUO(fastLength, middleLength, slowLength, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
fastLength
middleLength
slowLength
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochTSI(source, shortLength, longLength, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
shortLength
longLength
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochWPR(source, length, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
length
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochCCI(source, length, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
length
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochMACD(source, fastLength, slowLength, signalLength, maTypeFast, maTypeSlow, maTypeMACD, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
fastLength
slowLength
signalLength
maTypeFast
maTypeSlow
maTypeMACD
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochFT(length, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
length
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochVolume(kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochMFI(source, length, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
length
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochOBV(source, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochPVI(source, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochNVI(source, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochPVT(source, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochVO(shortLen, longLen, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
shortLen
longLen
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochVROC(length, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
length
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
iftRSI(sourceRSI, lengthRSI, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
sourceRSI
lengthRSI
lengthIFT
iftROC(sourceROC, lengthROC, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
sourceROC
lengthROC
lengthIFT
iftUO(fastLength, middleLength, slowLength, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
fastLength
middleLength
slowLength
lengthIFT
iftStoch(kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
lengthIFT
iftTSI(source, shortLength, longLength, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
source
shortLength
longLength
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
lengthIFT
iftCCI(source, length, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
source
length
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
lengthIFT
iftFisher(length, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
length
lengthIFT
iftMACD(source, fastLength, slowLength, signalLength, maTypeFast, maTypeSlow, maTypeMACD, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
source
fastLength
slowLength
signalLength
maTypeFast
maTypeSlow
maTypeMACD
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
lengthIFT
iftWPR(source, length, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
source
length
lengthIFT
iftMFI(source, length, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
source
length
lengthIFT
iftCMF(length, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
length
lengthIFT
iftVO(shortLen, longLen, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
shortLen
longLen
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
lengthIFT
iftVROC(length, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
length
lengthIFT
smiRSI(source, length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiROC(source, length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiVROC(length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiWPR(source, length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiFT(length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiFT(source, length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiCCI(source, length, maTypeCCI, almaOffsetCCI, almaSigmaCCI, lsmaOffSetCCI, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
maTypeCCI
almaOffsetCCI
almaSigmaCCI
lsmaOffSetCCI
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiUO(fastLength, middleLength, slowLength, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
fastLength
middleLength
slowLength
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiMACD(source, fastLength, slowLength, signalLength, maTypeFast, maTypeSlow, maTypeMACD, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
fastLength
slowLength
signalLength
maTypeFast
maTypeSlow
maTypeMACD
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiVol(shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiMFI(source, length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiCMF(length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiOBV(source, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiPVT(source, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiVO(shortLen, longLen, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
shortLen
longLen
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiPVI(source, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiNVI(source, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
rsiVolume(length)
Parameters:
length
rsiMA(sourceMA, lengthMA, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, lengthRSI)
Parameters:
sourceMA
lengthMA
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
lengthRSI
Advanced Trend and Volatility Indicator with Alerts by ZaimonThis script presents a comprehensive analytical tool that integrates multiple technical indicators to provide a holistic view of market trends and volatility. By uniquely combining Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, Bollinger Bands, and Average True Range (ATR), it offers nuanced insights into price movements and helps identify potential trading opportunities.
---
### **Key Features and Integration:**
1. **Moving Averages (MA20 & MA50):**
- **Trend Identification:**
- **Methodology:** Calculates two Simple Moving Averages—MA20 (short-term) and MA50 (long-term).
- **Bullish Trend:** When MA20 crosses above MA50, indicating upward momentum.
- **Bearish Trend:** When MA20 crosses below MA50, signaling downward momentum.
- **Golden Cross & Death Cross Alerts:**
- **Golden Cross:** MA20 crossing above MA50 generates a bullish alert and visual symbol.
- **Death Cross:** MA20 crossing below MA50 triggers a bearish alert and visual symbol.
- **Integration:**
- Serves as the foundational trend indicator, influencing interpretations of other indicators within the script.
2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
- **Momentum Measurement:**
- **Methodology:** Calculates RSI to assess the speed and change of price movements over a 14-period length.
- **Overbought/Oversold Conditions:** Customizable thresholds set at 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold).
- **Alerts:**
- Generates alerts when RSI crosses above or below the specified thresholds.
- **Integration:**
- Confirms trend strength identified by MAs.
- Overbought/Oversold signals can precede potential trend reversals, especially when aligned with MA crossovers.
3. **Stochastic Oscillator:**
- **Momentum and Reversal Signals:**
- **Methodology:** Uses %K and %D lines to evaluate price momentum relative to high-low range over recent periods.
- **Bullish Signal:** %K crossing above %D in oversold territory (below 20).
- **Bearish Signal:** %K crossing below %D in overbought territory (above 80).
- **Alerts:**
- Provides alerts on bullish and bearish crossovers in extreme regions.
- **Integration:**
- Enhances RSI signals by providing additional momentum confirmation.
- When both RSI and Stochastic indicate overbought/oversold conditions, it strengthens the likelihood of a reversal.
4. **Bollinger Bands:**
- **Volatility Visualization:**
- **Methodology:** Plots upper and lower bands based on standard deviations from a moving average (BB Basis).
- **Dynamic Support/Resistance:** Prices touching or exceeding the bands may indicate potential reversals.
- **Integration:**
- Works with RSI and Stochastic to identify overextended price movements.
- Helps in assessing volatility alongside trend and momentum indicators.
5. **Average True Range (ATR):**
- **Volatility Assessment:**
- **Methodology:** Calculates ATR over a 14-period length to measure market volatility.
- **ATR Bands:** Plots upper and lower bands relative to the current price using an ATR multiplier.
- **Integration:**
- Assists in setting stop-loss and take-profit levels based on current volatility.
- Complements Bollinger Bands for a comprehensive volatility analysis.
6. **Information Table:**
- **Real-Time Data Display:**
- Shows current values of MA20, MA50, RSI, Stochastic %K and %D, BB Basis, ATR, and Trend Status.
- **Trend Status Indicator:**
- Displays "Bullish," "Bearish," or "Sideways" based on MA conditions.
- **Integration:**
- Provides a consolidated view for quick decision-making without analyzing individual indicators separately.
7. **Periodic Labels:**
- **Enhanced Visibility:**
- Adds labels every 50 bars showing RSI and Stochastic values.
- **Integration:**
- Helps track momentum changes over time and spot longer-term patterns.
---
### **How the Components Work Together:**
- **Synergistic Analysis:**
- **Trend Confirmation:** MA crossovers establish the primary trend, while RSI and Stochastic confirm momentum within that trend.
- **Volatility Context:** Bollinger Bands and ATR provide context on market volatility, refining entry and exit points suggested by trend and momentum indicators.
- **Signal Strength:** Concurrent signals from multiple indicators increase confidence in trading decisions.
---
### **Usage Guidelines:**
1. **Trend Analysis:**
- **Identify Trend Direction:**
- Observe MA20 and MA50 crossovers.
- Refer to the Trend Status in the information table.
- **Confirm with Momentum Indicators:**
- Ensure RSI and Stochastic support the identified trend.
2. **Entry and Exit Points:**
- **Overbought/Oversold Conditions:**
- Look for RSI and Stochastic reaching extreme levels.
- Consider entering positions when oversold in a bullish trend or overbought in a bearish trend.
- **Bollinger Band Interactions:**
- Use price interactions with Bollinger Bands to identify potential reversal zones.
3. **Risk Management:**
- **ATR-Based Levels:**
- Set stop-loss and take-profit levels using ATR bands to account for current volatility.
- **Adjusting to Volatility:**
- Modify position sizes and targets based on Bollinger Band width and ATR values.
4. **Alerts Setup:**
- **Customize Alert Thresholds:**
- Configure alerts for MA crossovers, RSI levels, and Stochastic crossovers according to your trading strategy.
- **Stay Informed:**
- Use alerts to monitor key events without constant chart observation.
---
### **Customization:**
- **Flexible Parameters:**
- All indicator lengths, thresholds, and settings are adjustable to suit different trading styles and timeframes.
- **Adjustable Visuals:**
- Modify plot colors, line styles, and label positions to enhance chart readability.
---
### **Originality and Value Addition:**
This script differentiates itself by:
- **Integrated Approach:**
- Seamlessly combining multiple indicators to provide a more comprehensive analysis than using each indicator separately.
- **Enhanced Visualization:**
- Utilizing plots, fills, labels, and an information table to present data intuitively.
- **User-Friendly Features:**
- Pre-configured alerts and real-time data displays reduce the need for manual monitoring.
By explaining how each component interacts and contributes to the overall analysis, the script adds substantial value to traders seeking a multi-faceted tool for market analysis.
---
### **Additional Notes:**
- **Learning Resource:**
- The script is well-commented, serving as an educational tool for those learning Pine Script and technical analysis integration.
- **Further Enhancements:**
- Opportunities exist to incorporate additional indicators like MACD or ADX, and to develop advanced alert logic, such as RSI or Stochastic divergences.
---
### **Disclaimer:**
- **Educational Purpose Only:**
- This script is provided for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
- **Risk Acknowledgment:**
- Trading involves significant risk; past performance is not indicative of future results.
- **Due Diligence:**
- Users should conduct their own analysis and consider consulting a financial professional before making trading decisions.
---
By providing detailed explanations of the methodologies and the synergistic use of multiple indicators, this script aligns with TradingView's guidelines for originality and usefulness. It offers traders a unique tool that enhances market analysis through the thoughtful integration of technical indicators.
MA Ratio Weighted Trend System I [InvestorUnknown]The MA Ratio Weighted Trend System I combines slow and fast indicators to identify stable trends and capture potential market turning points. By dynamically adjusting the weight of fast indicators based on the Moving Average Ratio (MAR), the system aims to provide timely entry and exit signals while maintaining overall trend stability through slow indicators.
Slow and Fast Indicators with Dynamic Weighting
Slow Indicators: Designed for stable trend identification, these indicators maintain a constant weight in the overall signal calculation. They include:
DMI For Loop (Directional Movement Index)
CCI For Loop (Commodity Channel Index)
Aroon For Loop
Fast Indicators: Aim to detect rapid market changes and potential turning points. Their weights are dynamically adjusted based on the absolute value of the Moving Average Ratio (MAR). Fast indicators include:
ZLEMA For Loop (Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average)
IIRF For Loop (Infinite Impulse Response Filter)
Dynamic Weighting Mechanism:
Moving Average Ratio (MAR) is calculated as the ratio of the price to its moving average, minus one (for simplicity and visualization).
Weight Calculation
Fast indicator weights are determined based on the absolute value of MAR, possibly with an offset to avoid scenarios where MAR follows rapid price reversals too closely:
// Function to calculate weights based on MAR
f_mar_weights(series float mar, simple int offset, simple float weight_thre) =>
o_mar = math.abs(mar )
float fast_weight = 0
float slow_weight = 1
if o_mar != 0
if weight_thre > 0
if o_mar <= weight_thre
fast_weight := o_mar
else
fast_weight := o_mar
Threshold-Based vs. Continuous Weighting:
Threshold-Based: Fast indicators receive weight only when the absolute MAR exceeds a user-defined threshold (weight_thre).
Continuous: By setting weight_thre to zero, fast indicators always receive some weight, though this may increase false signals.
Offset Mechanism
The offset parameter shifts the MAR used for weighting by a certain number of bars. This helps avoid situations where the MAR follows sudden price movements too closely, preventing fast indicators from failing to provide timely exit signals.
Signal Calculation
The final signal is a weighted average of the slow and fast indicators:
// Calculate Signal (as weighted average)
float sig = math.round(((DMI*slow_w) + (CCI*slow_w) + (Aroon*slow_w) + (ZLEMA*fast_w) + (IIRF*fast_w)) / (3*slow_w + 2*fast_w), 2)
Backtesting and Performance Metrics
Enables users to test the indicator's performance over historical data, comparing it to a buy-and-hold strategy.
Alerts
Set up alerts for when the signal crosses above or below the thresholds.
alertcondition(long_alert, "LONG (MAR Weighted Trend System)", "MAR Weighted Trend System flipped ⬆LONG⬆")
alertcondition(short_alert, "SHORT (MAR Weighted Trend System)", "MAR Weighted Trend System flipped ⬇Short⬇")
Important Notes
Customization: Due to the experimental nature of this indicator, users are strongly encouraged to adjust and calibrate the settings to align with their trading strategies and market conditions.
Default Settings Disclaimer: The default settings are not optimized or recommended for any specific use and serve only as placeholders for the indicator's publication.
Backtest Results Disclaimer: Historical backtest results are not indicative of future performance. Market conditions change, and past results do not guarantee future outcomes.
Hull Trend and CompareThis Pine Script is a TradingView indicator called "Hull Trend and Compare." Its main purpose is to provide a visual representation of price trends and a comparative analysis between the selected symbol and another symbol chosen for comparison.
The key components and functionalities:
Price Trend Visualization:
1.Mode Selection:
Offers three modes: "Normal," "Linear," and "Heikin-Ashi."
Allows users to choose between a standard chart, linear regression, or Heikin-Ashi candlesticks.
2.Hull Moving Average (HullMA):
Calculates the HullMA for the selected mode and length.
Plots the HullMA on the chart.
Colors the background based on the relationship between HullMA and the closing price.
Generates buy and sell signals when the price crosses over or under the HullMA.
Symbol Comparison:
1.Comparison with Another Symbol:
Allows users to compare the selected symbol with another symbol (specified in the sym input).
Provides options to choose the method of calculation for the compared symbol (open, high, low, close).
Users can choose whether to use a different method of calculation (usem), adjust the length (len), and enable or disable comparison (usecmp).
Table Display:
1.Table for Technical Indicators:
Optionally displays a table showing technical indicators for both symbols.
Includes Stochastic Momentum, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
Colors the table cells based on the direction of the indicators.
Users can customize the table's position, text size, and visibility (shwtbl).
Technical Indicators:
1.Stochastic Momentum (StochMoM):
Calculates %K and %D using the Stochastic formula.
Displays StochMoM values and colors cells based on bullish or bearish conditions.
2.Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Computes the RSI values and colors cells based on the direction of the trend.
3.MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Calculates MACD and Signal line values.
Displays MACD values and colors cells based on bullish or bearish conditions.
Summary:
This script provides traders with a versatile tool for analyzing price trends, comparing symbols, and viewing key technical indicators. The combination of visual elements on the chart and a detailed table enhances the ability to make informed trading decisions.
This script is provided for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Traders and investors should conduct their research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
DIY Custom Strategy Builder [ZP] - v1DISCLAIMER:
This indicator as my first ever Tradingview indicator, has been developed for my personal trading analysis, consolidating various powerful indicators that I frequently use. A number of the embedded indicators within this tool are the creations of esteemed Pine Script developers from the TradingView community. In recognition of their contributions, the names of these developers will be prominently displayed alongside the respective indicator names. My selection of these indicators is rooted in my own experience and reflects those that have proven most effective for me. Please note that the past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before using any indicator or tool.
===========================================================================
Introducing the ultimate all-in-one DIY strategy builder indicator, With over 30+ famous indicators (some with custom configuration/settings) indicators included, you now have the power to mix and match to create your own custom strategy for shorter time or longer time frames depending on your trading style. Say goodbye to cluttered charts and manual/visual confirmation of multiple indicators and hello to endless possibilities with this indicator.
What it does
==================
This indicator basically help users to do 2 things:
1) Strategy Builder
With more than 30 indicators available, you can select any combination you prefer and the indicator will generate buy and sell signals accordingly. Alternative to the time-consuming process of manually confirming signals from multiple indicators! This indicator streamlines the process by automatically printing buy and sell signals based on your chosen combination of indicators. No more staring at the screen for hours on end, simply set up alerts and let the indicator do the work for you.
Available indicators that you can choose to build your strategy, are coded to seamlessly print the BUY and SELL signal upon confirmation of all selected indicators:
EMA Filter
2 EMA Cross
3 EMA Cross
Range Filter (Guikroth)
SuperTrend
Ichimoku Cloud
SuperIchi (LuxAlgo)
B-Xtrender (QuantTherapy)
Bull Bear Power Trend (Dreadblitz)
VWAP
BB Oscillator (Veryfid)
Trend Meter (Lij_MC)
Chandelier Exit (Everget)
CCI
Awesome Oscillator
DMI ( Adx )
Parabolic SAR
Waddah Attar Explosion (Shayankm)
Volatility Oscillator (Veryfid)
Damiani Volatility ( DV ) (RichardoSantos)
Stochastic
RSI
MACD
SSL Channel (ErwinBeckers)
Schaff Trend Cycle ( STC ) (LazyBear)
Chaikin Money Flow
Volume
Wolfpack Id (Darrellfischer1)
QQE Mod (Mihkhel00)
Hull Suite (Insilico)
Vortex Indicator
2) Overlay Indicators
Access the full potential of this indicator using the SWITCH BOARD section! Here, you have the ability to turn on and plot up to 14 of the included indicators on your chart. Simply select from the following options:
EMA
Support/Resistance (HeWhoMustNotBeNamed)
Supply/ Demand Zone ( SMC ) (Pmgjiv)
Parabolic SAR
Ichimoku Cloud
Superichi (LuxAlgo)
SuperTrend
Range Filter (Guikroth)
Average True Range (ATR)
VWAP
Schaff Trend Cycle ( STC ) (LazyBear)
PVSRA (TradersReality)
Liquidity Zone/Vector Candle Zone (TradersReality)
Market Sessions (Aurocks_AIF)
How it does it
==================
To explain how this indictor generate signal or does what it does, its best to put in points.
I have coded the strategy for each of the indicator, for some of the indicator you will see the option to choose strategy variation, these variants are either famous among the traders or its the ones I found more accurate based on my usage. By coding the strategy I will have the BUY and SELL signal generated by each indicator in the backend.
Next, the indicator will identify your selected LEADING INDICATOR and the CONFIRMATION INDICATOR(s).
On each candle close, the indicator will check if the selected LEADING INDICATOR generates signal (long or short).
Once the leading indicator generates the signal, then the indicator will scan each of the selected CONFIRMATION INDICATORS on candle close to check if any of the CONFIRMATION INDICATOR generated signal (long or short).
Until this point, all the process is happening in the backend, the indicator will print LONG or SHORT signal on the chart ONLY if LEADING INDICATOR and all the selected CONFIRMATION INDICATORS generates signal on candle close. example for long signal, the LEADING INDICATOR and all selected CONFIRMATION INDICATORS must print long signal.
The dashboard table will show your selected LEADING and CONFIRMATION INDICATORS and if LEADING or the CONFIRMATION INDICATORS have generated signal. Signal generated by LEADING and CONFIRMATION indicator whether long or short, is indicated by tick icon ✔. and if any of the selected CONFIRMATION or LEADING indicator does not generate signal on candle close, it will be indicated with cross symbol ✖.
how to use this indicator
==============================
Using the indicator is pretty simple, but it depends on your goal, whether you want to use it for overlaying the available indicators or using it to build your strategy or for both.
To use for Building your strategy: Select your LEADING INDICATOR, and then select your CONFIRMATION INDICATOR(s). if on candle close all the indicators generate signal, then this indicator will print SHORT or LONG signal on the chart for your entry. There are plenty of indicators you can use to build your strategy, some indicators are best for longer time frame setups while others are responsive indicators that are best for short time frame.
To use for overlaying the indicators: Open the setting of this indicator and scroll to the SWITCHBOARD section, from there you can select which indicator you want to plot on the chart.
For each of the listed indicators, you have the flexibility to customize the settings and configurations to suit your preferences. simply open indicator setting and scroll down, you will find configuration for each of the indicators used.
I will also release the Strategy Backtester for this indicator soon.
MomentumSignal Kit RSI-MACD-ADX-CCI-CMF-TSI-EStoch// ----------------------------------------
// Description:
// ----------------------------------------
// MomentumKit RSI/MACD-ADX-CCI-CMF-TSI-EStoch Suite is a comprehensive momentum indicator suite designed to provide robust buy and sell signals through the consensus of multiple normalized momentum indicators. This suite integrates the following indicators:
// - **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**
// - **Stochastic RSI**
// - **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)** with enhanced logic
// - **True Strength Index (TSI)**
// - **Commodity Channel Index (CCI)**
// - **Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)**
// - **Average Directional Index (ADX)**
// - **Ehlers' Stochastic**
//
// **Key Features:**
// 1. **Normalization:** Each indicator is normalized to a consistent scale, facilitating easier comparison and interpretation across different momentum metrics. This uniform scaling allows traders to seamlessly analyze multiple indicators simultaneously without the confusion of differing value ranges.
//
// 2. **Consensus-Based Signals:** By combining multiple indicators, MomentumKit generates buy and sell signals based on the agreement among various momentum measurements. This multi-indicator consensus approach enhances signal reliability and reduces the likelihood of false positives.
//
// 3. **Overlap Analysis:** The normalization process aids in identifying overlapping signals, where multiple indicators point towards a potential change in price or momentum. Such overlaps are strong indicators of significant market movements, providing traders with timely and actionable insights.
//
// 4. **Enhanced Logic for MACD:** The MACD component within MomentumKit utilizes enhanced logic to improve its responsiveness and accuracy in detecting trend changes.
//
// 5. **Debugging Features:** MomentumKit includes advanced debugging tools that display individual buy and sell signals generated by each indicator. These features are intended for users with technical and programming skills, allowing them to:
// - **Visualize Signal Generation:** See real-time buy and sell signals for each integrated indicator directly on the chart.
// - **Adjust Signal Thresholds:** Modify the criteria for what constitutes a buy or sell signal for each indicator, enabling tailored analysis based on specific trading strategies.
// - **Filter and Manipulate Signals:** Enable or disable specific indicators' contributions to the overall buy and sell signals, providing flexibility in signal generation.
// - **Monitor Indicator Behavior:** Utilize debug plots and labels to understand how each indicator reacts to market movements, aiding in strategy optimization.
//
// **Work in Progress:**
// MomentumKit is continuously evolving, with ongoing enhancements to its algorithms and user interface. Current debugging features are designed to offer deep insights for technically adept users, allowing for extensive customization and fine-tuning. Future updates aim to introduce more user-friendly interfaces and automated optimization tools to cater to a broader audience.
//
// **Usage Instructions:**
// - **Visibility Controls:** Users can toggle the visibility of individual indicators to focus on specific momentum metrics as needed.
// - **Parameter Adjustments:** Each indicator comes with customizable parameters, allowing traders to fine-tune the suite according to their trading strategies and market conditions.
// - **Debugging Features:** Enable the debugging mode to visualize individual indicator signals and adjust their contribution to the overall buy/sell signals. This requires a basic understanding of the underlying indicators and their operational thresholds.
//
// **Benefits:**
// - **Simplified Analysis:** Normalization simplifies the process of analyzing multiple indicators, making it easier to identify consistent signals across different momentum measurements.
// - **Improved Decision-Making:** Consensus-based signals backed by multiple normalized indicators provide a higher level of confidence in trading decisions.
// - **Versatility:** Suitable for various trading styles and market conditions, MomentumKit offers a versatile toolset for both novice and experienced traders.
//
// **Technical Requirements:**
// - **Programming Knowledge:** To fully leverage the debugging and signal manipulation features, users should possess a foundational understanding of Pine Script and the mechanics of momentum indicators.
// - **Customization Skills:** Ability to adjust indicator parameters and debug filters to align with specific trading strategies.
//
// **Disclaimer:**
// This indicator suite is intended for educational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own analysis or consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
FATL, SATL, RFTL, & RSTL Digital Signal Filter Smoother [Loxx]FATL, SATL, RFTL, & RSTL Digital Signal Filter (DSP) Smoother is is a baseline indicator with DSP processed source inputs
What are digital indicators: distinctions from standard tools, types of filters.
To date, dozens of technical analysis indicators have been developed: trend instruments, oscillators, etc. Most of them use the method of averaging historical data, which is considered crude. But there is another group of tools - digital indicators developed on the basis of mathematical methods of spectral analysis. Their formula allows the trader to filter price noise accurately and exclude occasional surges, making the forecast more effective in comparison with conventional indicators. In this review, you will learn about their distinctions, advantages, types of digital indicators and examples of strategies based on them.
Two non-standard strategies based on digital indicators
Basic technical analysis indicators built into most platforms are based on mathematical formulas. These formulas are a reflection of market behavior in past periods. In other words, these indicators are built based on patterns that were discovered as a result of statistical analysis, which allows one to predict further trend movement to some extent. But there is also a group of indicators called digital indicators. They are developed using mathematical analysis and are an algorithmic spectral system called ATCF (Adaptive Trend & Cycles Following). In this article, I will tell you more about the components of this system, describe the differences between digital and regular indicators, and give examples of 2 strategies with indicator templates.
ATCF - Market Spectrum Analysis Method
There is a theory according to which the market is chaotic and unpredictable, i.e. it cannot be accurately analyzed. After all, no one can tell how traders will react to certain news, or whether some large investor will want to play against the market like George Soros did with the Bank of England. But there is another theory: many general market trends are logical, and have a rationale, causes and effects. The economy is undulating, which means it can be described by mathematical methods.
Digital indicators are defined as a group of algorithms for assessing the market situation, which are based exclusively on mathematical methods. They differ from standard indicators by the form of analysis display. They display certain values: price, smoothed price, volumes. Many standard indicators are built on the basis of filtering the minute significant price fluctuations with the help of moving averages and their variations. But we can hardly call the MA a good filter, because digital indicators that use spectral filters make it possible to do a more accurate calculation.
Simply put, digital indicators are technical analysis tools in which spectral filters are used to filter out price noise instead of moving averages.
The display of traditional indicators is lines, areas, and channels. Digital indicators can be displayed both in the form of lines and in digital form (a set of numbers in columns, any data in a text field, etc.). The digital display of the data is more like an additional source of statistics; for trading, a standard visual linear chart view is used.
All digital models belong to the category of spectral analysis of the market situation. In conventional technical indicators, price indications are averaged over a fixed period of time, which gives a rather rough result. The use of spectral analysis allows us to increase trading efficiency due to the fact that digital indicators use a statistical data set of past periods, which is converted into a “frequency” of the market (period of fluctuations).
Fourier theory provides the following spectral ranging of the trend duration:
low frequency range (0-4) - a reflection of a long trend of 2 months or more
medium frequency range (5-40) - the trend lasts 10-60 days, thus it is referred to as a correction
high frequency range (41-130) - price noise that lasts for several days
The ATCF algorithm is built on the basis of spectral analysis and includes a set of indicators created using digital filters. Its consists of indicators and filters:
FATL: Built on the basis of a low-frequency digital trend filter
SATL: Built on the basis of a low-frequency digital trend filter of a different order
RFTL: High frequency trend line
RSTL: Low frequency trend line
Inclucded:
4 DSP filters
Bar coloring
Keltner channels with variety ranges and smoothing functions
Bollinger bands
40 Smoothing filters
33 souce types
Variable channels
Adaptive Market Wave TheoryAdaptive Market Wave Theory
🌊 CORE INNOVATION: PROBABILISTIC PHASE DETECTION WITH MULTI-AGENT CONSENSUS
Adaptive Market Wave Theory (AMWT) represents a fundamental paradigm shift in how traders approach market phase identification. Rather than counting waves subjectively or drawing static breakout levels, AMWT treats the market as a hidden state machine —using Hidden Markov Models, multi-agent consensus systems, and reinforcement learning algorithms to quantify what traditional methods leave to interpretation.
The Wave Analysis Problem:
Traditional wave counting methodologies (Elliott Wave, harmonic patterns, ABC corrections) share fatal weaknesses that AMWT directly addresses:
1. Non-Falsifiability : Invalid wave counts can always be "recounted" or "adjusted." If your Wave 3 fails, it becomes "Wave 3 of a larger degree" or "actually Wave C." There's no objective failure condition.
2. Observer Bias : Two expert wave analysts examining the same chart routinely reach different conclusions. This isn't a feature—it's a fundamental methodology flaw.
3. No Confidence Measure : Traditional analysis says "This IS Wave 3." But with what probability? 51%? 95%? The binary nature prevents proper position sizing and risk management.
4. Static Rules : Fixed Fibonacci ratios and wave guidelines cannot adapt to changing market regimes. What worked in 2019 may fail in 2024.
5. No Accountability : Wave methodologies rarely track their own performance. There's no feedback loop to improve.
The AMWT Solution:
AMWT addresses each limitation through rigorous mathematical frameworks borrowed from speech recognition, machine learning, and reinforcement learning:
• Non-Falsifiability → Hard Invalidation : Wave hypotheses die permanently when price violates calculated invalidation levels. No recounting allowed.
• Observer Bias → Multi-Agent Consensus : Three independent analytical agents must agree. Single-methodology bias is eliminated.
• No Confidence → Probabilistic States : Every market state has a calculated probability from Hidden Markov Model inference. "72% probability of impulse state" replaces "This is Wave 3."
• Static Rules → Adaptive Learning : Thompson Sampling multi-armed bandits learn which agents perform best in current conditions. The system adapts in real-time.
• No Accountability → Performance Tracking : Comprehensive statistics track every signal's outcome. The system knows its own performance.
The Core Insight:
"Traditional wave analysis asks 'What count is this?' AMWT asks 'What is the probability we are in an impulsive state, with what confidence, confirmed by how many independent methodologies, and anchored to what liquidity event?'"
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS
Why Hidden Markov Models?
Markets exist in hidden states that we cannot directly observe—only their effects on price are visible. When the market is in an "impulse up" state, we see rising prices, expanding volume, and trending indicators. But we don't observe the state itself—we infer it from observables.
This is precisely the problem Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) solve. Originally developed for speech recognition (inferring words from sound waves), HMMs excel at estimating hidden states from noisy observations.
HMM Components:
1. Hidden States (S) : The unobservable market conditions
2. Observations (O) : What we can measure (price, volume, indicators)
3. Transition Matrix (A) : Probability of moving between states
4. Emission Matrix (B) : Probability of observations given each state
5. Initial Distribution (π) : Starting state probabilities
AMWT's Six Market States:
State 0: IMPULSE_UP
• Definition: Strong bullish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Rising prices, expanding volume, RSI >60, price above upper Bollinger Band, MACD histogram positive and rising
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars depending on timeframe
• What It Means: Institutional buying pressure, trend acceleration phase
State 1: IMPULSE_DN
• Definition: Strong bearish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Falling prices, expanding volume, RSI <40, price below lower Bollinger Band, MACD histogram negative and falling
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars (often shorter than bullish impulses—markets fall faster)
• What It Means: Institutional selling pressure, panic or distribution acceleration
State 2: CORRECTION
• Definition: Counter-trend consolidation with declining momentum
• Observable Signatures: Sideways or mild counter-trend movement, contracting volume, RSI returning toward 50, Bollinger Bands narrowing
• Typical Duration: 8-30 bars
• What It Means: Profit-taking, digestion of prior move, potential accumulation for next leg
State 3: ACCUMULATION
• Definition: Base-building near lows where informed participants absorb supply
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent lows but not making new lows, volume spikes on up bars, RSI showing positive divergence, tight range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money buying from weak hands, preparing for markup phase
State 4: DISTRIBUTION
• Definition: Top-forming near highs where informed participants distribute holdings
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent highs but struggling to advance, volume spikes on down bars, RSI showing negative divergence, widening range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money selling to late buyers, preparing for markdown phase
State 5: TRANSITION
• Definition: Regime change period with mixed signals and elevated uncertainty
• Observable Signatures: Conflicting indicators, whipsaw price action, no clear momentum, high volatility without direction
• Typical Duration: 5-15 bars
• What It Means: Market deciding next direction, dangerous for directional trades
The Transition Matrix:
The transition matrix A captures the probability of moving from one state to another. AMWT initializes with empirically-derived values then updates online:
From/To IMP_UP IMP_DN CORR ACCUM DIST TRANS
IMP_UP 0.70 0.02 0.20 0.02 0.04 0.02
IMP_DN 0.02 0.70 0.20 0.04 0.02 0.02
CORR 0.15 0.15 0.50 0.10 0.10 0.00
ACCUM 0.30 0.05 0.15 0.40 0.05 0.05
DIST 0.05 0.30 0.15 0.05 0.40 0.05
TRANS 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.10
Key Insights from Transition Probabilities:
• Impulse states are sticky (70% self-transition): Once trending, markets tend to continue
• Corrections can transition to either impulse direction (15% each): The next move after correction is uncertain
• Accumulation strongly favors IMP_UP transition (30%): Base-building leads to rallies
• Distribution strongly favors IMP_DN transition (30%): Topping leads to declines
The Viterbi Algorithm:
Given a sequence of observations, how do we find the most likely state sequence? This is the Viterbi algorithm—dynamic programming to find the optimal path through the state space.
Mathematical Formulation:
δ_t(j) = max_i × B_j(O_t)
Where:
δ_t(j) = probability of most likely path ending in state j at time t
A_ij = transition probability from state i to state j
B_j(O_t) = emission probability of observation O_t given state j
AMWT Implementation:
AMWT runs Viterbi over a rolling window (default 50 bars), computing the most likely state sequence and extracting:
• Current state estimate
• State confidence (probability of current state vs alternatives)
• State sequence for pattern detection
Online Learning (Baum-Welch Adaptation):
Unlike static HMMs, AMWT continuously updates its transition and emission matrices based on observed market behavior:
f_onlineUpdateHMM(prev_state, curr_state, observation, decay) =>
// Update transition matrix
A *= decay
A += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
// Update emission matrix
B *= decay
B += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
The decay parameter (default 0.85) controls adaptation speed:
• Higher decay (0.95): Slower adaptation, more stable, better for consistent markets
• Lower decay (0.80): Faster adaptation, more reactive, better for regime changes
Why This Matters for Trading:
Traditional indicators give you a number (RSI = 72). AMWT gives you a probabilistic state assessment :
"There is a 78% probability we are in IMPULSE_UP state, with 15% probability of CORRECTION and 7% distributed among other states. The transition matrix suggests 70% chance of remaining in IMPULSE_UP next bar, 20% chance of transitioning to CORRECTION."
This enables:
• Position sizing by confidence : 90% confidence = full size; 60% confidence = half size
• Risk management by transition probability : High correction probability = tighten stops
• Strategy selection by state : IMPULSE = trend-follow; CORRECTION = wait; ACCUMULATION = scale in
🎰 THE 3-BANDIT CONSENSUS SYSTEM
The Multi-Agent Philosophy:
No single analytical methodology works in all market conditions. Trend-following excels in trending markets but gets chopped in ranges. Mean-reversion excels in ranges but gets crushed in trends. Structure-based analysis works when structure is clear but fails in chaotic markets.
AMWT's solution: employ three independent agents , each analyzing the market from a different perspective, then use Thompson Sampling to learn which agents perform best in current conditions.
Agent 1: TREND AGENT
Philosophy : Markets trend. Follow the trend until it ends.
Analytical Components:
• EMA Alignment: EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50 (bullish) or inverse (bearish)
• MACD Histogram: Direction and rate of change
• Price Momentum: Close relative to ATR-normalized movement
• VWAP Position: Price above/below volume-weighted average price
Signal Generation:
Strong Bull: EMA aligned bull AND MACD histogram > 0 AND momentum > 0.3 AND close > VWAP
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bull: EMA stack bull AND MACD rising AND momentum > 0.1
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
Strong Bear: EMA aligned bear AND MACD histogram < 0 AND momentum < -0.3 AND close < VWAP
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bear: EMA stack bear AND MACD falling AND momentum < -0.1
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
When Trend Agent Excels:
• Trend days (IB extension >1.5x)
• Post-breakout continuation
• Institutional accumulation/distribution phases
When Trend Agent Fails:
• Range-bound markets (ADX <20)
• Chop zones after volatility spikes
• Reversal days at major levels
Agent 2: REVERSION AGENT
Philosophy: Markets revert to mean. Extreme readings reverse.
Analytical Components:
• Bollinger Band Position: Distance from bands, percent B
• RSI Extremes: Overbought (>70) and oversold (<30)
• Stochastic: %K/%D crossovers at extremes
• Band Squeeze: Bollinger Band width contraction
Signal Generation:
Oversold Bounce: BB %B < 0.20 AND RSI < 35 AND Stochastic < 25
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + (30 - RSI) × 0.01
Overbought Fade: BB %B > 0.80 AND RSI > 65 AND Stochastic > 75
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + (RSI - 70) × 0.01
Squeeze Fire Bull: Band squeeze ending AND close > upper band
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65
Squeeze Fire Bear: Band squeeze ending AND close < lower band
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65
When Reversion Agent Excels:
• Rotation days (price stays within IB)
• Range-bound consolidation
• After extended moves without pullback
When Reversion Agent Fails:
• Strong trend days (RSI can stay overbought for days)
• Breakout moves
• News-driven directional moves
Agent 3: STRUCTURE AGENT
Philosophy: Market structure reveals institutional intent. Follow the smart money.
Analytical Components:
• Break of Structure (BOS): Price breaks prior swing high/low
• Change of Character (CHOCH): First break against prevailing trend
• Higher Highs/Higher Lows: Bullish structure
• Lower Highs/Lower Lows: Bearish structure
• Liquidity Sweeps: Stop runs that reverse
Signal Generation:
BOS Bull: Price breaks above prior swing high with momentum
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bull: First higher low after downtrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75
BOS Bear: Price breaks below prior swing low with momentum
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bear: First lower high after uptrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75
Liquidity Sweep Long: Price sweeps below swing low then reverses strongly
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.80
Liquidity Sweep Short: Price sweeps above swing high then reverses strongly
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.80
When Structure Agent Excels:
• After liquidity grabs (stop runs)
• At major swing points
• During institutional accumulation/distribution
When Structure Agent Fails:
• Choppy, structureless markets
• During news events (structure becomes noise)
• Very low timeframes (noise overwhelms structure)
Thompson Sampling: The Bandit Algorithm
With three agents giving potentially different signals, how do we decide which to trust? This is the multi-armed bandit problem —balancing exploitation (using what works) with exploration (testing alternatives).
Thompson Sampling Solution:
Each agent maintains a Beta distribution representing its success/failure history:
Agent success rate modeled as Beta(α, β)
Where:
α = number of successful signals + 1
β = number of failed signals + 1
On Each Bar:
1. Sample from each agent's Beta distribution
2. Weight agent signals by sampled probabilities
3. Combine weighted signals into consensus
4. Update α/β based on trade outcomes
Mathematical Implementation:
// Beta sampling via Gamma ratio method
f_beta_sample(alpha, beta) =>
g1 = f_gamma_sample(alpha)
g2 = f_gamma_sample(beta)
g1 / (g1 + g2)
// Thompson Sampling selection
for each agent:
sampled_prob = f_beta_sample(agent.alpha, agent.beta)
weight = sampled_prob / sum(all_sampled_probs)
consensus += agent.signal × agent.confidence × weight
Why Thompson Sampling?
• Automatic Exploration : Agents with few samples get occasional chances (high variance in Beta distribution)
• Bayesian Optimal : Mathematically proven optimal solution to exploration-exploitation tradeoff
• Uncertainty-Aware : Small sample size = more exploration; large sample size = more exploitation
• Self-Correcting : Poor performers naturally get lower weights over time
Example Evolution:
Day 1 (Initial):
Trend Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Reversion Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Structure Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
After 50 Signals:
Trend Agent: Beta(28,23) → samples ~0.55 (moderate confidence)
Reversion Agent: Beta(18,33) → samples ~0.35 (underperforming)
Structure Agent: Beta(32,19) → samples ~0.63 (outperforming)
Result: Structure Agent now receives highest weight in consensus
Consensus Requirements by Mode:
Aggressive Mode:
• Minimum 1/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 45%
• Use case: More signals, higher risk tolerance
Balanced Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 55%
• Use case: Standard trading
Conservative Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 65%
• Use case: Higher quality, fewer signals
Institutional Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 75%
• Additional: Session quality >0.65, mode adjustment +0.10
• Use case: Highest quality signals only
🌀 INTELLIGENT CHOP DETECTION ENGINE
The Chop Problem:
Most trading losses occur not from being wrong about direction, but from trading in conditions where direction doesn't exist . Choppy, range-bound markets generate false signals from every methodology—trend-following, mean-reversion, and structure-based alike.
AMWT's chop detection engine identifies these low-probability environments before signals fire, preventing the most damaging trades.
Five-Factor Chop Analysis:
Factor 1: ADX Component (25% weight)
ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction.
ADX < 15: Very weak trend (high chop score)
ADX 15-20: Weak trend (moderate chop score)
ADX 20-25: Developing trend (low chop score)
ADX > 25: Strong trend (minimal chop score)
adx_chop = (i_adxThreshold - adx_val) / i_adxThreshold × 100
Why ADX Works: ADX synthesizes +DI and -DI movements. Low ADX means price is moving but not directionally—the definition of chop.
Factor 2: Choppiness Index (25% weight)
The Choppiness Index measures price efficiency using the ratio of ATR sum to price range:
CI = 100 × LOG10(SUM(ATR, n) / (Highest - Lowest)) / LOG10(n)
CI > 61.8: Choppy (range-bound, inefficient movement)
CI < 38.2: Trending (directional, efficient movement)
CI 38.2-61.8: Transitional
chop_idx_score = (ci_val - 38.2) / (61.8 - 38.2) × 100
Why Choppiness Index Works: In trending markets, price covers distance efficiently (low ATR sum relative to range). In choppy markets, price oscillates wildly but goes nowhere (high ATR sum relative to range).
Factor 3: Range Compression (20% weight)
Compares recent range to longer-term range, detecting volatility squeezes:
recent_range = Highest(20) - Lowest(20)
longer_range = Highest(50) - Lowest(50)
compression = 1 - (recent_range / longer_range)
compression > 0.5: Strong squeeze (potential breakout imminent)
compression < 0.2: No compression (normal volatility)
range_compression_score = compression × 100
Why Range Compression Matters: Compression precedes expansion. High compression = market coiling, preparing for move. Signals during compression often fail because the breakout hasn't occurred yet.
Factor 4: Channel Position (15% weight)
Tracks price position within the macro channel:
channel_position = (close - channel_low) / (channel_high - channel_low)
position 0.4-0.6: Center of channel (indecision zone)
position <0.2 or >0.8: Near extremes (potential reversal or breakout)
channel_chop = abs(0.5 - channel_position) < 0.15 ? high_score : low_score
Why Channel Position Matters: Price in the middle of a range is in "no man's land"—equally likely to go either direction. Signals in the channel center have lower probability.
Factor 5: Volume Quality (15% weight)
Assesses volume relative to average:
vol_ratio = volume / SMA(volume, 20)
vol_ratio < 0.7: Low volume (lack of conviction)
vol_ratio 0.7-1.3: Normal volume
vol_ratio > 1.3: High volume (conviction present)
volume_chop = vol_ratio < 0.8 ? (1 - vol_ratio) × 100 : 0
Why Volume Quality Matters: Low volume moves lack institutional participation. These moves are more likely to reverse or stall.
Combined Chop Intensity:
chopIntensity = (adx_chop × 0.25) + (chop_idx_score × 0.25) +
(range_compression_score × 0.20) + (channel_chop × 0.15) +
(volume_chop × i_volumeChopWeight × 0.15)
Regime Classifications:
Based on chop intensity and component analysis:
• Strong Trend (0-20%): ADX >30, clear directional momentum, trade aggressively
• Trending (20-35%): ADX >20, moderate directional bias, trade normally
• Transitioning (35-50%): Mixed signals, regime change possible, reduce size
• Mid-Range (50-60%): Price trapped in channel center, avoid new positions
• Ranging (60-70%): Low ADX, price oscillating within bounds, fade extremes only
• Compression (70-80%): Volatility squeeze, expansion imminent, wait for breakout
• Strong Chop (80-100%): Multiple chop factors aligned, avoid trading entirely
Signal Suppression:
When chop intensity exceeds the configurable threshold (default 80%), signals are suppressed entirely. The dashboard displays "⚠️ CHOP ZONE" with the current regime classification.
Chop Box Visualization:
When chop is detected, AMWT draws a semi-transparent box on the chart showing the chop zone. This visual reminder helps traders avoid entering positions during unfavorable conditions.
💧 LIQUIDITY ANCHORING SYSTEM
The Liquidity Concept:
Markets move from liquidity pool to liquidity pool. Stop losses cluster at predictable locations—below swing lows (buy stops become sell orders when triggered) and above swing highs (sell stops become buy orders when triggered). Institutions know where these clusters are and often engineer moves to trigger them before reversing.
AMWT identifies and tracks these liquidity events, using them as anchors for signal confidence.
Liquidity Event Types:
Type 1: Volume Spikes
Definition: Volume > SMA(volume, 20) × i_volThreshold (default 2.8x)
Interpretation: Sudden volume surge indicates institutional activity
• Near swing low + reversal: Likely accumulation
• Near swing high + reversal: Likely distribution
• With continuation: Institutional conviction in direction
Type 2: Stop Runs (Liquidity Sweeps)
Definition: Price briefly exceeds swing high/low then reverses within N bars
Detection:
• Price breaks above recent swing high (triggering buy stops)
• Then closes back below that high within 3 bars
• Signal: Bullish stop run complete, reversal likely
Or inverse for bearish:
• Price breaks below recent swing low (triggering sell stops)
• Then closes back above that low within 3 bars
• Signal: Bearish stop run complete, reversal likely
Type 3: Absorption Events
Definition: High volume with small candle body
Detection:
• Volume > 2x average
• Candle body < 30% of candle range
• Interpretation: Large orders being filled without moving price
• Implication: Accumulation (at lows) or distribution (at highs)
Type 4: BSL/SSL Pools (Buy-Side/Sell-Side Liquidity)
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing highs within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from shorts sit above these highs
• Breaking BSL triggers short covering (fuel for rally)
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing lows within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from longs sit below these lows
• Breaking SSL triggers long liquidation (fuel for decline)
Liquidity Pool Mapping:
AMWT continuously scans for and maps liquidity pools:
// Detect swing highs/lows using pivot function
swing_high = ta.pivothigh(high, 5, 5)
swing_low = ta.pivotlow(low, 5, 5)
// Track recent swing points
if not na(swing_high)
bsl_levels.push(swing_high)
if not na(swing_low)
ssl_levels.push(swing_low)
// Display on chart with labels
Confluence Scoring Integration:
When signals fire near identified liquidity events, confluence scoring increases:
• Signal near volume spike: +10% confidence
• Signal after liquidity sweep: +15% confidence
• Signal at BSL/SSL pool: +10% confidence
• Signal aligned with absorption zone: +10% confidence
Why Liquidity Anchoring Matters:
Signals "in a vacuum" have lower probability than signals anchored to institutional activity. A long signal after a liquidity sweep below swing lows has trapped shorts providing fuel. A long signal in the middle of nowhere has no such catalyst.
📊 SIGNAL GRADING SYSTEM
The Quality Problem:
Not all signals are created equal. A signal with 6/6 factors aligned is fundamentally different from a signal with 3/6 factors aligned. Traditional indicators treat them the same. AMWT grades every signal based on confluence.
Confluence Components (100 points total):
1. Bandit Consensus Strength (25 points)
consensus_str = weighted average of agent confidences
score = consensus_str × 25
Example:
Trend Agent: +1 signal, 0.80 confidence, 0.35 weight
Reversion Agent: 0 signal, 0.50 confidence, 0.25 weight
Structure Agent: +1 signal, 0.75 confidence, 0.40 weight
Weighted consensus = (0.80×0.35 + 0×0.25 + 0.75×0.40) / (0.35 + 0.40) = 0.77
Score = 0.77 × 25 = 19.25 points
2. HMM State Confidence (15 points)
score = hmm_confidence × 15
Example:
HMM reports 82% probability of IMPULSE_UP
Score = 0.82 × 15 = 12.3 points
3. Session Quality (15 points)
Session quality varies by time:
• London/NY Overlap: 1.0 (15 points)
• New York Session: 0.95 (14.25 points)
• London Session: 0.70 (10.5 points)
• Asian Session: 0.40 (6 points)
• Off-Hours: 0.30 (4.5 points)
• Weekend: 0.10 (1.5 points)
4. Energy/Participation (10 points)
energy = (realized_vol / avg_vol) × 0.4 + (range / ATR) × 0.35 + (volume / avg_volume) × 0.25
score = min(energy, 1.0) × 10
5. Volume Confirmation (10 points)
if volume > SMA(volume, 20) × 1.5:
score = 10
else if volume > SMA(volume, 20):
score = 5
else:
score = 0
6. Structure Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Bullish structure (HH + HL): 10 points
• Higher low only: 6 points
• Neutral structure: 3 points
• Bearish structure: 0 points
Inverse for short signals
7. Trend Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Price > EMA21 > EMA50: 10 points
• Price > EMA21: 6 points
• Neutral: 3 points
• Against trend: 0 points
8. Entry Trigger Quality (5 points)
• Strong trigger (multiple confirmations): 5 points
• Moderate trigger (single confirmation): 3 points
• Weak trigger (marginal): 1 point
Grade Scale:
Total Score → Grade
85-100 → A+ (Exceptional—all factors aligned)
70-84 → A (Strong—high probability)
55-69 → B (Acceptable—proceed with caution)
Below 55 → C (Marginal—filtered by default)
Grade-Based Signal Brightness:
Signal arrows on the chart have transparency based on grade:
• A+: Full brightness (alpha = 0)
• A: Slight fade (alpha = 15)
• B: Moderate fade (alpha = 35)
• C: Significant fade (alpha = 55)
This visual hierarchy helps traders instantly identify signal quality.
Minimum Grade Filter:
Configurable filter (default: C) sets the minimum grade for signal display:
• Set to "A" for only highest-quality signals
• Set to "B" for moderate selectivity
• Set to "C" for all signals (maximum quantity)
🕐 SESSION INTELLIGENCE
Why Sessions Matter:
Markets behave differently at different times. The London open is fundamentally different from the Asian lunch hour. AMWT incorporates session-aware logic to optimize signal quality.
Session Definitions:
Asian Session (18:00-03:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Lower volatility, range-bound tendency, fewer institutional participants
• Quality Score: 0.40 (40% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Fade extremes, expect ranges, smaller position sizes
• Best For: Mean-reversion setups, accumulation/distribution identification
London Session (03:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: European institutional activity, volatility pickup, trend initiation
• Quality Score: 0.70 (70% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Watch for trend development, breakouts more reliable
• Best For: Initial trend identification, structure breaks
New York Session (08:00-17:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Highest liquidity, US institutional activity, major moves
• Quality Score: 0.95 (95% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Best environment for directional trades
• Best For: Trend continuation, momentum plays
London/NY Overlap (08:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Peak liquidity, both European and US participants active
• Quality Score: 1.0 (100%—maximum quality)
• Strategy Implications: Highest probability for successful breakouts and trends
• Best For: All signal types—this is prime time
Off-Hours
• Characteristics: Thin liquidity, erratic price action, gaps possible
• Quality Score: 0.30 (30% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Avoid new positions, wider stops if holding
• Best For: Waiting
Smart Weekend Detection:
AMWT properly handles the Sunday evening futures open:
// Traditional (broken):
isWeekend = dayofweek == saturday OR dayofweek == sunday
// AMWT (correct):
anySessionActive = not na(asianTime) or not na(londonTime) or not na(nyTime)
isWeekend = calendarWeekend AND NOT anySessionActive
This ensures Sunday 6pm ET (when futures open) correctly shows "Asian Session" rather than "Weekend."
Session Transition Boosts:
Certain session transitions create trading opportunities:
• Asian → London transition: +15% confidence boost (volatility expansion likely)
• London → Overlap transition: +20% confidence boost (peak liquidity approaching)
• Overlap → NY-only transition: -10% confidence adjustment (liquidity declining)
• Any → Off-Hours transition: Signal suppression recommended
📈 TRADE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
The Signal Spam Problem:
Many indicators generate signal after signal, creating confusion and overtrading. AMWT implements a complete trade lifecycle management system that prevents signal spam and tracks performance.
Trade Lock Mechanism:
Once a signal fires, the system enters a "trade lock" state:
Trade Lock Duration: Configurable (default 30 bars)
Early Exit Conditions:
• TP3 hit (full target reached)
• Stop Loss hit (trade failed)
• Lock expiration (time-based exit)
During lock:
• No new signals of same type displayed
• Opposite signals can override (reversal)
• Trade status tracked in dashboard
Target Levels:
Each signal generates three profit targets based on ATR:
TP1 (Conservative Target)
• Default: 1.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Quick partial profit, reduce risk
• Action: Take 30-40% off position, move stop to breakeven
TP2 (Standard Target)
• Default: 2.5 × ATR
• Purpose: Main profit target
• Action: Take 40-50% off position, trail stop
TP3 (Extended Target)
• Default: 5.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Runner target for trend days
• Action: Close remaining position or continue trailing
Stop Loss:
• Default: 1.9 × ATR from entry
• Purpose: Define maximum risk
• Placement: Below recent swing low (longs) or above recent swing high (shorts)
Invalidation Level:
Beyond stop loss, AMWT calculates an "invalidation" level where the wave hypothesis dies:
invalidation = entry - (ATR × INVALIDATION_MULT × 1.5)
If price reaches invalidation, the current market interpretation is wrong—not just the trade.
Visual Trade Management:
During active trades, AMWT displays:
• Entry arrow with grade label (▲A+, ▼B, etc.)
• TP1, TP2, TP3 horizontal lines in green
• Stop Loss line in red
• Invalidation line in orange (dashed)
• Progress indicator in dashboard
Persistent Execution Markers:
When targets or stops are hit, permanent markers appear:
• TP hit: Green dot with "TP1"/"TP2"/"TP3" label
• SL hit: Red dot with "SL" label
These persist on the chart for review and statistics.
💰 PERFORMANCE TRACKING & STATISTICS
Tracked Metrics:
• Total Trades: Count of all signals that entered trade lock
• Winning Trades: Signals where at least TP1 was reached before SL
• Losing Trades: Signals where SL was hit before any TP
• Win Rate: Winning / Total × 100%
• Total R Profit: Sum of R-multiples from winning trades
• Total R Loss: Sum of R-multiples from losing trades
• Net R: Total R Profit - Total R Loss
Currency Conversion System:
AMWT can display P&L in multiple formats:
R-Multiple (Default)
• Shows risk-normalized returns
• "Net P&L: +4.2R | 78 trades" means 4.2 times initial risk gained over 78 trades
• Best for comparing across different position sizes
Currency Conversion (USD/EUR/GBP/JPY/INR)
• Converts R-multiples to currency based on:
- Dollar Risk Per Trade (user input)
- Tick Value (user input)
- Selected currency
Example Configuration:
Dollar Risk Per Trade: $100
Display Currency: USD
If Net R = +4.2R
Display: Net P&L: +$420.00 | 78 trades
Ticks
• For futures traders who think in ticks
• Converts based on tick value input
Statistics Reset:
Two reset methods:
1. Toggle Reset
• Turn "Reset Statistics" toggle ON then OFF
• Clears all statistics immediately
2. Date-Based Reset
• Set "Reset After Date" (YYYY-MM-DD format)
• Only trades after this date are counted
• Useful for isolating recent performance
🎨 VISUAL FEATURES
Macro Channel:
Dynamic regression-based channel showing market boundaries:
• Upper/lower bounds calculated from swing pivot linear regression
• Adapts to current market structure
• Shows overall trend direction and potential reversal zones
Chop Boxes:
Semi-transparent overlay during high-chop periods:
• Purple/orange coloring indicates dangerous conditions
• Visual reminder to avoid new positions
Confluence Heat Zones:
Background shading indicating setup quality:
• Darker shading = higher confluence
• Lighter shading = lower confluence
• Helps identify optimal entry timing
EMA Ribbon:
Trend visualization via moving average fill:
• EMA 8/21/50 with gradient fill between
• Green fill when bullish aligned
• Red fill when bearish aligned
• Gray when neutral
Absorption Zone Boxes:
Marks potential accumulation/distribution areas:
• High volume + small body = absorption
• Boxes drawn at these levels
• Often act as support/resistance
Liquidity Pool Lines:
BSL/SSL levels with labels:
• Dashed lines at liquidity clusters
• "BSL" label above swing high clusters
• "SSL" label below swing low clusters
Six Professional Themes:
• Quantum: Deep purples and cyans (default)
• Cyberpunk: Neon pinks and blues
• Professional: Muted grays and greens
• Ocean: Blues and teals
• Matrix: Greens and blacks
• Ember: Oranges and reds
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1)
Goal: Understand AMWT concepts and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Signal Mode: Balanced
• Display: All features enabled
• Grade Filter: C (see all signals)
Actions:
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe HMM state transitions throughout the day
• Note when agents agree vs disagree
• Watch chop detection engage and disengage
• Track which grades produce winners vs losers
Key Learning Questions:
• How often do A+ signals win vs B signals? (Should see clear difference)
• Which agent tends to be right in current market? (Check dashboard)
• When does chop detection save you from bad trades?
• How do signals near liquidity events perform vs signals in vacuum?
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
Signal Mode Testing:
• Run 5 days on Aggressive mode (more signals)
• Run 5 days on Conservative mode (fewer signals)
• Compare: Which produces better risk-adjusted returns?
Grade Filter Testing:
• Track A+ only for 20 signals
• Track A and above for 20 signals
• Track B and above for 20 signals
• Compare win rates and expectancy
Chop Threshold Testing:
• Default (80%): Standard filtering
• Try 70%: More aggressive filtering
• Try 90%: Less filtering
• Which produces best results for your instrument?
Phase 3: Strategy Development (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
Position Sizing by Grade:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B grade: 50% position size
• C grade: 25% position size (or skip)
Session-Based Rules:
• London/NY Overlap: Take all A/A+ signals
• NY Session: Take all A+ signals, selective on A
• Asian Session: Only A+ signals with extra confirmation
• Off-Hours: No new positions
Chop Zone Rules:
• Chop >70%: Reduce position size 50%
• Chop >80%: No new positions
• Chop <50%: Full position size allowed
Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2)
Goal: Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ signals initially
• Follow trade management religiously
Tracking:
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, HMM State, Chop Level, Agent Consensus
• Calculate: Win rate by grade, by session, by chop level
• Compare to paper trading (should be within 15%)
Red Flags:
• Win rate diverges significantly from paper trading: Execution issues
• Consistent losses during certain sessions: Adjust session rules
• Losses cluster when specific agent dominates: Review that agent's logic
Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
Goal: Gradually increase to full position size
Progression:
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
Scale-Up Requirements:
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥50%
• Net R positive
• No revenge trading incidents
• Emotional control maintained
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS
Why HMM Over Simple Indicators:
Early versions used standard indicators (RSI >70 = overbought, etc.). Win rates hovered at 52-55%. The problem: indicators don't capture state. RSI can stay "overbought" for weeks in a strong trend.
The insight: markets exist in states, and state persistence matters more than indicator levels. Implementing HMM with state transition probabilities increased signal quality significantly. The system now knows not just "RSI is high" but "we're in IMPULSE_UP state with 70% probability of staying in IMPULSE_UP."
The Multi-Agent Evolution:
Original version used a single analytical methodology—trend-following. Performance was inconsistent: great in trends, destroyed in ranges. Added mean-reversion agent: now it was inconsistent the other way.
The breakthrough: use multiple agents and let the system learn which works . Thompson Sampling wasn't the first attempt—tried simple averaging, voting, even hard-coded regime switching. Thompson Sampling won because it's mathematically optimal and automatically adapts without manual regime detection.
Chop Detection Revelation:
Chop detection was added almost as an afterthought. "Let's filter out obviously bad conditions." Testing revealed it was the most impactful single feature. Filtering chop zones reduced losing trades by 35% while only reducing total signals by 20%. The insight: avoiding bad trades matters more than finding good ones.
Liquidity Anchoring Discovery:
Watched hundreds of trades. Noticed pattern: signals that fired after liquidity events (stop runs, volume spikes) had significantly higher win rates than signals in quiet markets. Implemented liquidity detection and anchoring. Win rate on liquidity-anchored signals: 68% vs 52% on non-anchored signals.
The Grade System Impact:
Early system had binary signals (fire or don't fire). Adding grading transformed it. Traders could finally match position size to signal quality. A+ signals deserved full size; C signals deserved caution. Just implementing grade-based sizing improved portfolio Sharpe ratio by 0.3.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What AMWT Is NOT:
• NOT a Holy Grail : No system wins every trade. AMWT improves probability, not certainty.
• NOT Fully Automated : AMWT provides signals and analysis; execution requires human judgment.
• NOT News-Proof : Exogenous shocks (FOMC surprises, geopolitical events) invalidate all technical analysis.
• NOT for Scalping : HMM state estimation needs time to develop. Sub-minute timeframes are not appropriate.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have States : Assumes markets transition between identifiable regimes. Violation: Random walk markets with no regime structure.
2. States Are Inferable : Assumes observable indicators reveal hidden states. Violation: Market manipulation creating false signals.
3. History Informs Future : Assumes past agent performance predicts future performance. Violation: Regime changes that invalidate historical patterns.
4. Liquidity Events Matter : Assumes institutional activity creates predictable patterns. Violation: Markets with no institutional participation.
Performs Best On:
• Liquid Futures : ES, NQ, MNQ, MES, CL, GC
• Major Forex Pairs : EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
• Large-Cap Stocks : AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap)
• Liquid Crypto : BTC, ETH on major exchanges
Performs Poorly On:
• Illiquid Instruments : Low volume stocks, exotic pairs
• Very Low Timeframes : Sub-5-minute charts (noise overwhelms signal)
• Binary Event Days : Earnings, FDA approvals, court rulings
• Manipulated Markets : Penny stocks, low-cap altcoins
Known Weaknesses:
• Warmup Period : HMM needs ~50 bars to initialize properly. Early signals may be unreliable.
• Regime Change Lag : Thompson Sampling adapts over time, not instantly. Sudden regime changes may cause short-term underperformance.
• Complexity : More parameters than simple indicators. Requires understanding to use effectively.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Adaptive Market Wave Theory, while based on rigorous mathematical frameworks including Hidden Markov Models and multi-armed bandit algorithms, does not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
AMWT's methodologies—HMM state estimation, Thompson Sampling agent selection, and confluence-based grading—have theoretical foundations but past performance is not indicative of future results.
Hidden Markov Model assumptions may not hold during:
• Major news events disrupting normal market behavior
• Flash crashes or circuit breaker events
• Low liquidity periods with erratic price action
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Multi-agent consensus assumes independent analytical perspectives provide edge. Market conditions change. Edges that existed historically can diminish or disappear.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing. Implement stop losses without exception.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge these risks and accept full responsibility for all trading decisions and outcomes.
"Elliott Wave was a first-order approximation of market phase behavior. AMWT is the second—probabilistic, adaptive, and accountable."
Initial Public Release
Core Engine:
• True Hidden Markov Model with online Baum-Welch learning
• Viterbi algorithm for optimal state sequence decoding
• 6-state market regime classification
Agent System:
• 3-Bandit consensus (Trend, Reversion, Structure)
• Thompson Sampling with true Beta distribution sampling
• Adaptive weight learning based on performance
Signal Generation:
• Quality-based confluence grading (A+/A/B/C)
• Four signal modes (Aggressive/Balanced/Conservative/Institutional)
• Grade-based visual brightness
Chop Detection:
• 5-factor analysis (ADX, Choppiness Index, Range Compression, Channel Position, Volume)
• 7 regime classifications
• Configurable signal suppression threshold
Liquidity:
• Volume spike detection
• Stop run (liquidity sweep) identification
• BSL/SSL pool mapping
• Absorption zone detection
Trade Management:
• Trade lock with configurable duration
• TP1/TP2/TP3 targets
• ATR-based stop loss
• Persistent execution markers
Session Intelligence:
• Asian/London/NY/Overlap detection
• Smart weekend handling (Sunday futures open)
• Session quality scoring
Performance:
• Statistics tracking with reset functionality
• 7 currency display modes
• Win rate and Net R calculation
Visuals:
• Macro channel with linear regression
• Chop boxes
• EMA ribbon
• Liquidity pool lines
• 6 professional themes
Dashboards:
• Main Dashboard: Market State, Consensus, Trade Status, Statistics
📋 AMWT vs AMWT-PRO:
This version includes all core AMWT functionality:
✓ Full Hidden Markov Model state estimation
✓ 3-Bandit Thompson Sampling consensus system
✓ Complete 5-factor chop detection engine
✓ All four signal modes
✓ Full trade management with TP/SL tracking
✓ Main dashboard with complete statistics
✓ All visual features (channels, zones, pools)
✓ Identical signal generation to PRO
✓ Six professional themes
✓ Full alert system
The PRO version adds the AMWT Advisor panel—a secondary dashboard providing:
• Real-time Market Pulse situation assessment
• Agent Matrix visualization (individual agent votes)
• Structure analysis breakdown
• "Watch For" upcoming setups
• Action Command coaching
Both versions generate identical signals . The Advisor provides additional guidance for interpreting those signals.
Taking you to school. - Dskyz, Trade with probability. Trade with consensus. Trade with AMWT.
Options Series - NonOverlay_Technical
⭐ 1. Purpose:
The script is designed to show technical indicators in a non-overlay form using candlestick representations. It combines multiple popular technical analysis tools to gauge the market's bullish or bearish conditions.
⭐ 2. Indicators:
The script uses several indicators across different timeframes: Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) for 5, 20, 50 periods. Simple Moving Average (SMA) for 200 periods. RSI (Relative Strength Index) for momentum. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) for average price evaluation. PSAR (Parabolic SAR) for trend direction. Daily and multi-day (2-day and 3-day) data for broader market context.
⭐ 3. Candlestick Representation:
The script uses color-coded candlesticks to visually represent various indicators and their bullish/bearish states: Green candlesticks for bullish conditions. Red candlesticks for bearish conditions. Neutral/transparent for non-significant conditions.
⭐ 4. Important Conditions:
It calculates bullish and bearish conditions for each indicator: MA20: When the price is above or below the 20-period EMA. RSI: When RSI is above or below 50. VWAP: When the price is above or below the VWAP. PSAR: When the price is above or below the PSAR. 2-day and 3-day Moving Averages: Evaluating the broader trend.
⭐ 5. Bullish vs. Bearish Calculation:
The script sums up bullish and bearish signals to determine the overall market condition: Current_logical_bull: Counts the number of bullish indicators. Current_logical_bear: Counts the number of bearish indicators. The script compares these values to conclude whether the market is more bullish or bearish.
⭐ 6. Visual Plotting:
The script uses plotcandle to display the non-overlay signals at different levels for each condition, stacked vertically from MA20 to PSAR. Additionally, a master candle combines all indicators to show an overall market trend.
⭐ 7. Neon Effect on MA20:
It adds a neon-like effect to the MA20 line, making it visually prominent: A standard plot line with the base color. Two additional neon layers with increasing transparency to enhance the effect.
⭐ 8. Daily Timeframes and Lookahead:
The script fetches daily data using the lookahead feature to get a broader view of the market trend. It tracks the previous day’s and two days' data for comparison.
⭐ 9. Labels and Customization:
The script dynamically adds labels to the chart for the different plotted indicators at the last bar, making it easier to identify which indicator is being represented.
🚀 Conclusion:
The script combines multiple technical indicators, such as EMA, RSI, VWAP, PSAR, and multi-day moving averages, to visually assess bullish and bearish market conditions. It uses color-coded candlesticks to represent each indicator and sums up the signals to determine the overall trend.
MACD Bands - Multi Timeframe [TradeMaster Lite]We present a customizable MACD indicator, with the following features:
Multi-timeframe
Deviation bands to spot unusual volatility
9 Moving Average types
Conditional coloring and line crossings
👉 What is MACD?
MACD is a classic, trend-following indicator that uses moving averages to identify changes in momentum. It can be used to identify trend changes, overbought and oversold conditions, and potential reversals.
👉 Multi-timeframe:
This feature allows to analyze the same market data on multiple time frames, which can be in help to identify trends and patterns that would not be visible on a single time frame. When using the multi-timeframe feature, it is important to start with the higher time frame and then look for confirmation on the lower time frames. This will help you to avoid false signals. Please note that only timeframes higher than the chart timeframe is supported currently with this feature enabled. Might get updated in the future.
👉 Deviation bands to spot unusual volatility:
Deviation bands are plotted around the Signal line that can be in help to identify periods of unusual volatility. When the MACD line crosses outside of the deviation bands, it suggests that the market is becoming more volatile and a strong trend may form in that direction.
👉 9 Moving Average types can be used in the script. Each type of moving average offers a unique perspective and can be used in different scenarios to identify market trends.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): This calculates the average of a selected range of values, by the number of periods in that range.
SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average): This takes into account all data available and assigns equal weighting to the values.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): This places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points.
DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average): This is a faster-moving average that uses a proprietary calculation to reduce the lag in data points.
TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average): This is even quicker than the DEMA, helping traders respond more quickly to changes in trend.
LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average): This moving average applies least squares regression method to determine the future direction of the trend.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): This moving average is designed to reduce lag and improve smoothness, providing quicker signals for short-term market movements.
VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average): This assigns more weight to candles with a high volume, reflecting the true average values more accurately in high volume periods.
WMA (Weighted Moving Average): This assigns more weight to the latest data, but not as much as the EMA.
👉 Conditional coloring :
This feature colors the MACD line line based on it's direction and fills the area between the MACD line and Deviation band edges to highlight the potential volatility and the strength of the momentum. This can be useful to identify when the market is trending strongly and when it is in a more neutral or choppy state.
👉 MACD Line - Signal Line crossings:
This is a classic MACD trading signal that occurs when the MACD line crosses above or below the signal line. Crossovers can be used to identify potential trend reversals. This can be a bullish or bearish signal, depending on the direction of the crossover.
👉 General advice
Confirming Signals with other indicators:
As with all technical indicators, it is important to confirm potential signals with other analytical tools, such as support and resistance levels, as well as indicators like RSI, MACD, and volume. This helps increase the probability of a successful trade.
Use proper risk management:
When using this or any other indicator, it is crucial to have proper risk management in place. Consider implementing stop-loss levels and thoughtful position sizing.
Combining with other technical indicators:
The indicator can be effectively used alongside other technical indicators to create a comprehensive trading strategy and provide additional confirmation.
Keep in Mind:
Thorough research and backtesting are essential before making any trading decisions. Furthermore, it's crucial to have a solid understanding of the indicator and its behavior. Additionally, incorporating fundamental analysis and considering market sentiment can be vital factors to take into account in your trading approach.
Limitations:
This is a lagging indicator. Please note that the indicator is using moving averages, which are lagging indicators.
The indicators within the TradeMaster Lite package aim for simplicity and efficiency, while retaining their original purpose and value. Some settings, functions or visuals may be simpler than expected.
⭐ Conclusion
We hold the view that the true path to success is the synergy between the trader and the tool, contrary to the common belief that the tool itself is the sole determinant of profitability. The actual scenario is more nuanced than such an oversimplification. Our aim is to offer useful features that meet the needs of the 21st century and that we actually use.
🛑 Risk Notice:
Everything provided by trademasterindicator – from scripts, tools, and articles to educational materials – is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. Past performance does not assure future returns.
The Flash-Strategy with Minervini Stage Analysis QualifierThe Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR) with Minervini Stage Analysis Qualifier
Introduction
Welcome to a comprehensive guide on a cutting-edge trading strategy I've developed, designed for the modern trader seeking an edge in today's dynamic markets. This strategy, which I've honed through my years of experience in the trading arena, stands out for its unique blend of technical analysis and market intuition, tailored specifically for use on the TradingView platform.
As a trader with a deep passion for the financial markets, my journey began several years ago, driven by a relentless pursuit of a trading methodology that is both effective and adaptable. My background in trading spans various market conditions and asset classes, providing me with a rich tapestry of experiences from which to draw. This strategy is the culmination of that journey, embodying the lessons learned and insights gained along the way.
The cornerstone of this strategy lies in its ability to generate precise long signals in a Stage 2 uptrend and equally accurate short signals in a Stage 4 downtrend. This approach is rooted in the principles of trend following and momentum trading, harnessing the power of key indicators such as the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and Average True Range (ATR). What sets this strategy apart is its meticulous design, which allows it to adapt to the ever-changing market conditions, providing traders with a robust tool for navigating both bullish and bearish scenarios.
This strategy was born out of a desire to create a trading system that is not only highly effective in identifying potential trade setups but also straightforward enough to be implemented by traders of varying skill levels. It's a reflection of my belief that successful trading hinges on clarity, precision, and disciplined execution. Whether you are a seasoned trader or just beginning your journey, this guide aims to provide you with a comprehensive understanding of how to harness the full potential of this strategy in your trading endeavors.
In the following sections, we will delve deeper into the mechanics of the strategy, its implementation, and how to make the most out of its features. Join me as we explore the nuances of a strategy that is designed to elevate your trading to the next level.
Stage-Specific Signal Generation
A distinctive feature of this trading strategy is its focus on generating long signals exclusively during Stage 2 uptrends and short signals during Stage 4 downtrends. This approach is based on the widely recognized market cycle theory, which divides the market into four stages: Stage 1 (accumulation), Stage 2 (uptrend), Stage 3 (distribution), and Stage 4 (downtrend). By aligning the signal generation with these specific stages, the strategy aims to capitalize on the most dynamic and clear-cut market movements, thereby enhancing the potential for profitable trades.
1. Long Signals in Stage 2 Uptrends
• Characteristics of Stage 2: Stage 2 is characterized by a strong uptrend, where prices are consistently rising. This stage typically follows a period of accumulation (Stage 1) and is marked by increased investor interest and bullish sentiment in the market.
• Criteria for Long Signal Generation: Long signals are generated during this stage when the technical indicators align with the characteristics of a Stage 2 uptrend.
• Rationale for Stage-Specific Signals: By focusing on Stage 2 for long trades, the strategy seeks to enter positions during the phase of strong upward momentum, thus riding the wave of rising prices and investor optimism. This stage-specific approach minimizes exposure to less predictable market phases, like the consolidation in Stage 1 or the indecision in Stage 3.
2. Short Signals in Stage 4 Downtrends
• Characteristics of Stage 4: Stage 4 is identified by a pronounced downtrend, with declining prices indicating prevailing bearish sentiment. This stage typically follows the distribution phase (Stage 3) and is characterized by increasing selling pressure.
• Criteria for Short Signal Generation: Short signals are generated in this stage when the indicators reflect a strong bearish trend.
• Rationale for Stage-Specific Signals: Targeting Stage 4 for shorting capitalizes on the market's downward momentum. This tactic aligns with the natural market cycle, allowing traders to exploit the downward price movements effectively. By doing so, the strategy avoids the potential pitfalls of shorting during the early or late stages of the market cycle, where trends are less defined and more susceptible to reversals.
In conclusion, the strategy’s emphasis on stage-specific signal generation is a testament to its sophisticated understanding of market dynamics. By tailoring the long and short signals to Stages 2 and 4, respectively, it leverages the most compelling phases of the market cycle, offering traders a clear and structured approach to aligning their trades with dominant market trends.
Strategy Overview
At the heart of this trading strategy is a philosophy centered around capturing market momentum and trend efficiency. The core objective is to identify and capitalize on clear uptrends and downtrends, thereby allowing traders to position themselves in sync with the market's prevailing direction. This approach is grounded in the belief that aligning trades with these dominant market forces can lead to more consistent and profitable outcomes.
The strategy is built on three foundational components, each playing a critical role in the decision-making process:
1. Momentum-RSI (Relative Strength Index): The Momentum-RSI is a pivotal element of this strategy. It's an enhanced version of the traditional RSI, fine-tuned to better capture the strength and velocity of market trends. By measuring the speed and change of price movements, the Momentum-RSI provides invaluable insights into whether a market is potentially overbought or oversold, suggesting possible entry and exit points. This indicator is especially effective in filtering out noise and focusing on substantial market moves.
2. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Crossover: The EMA Crossover is a crucial component for trend identification. This strategy employs two EMAs with different timeframes to determine the market trend. When the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, it signals an emerging uptrend, suggesting a potential long entry. Conversely, a crossover below indicates a possible downtrend, hinting at a short entry opportunity. This simple yet powerful tool is key in confirming trend directions and timing market entries.
3. ATR (Average True Range): The ATR is instrumental in assessing market volatility. This indicator helps in understanding the average range of price movements over a given period, thus providing a sense of how much a market might move on a typical day. In this strategy, the ATR is used to adjust stop-loss levels and to gauge the potential risk and reward of trades. It allows for more informed decisions by aligning trade management techniques with the current volatility conditions.
The synergy of these three components – the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR – creates a robust framework for this trading strategy. By combining momentum analysis, trend identification, and volatility assessment, the strategy offers a comprehensive approach to navigating the markets. Whether it's capturing a strong trend in its early stages or identifying a potential reversal, this strategy aims to provide traders with the tools and insights needed to make well-informed, strategically sound trading decisions.
Detailed Component Analysis
The efficacy of this trading strategy hinges on the synergistic functioning of its three key components: the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and Average True Range (ATR). Each component brings a unique perspective to the strategy, contributing to a well-rounded approach to market analysis.
1. Momentum-RSI (Relative Strength Index)
• Definition and Function: The Momentum-RSI is a modified version of the classic Relative Strength Index. While the traditional RSI measures the velocity and magnitude of directional price movements, the Momentum-RSI amplifies aspects that reflect trend strength and momentum.
• Significance in Identifying Trend Strength: This indicator excels in identifying the strength behind a market's move. A high Momentum-RSI value typically indicates strong bullish momentum, suggesting the potential continuation of an uptrend. Conversely, a low Momentum-RSI value signals strong bearish momentum, possibly indicative of an ongoing downtrend.
• Application in Strategy: In this strategy, the Momentum-RSI is used to gauge the underlying strength of market trends. It helps in filtering out minor fluctuations and focusing on significant movements, providing a clearer picture of the market's true momentum.
2. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Crossover
• Definition and Function: The EMA Crossover component utilizes two exponential moving averages of different timeframes. Unlike simple moving averages, EMAs give more weight to recent prices, making them more responsive to new information.
• Contribution to Market Direction: The interaction between the short-term and long-term EMAs is key to determining market direction. A crossover of the shorter EMA above the longer EMA is an indicator of an emerging uptrend, while a crossover below signals a developing downtrend.
• Application in Strategy: The EMA Crossover serves as a trend confirmation tool. It provides a clear, visual representation of the market's direction, aiding in the decision-making process for entering long or short positions. This component ensures that trades are aligned with the prevailing market trend, a crucial factor for the success of the strategy.
3. ATR (Average True Range)
• Definition and Function: The ATR is an indicator that measures market volatility by calculating the average range between the high and low prices over a specified period.
• Role in Assessing Market Volatility: The ATR provides insights into the typical market movement within a given timeframe, offering a measure of the market's volatility. Higher ATR values indicate increased volatility, while lower values suggest a calmer market environment.
• Application in Strategy: Within this strategy, the ATR is instrumental in tailoring risk management techniques, particularly in setting stop-loss levels. By accounting for the market's volatility, the ATR ensures that stop-loss orders are placed at levels that are neither too tight (risking premature exits) nor too loose (exposing to excessive risk).
In summary, the combination of Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR in this trading strategy provides a comprehensive toolkit for market analysis. The Momentum-RSI identifies the strength of market trends, the EMA Crossover confirms the market direction, and the ATR guides in risk management by assessing volatility. Together, these components form the backbone of a strategy designed to navigate the complexities of the financial markets effectively.
1. Signal Generation Process
• Combining Indicators: The strategy operates by synthesizing signals from the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR indicators. Each indicator serves a specific purpose: the Momentum-RSI gauges trend momentum, the EMA Crossover identifies the trend direction, and the ATR assesses the market’s volatility.
• Criteria for Signal Validation: For a signal to be considered valid, it must meet specific criteria set by each of the three indicators. This multi-layered approach ensures that signals are not only based on one aspect of market behavior but are a result of a comprehensive analysis.
2. Conditions for Long Positions
• Uptrend Confirmation: A long position signal is generated when the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, indicating an uptrend.
• Momentum-RSI Alignment: Alongside the EMA crossover, the Momentum-RSI should indicate strong bullish momentum. This is typically represented by the Momentum-RSI being at a high level, confirming the strength of the uptrend.
• ATR Consideration: The ATR is used to fine-tune the entry point and set an appropriate stop-loss level. In a low volatility scenario, as indicated by the ATR, the stop-loss can be set tighter, closer to the entry point.
3. Conditions for Short Positions
• Downtrend Confirmation: Conversely, a short position signal is indicated when the shorter-term EMA crosses below the longer-term EMA, signaling a downtrend.
• Momentum-RSI Confirmation: The Momentum-RSI should reflect strong bearish momentum, usually seen when the Momentum-RSI is at a low level. This confirms the bearish strength of the market.
• ATR Application: The ATR again plays a role in determining the stop-loss level for the short position. Higher volatility, as indicated by a higher ATR, would warrant a wider stop-loss to accommodate larger market swings.
By adhering to these mechanics, the strategy aims to ensure that each trade is entered with a high probability of success, aligning with the market’s current momentum and trend. The integration of these indicators allows for a holistic market analysis, providing traders with clear and actionable signals for both entering and exiting trades.
Customizable Parameters in the Strategy
Flexibility and adaptability are key features of this trading strategy, achieved through a range of customizable parameters. These parameters allow traders to tailor the strategy to their individual trading style, risk tolerance, and specific market conditions. By adjusting these parameters, users can fine-tune the strategy to optimize its performance and align it with their unique trading objectives. Below are the primary parameters that can be customized within the strategy:
1. Momentum-RSI Settings
• Period: The lookback period for the Momentum-RSI can be adjusted. A shorter period makes the indicator more sensitive to recent price changes, while a longer period smoothens the RSI line, offering a broader view of the momentum.
• Overbought/Oversold Thresholds: Users can set their own overbought and oversold levels, which can help in identifying extreme market conditions more precisely according to their trading approach.
2. EMA Crossover Settings
• Timeframes for EMAs: The strategy uses two EMAs with different timeframes. Traders can modify these timeframes, choosing shorter periods for a more responsive approach or longer periods for a more conservative one.
• Source Data: The choice of price data (close, open, high, low) used in calculating the EMAs can be varied depending on the trader’s preference.
3. ATR Settings
• Lookback Period: Adjusting the lookback period for the ATR impacts how the indicator measures volatility. A longer period may provide a more stable but less responsive measure, while a shorter period offers quicker but potentially more erratic readings.
• Multiplier for Stop-Loss Calculation: This parameter allows traders to set how aggressively or conservatively they want their stop-loss to be in relation to the ATR value.
Here are the standard settings:
Bearish Market Indicator V2Definition
Have you ever wonder whether if the stock/index/market is "bearish" ? A Bearish Market Indicator (B.M.I) is not a new concept, the definition is simply 20% lower from the recent (term: short-term, recent: usually within a year, a.k.a 1 year) highs (closing price with in the recent period or within in a year or simply a 52-Week High). It is called “bearish” by definition when the closing price is below 20% from the highest price within the year (52-Week high: Green Line). To visualize the “20%” below the recent highs, there is a plot (line: light yellow color in the middle) called a Bearish Market By Definition Value. For example, the SPX 500 has been in a bearish market which is why there is a purple color highlight over the 52-Week High (green line) since September 21, 2022 because the closing price is below the Bearish Market By Definition Value (light yellow color) or “20% below the recent highs”. Finally, there is a red line under in the graph and it is the lowest price within a year. So when you hear, “this ticker is at a 52-Week Low”, you know what it means.
Line Summary:
Green Color Line = 52-Week High
Yellow Color Line = 20% away from the 52-Week High or Bearish Market By Definition Value
Red Color Line = 52-Week Low
Color Summary:
Red Color = Bad
Saturated Red Color = Very Bad
Purple Color = Bearish (It may look pink: red + purple)
White Color = Less Bad (That’s because there is no certainty only probability)
Green Color = Not too Bad (That’s because there is no certainty only probability)
Now to more complicated Metrics
>> If you do not like the technical indicators, go to the indicator settings, uncheck the tables. Otherwise, please continue reading. <<
Pre-requisites
+ Understand that the indicators are lagging indicators.
+ Using it under “D” or “Day” interval
+ Already Understand: Moving Averages, Stochastic-RSI, RSI, Super Trend and MACD.
+ Please be aware that this might not be compatible with traders!
Indicators
This B.M.I is fused (comprised, combined) with multiple indicators:
- Moving Averages
I would not rely just on the Moving Averages (MA) since it is a lagging indicator. The values are derived by finding the differences with respect to the MAs (between the closing price and with the respect MA).
- Stochastic-RSI
Stochastic and RSI combo with RSI-Color coating. The first value is the rsi-stochastic-k followed by the rsi-stochastic-d both are compartmentalized with “|”.
Parameter:
Numbers > 80 Not Good
Numbers < 20 Is it time? (You can manually verify the lines (k, d) or the values from them)
- Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The first value is the rsi followed by the rsi-ma both are compartmentalized with “|”. It is also coated with RSI-color.
Parameter:
Numbers > 70 Overbought | Color Red
If the RSI > RSI’s MA = Green
If the RSI < RSI’s MA = Red
Numbers < 30 Oversold | Color Red
- Moving Averages Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The first value is the MACD-line followed by the signal-line both are compartmentalized with “|”.
Macd-line > signal line = green
Macd-line < signal line = red
- Supertrend (please look up from the documentation; i can not embed the link)
Think of this way, you’re riding a wave. If the wave is climbing, expect the price to follow.
Direction < 0 = Green
Direction > 0 = Red
- Other Trend similar to supertrend
This is similar to the Super Trend according the some. Imagine you’re drawing a trend line manually within 6 months.
Within the period, the line gets smoothed over and over til the n=9.
> If the closing is less than the 9th value, it implies the trend is slowing down.
Usage
Adjustments
+ Since there are different holidays from different countries, you can change the BMI-Period from the indicator settings “BMI-4khansolo”.
+ You can hide Technical Indicator Tables, it is also under the settings (see above).
> This will show red over the 52-Week high if it tests for positive .
Purpose
Do you like eating the same food over and over? No! I love different food! I also love a variety of indicators. Especially, I love having MULTIPLE indicators presented in one canvas at the same time (personalized).
After spending a lot of time, I want to share my “FOOD” which is made of different ingredients (indicators) with someone who appreciates food! This Makes me a chef isn't it? Yes! Chef!
Questions?
If you have questions or spotted errors, please comment them below so that I can improve.
Sources
All the materials (i.e., functions like ta.rsi, etc...) used in here are available in the platform.
All the references or sources materials are commented with the code since the I am not allowed to put them here.
Multiple Symbol Trend Screener [Pineify]Multiple Symbol Trend Screener Pineify – Ultimate Multi-Indicator Scanner for TradingView
Empower your trading with deep market insights across multiple symbols using this feature-rich Pine Script screener. The Multiple Symbol Trend Screener Pineify enables traders to monitor and compare trends, reversals, and consolidations in real-time across the biggest equity symbols on TradingView, through a synergistic blend of popular technical indicators.
Key Features
Monitor up to 15 symbols and their trends simultaneously
Integrates 7 professional-grade indicators: MA Distance, Aroon, Parabolic SAR (PSAR), ADX, Supertrend, Keltner Channel, and BBTrend
Color-coded table display for instant visual assessment
Customizable lookback periods, indicator types, and calculation methods
SEO optimized for multi-symbol trend detection, screener, and advanced TradingView indicator
How It Works
This indicator leverages TradingView’s Pine Script v6 and request.security() to process multiple symbols across selected timeframes. Data populates a dynamic table, updating each cell based on the calculated value of every underlying indicator. MA Distance highlights deviation from moving averages; Aroon flags emerging trend strength; PSAR marks potential trend reversals; ADX assesses trend momentum; Supertrend detects bullish/bearish phases; Keltner Channel and BBTrend offer volatility and power insights.
Set up your preferred symbols and timeframes
Each indicator runs its calculation per symbol using its parameter group
All results are displayed in a table for a comprehensive dashboard view
Trading Ideas and Insights
Traders can use this screener for cross-market comparison, directional bias, entry/exit filtering, and comprehensive trend evaluation. The screener is excellent for swing trading, day trading, and portfolio tracking. It enables confirmation across multiple frameworks — for example, spotting momentum with ADX before confirming direction with Supertrend and PSAR.
Identify correlated movements or divergences across selected assets
Spot synchronized trend changes for basket trading ideas
Filter symbols by volatility, strength, or trend status for precise trade selection
How Multiple Indicators Work Together
The screener’s edge lies in its intelligent correlation of popular indicators. MA Distance measures the proximity to chosen moving averages, ideal for spotting overbought/oversold conditions. Aroon reveals the strength of new price trends, PSAR indicates reversal signals, and ADX quantifies the momentum of these trends. Supertrend provides a directional phase, while Keltner Channel & BBTrend analyze volatility shifts and band compressions. This amalgamation allows for a robust, multi-dimensional market snapshot, capturing details missed by single-indicator tools.
By displaying all key metrics side-by-side, the screener enables holistic decision-making, revealing confluence zones and contradiction areas across multiple tickers and timeframes.
Unique Aspects
Original implementation combining seven independent trend and momentum indicators for each symbol
Rich customization for symbols, timeframes, and all indicator parameters
Intuitive color-coding for quick reading of bullish/bearish/neutral signals
Comprehensive dashboard for instant actionable insights
How to Use
Load the indicator onto your TradingView chart
Go to the script’s settings and input your preferred symbols and relevant timeframes
Set your desired parameters for each indicator group: Moving Average type, Aroon length, PSAR values, ADX smoothing, etc.
Observe the results in the top-right table, then use it to filter candidates and validate trade setups
The screener is suitable for all timeframes and asset classes available on TradingView. Make sure your chart’s timeframe matches the one used in the scanner for optimal accuracy.
Customization
Choose up to 15 symbols to monitor in a single dashboard
Customize lookback periods, indicator types, colors, and display settings
Configure alerting options and thresholds for advanced trade automation
Conclusion
The Multiple Symbol Trend Screener Pineify sets a new standard for multi-asset screening on TradingView. By elegantly merging seven proven technical indicators, the screener delivers powerful trend detection, reversal analysis, and volatility monitoring — all in one dashboard. Take your trading to new heights with in-depth, customizable market surveillance.
*2.2 Aggregated (Raw Z-scores with MA)***To be used with other 2.2 indicator***
Key Indicators Used:
Oscillating Indicators: RSI, TSI, Stochastic, MACD, CCI, Vortex Indicator, Williams %R.
Perpetual Trend Indicators: EMA, ADX, Parabolic SAR, Supertrend, Donchian Channel, Ichimoku Cloud, RVGI.
How to Use the Indicator:
Raw Z-Score (Blue Line): This represents the real-time aggregated Z-score of all the indicators. It shows how far the current market conditions are from their average, helping you identify trends.
Moving Average of Z-Score (Orange Line): A smoothed version of the Z-score that helps confirm trends and eliminate noise.
Shaded Area: The area between the Z-score and its moving average is shaded green if the Z-score is above the moving average (bullish), and red if below the moving average (bearish).
Zero Line (Gray Line): Serves as a reference point. A Z-score crossing above zero could signal a bullish market, while crossing below zero could indicate bearish conditions.
This indicator helps in identifying market extremes and trend reversals by combining various technical indicators into a single aggregate score, ideal for spotting overbought or oversold conditions and possible trend shifts
Trend Following ADX + Parabolic SAR### Strategy Description: Trend Following using **ADX** and **Parabolic SAR**
This strategy is designed to follow market trends using two popular indicators: **Average Directional Index (ADX)** and **Parabolic SAR**. The strategy attempts to enter trades when the market shows a strong trend (using ADX) and confirms the trend direction using the Parabolic SAR. Here's a breakdown:
### Key Indicators:
1. **ADX (Average Directional Index)**:
- **Purpose**: ADX measures the strength of a trend, regardless of direction.
- **Usage**: The strategy uses ADX to confirm that the market is trending. When ADX is above a certain threshold (e.g., 25), it indicates a strong trend.
- **Directional Indicators**:
- **DI+ (Directional Indicator Plus)**: Indicates upward movement strength.
- **DI- (Directional Indicator Minus)**: Indicates downward movement strength.
2. **Parabolic SAR**:
- **Purpose**: Parabolic SAR is a trend-following indicator used to identify potential reversals in the price direction.
- **Usage**: It provides specific price points above or below which the strategy confirms buy or sell signals.
### Strategy Logic:
#### **Entry Conditions**:
1. **Long Position** (Buy):
- **ADX** is above the threshold (default: 25), indicating a strong trend.
- **DI+ > DI-**, indicating the upward trend is stronger than the downward.
- The price is above the **Parabolic SAR** level, confirming the upward trend.
2. **Short Position** (Sell):
- **ADX** is above the threshold (default: 25), indicating a strong trend.
- **DI- > DI+**, indicating the downward trend is stronger than the upward.
- The price is below the **Parabolic SAR** level, confirming the downward trend.
#### **Exit Conditions**:
- Positions are closed when an opposite signal is detected.
- For example, if a long position is open and the conditions for a short position are met, the long position is closed, and a short position is opened.
### Parameters:
1. **ADX Period**: Defines the length of the period for the ADX calculation (default: 14).
2. **ADX Threshold**: The minimum value of ADX to confirm a strong trend (default: 25).
3. **Parabolic SAR Start**: The initial step for the SAR (default: 0.02).
4. **Parabolic SAR Increment**: The step increment for SAR (default: 0.02).
5. **Parabolic SAR Max**: The maximum step for SAR (default: 0.2).
### Example Trade Flow:
#### **Long Trade**:
1. ADX > 25, confirming a strong trend.
2. DI+ > DI-, indicating the market is trending upward.
3. The price is above the Parabolic SAR, confirming the upward direction.
4. **Action**: Enter a long (buy) position.
5. Exit the long position when a short signal is triggered (i.e., DI- > DI+, price below Parabolic SAR).
#### **Short Trade**:
1. ADX > 25, confirming a strong trend.
2. DI- > DI+, indicating the market is trending downward.
3. The price is below the Parabolic SAR, confirming the downward direction.
4. **Action**: Enter a short (sell) position.
5. Exit the short position when a long signal is triggered (i.e., DI+ > DI-, price above Parabolic SAR).
### Strengths of the Strategy:
- **Trend-Following**: It performs well in markets with strong trends, whether upward or downward.
- **Dual Confirmation**: The combination of ADX and Parabolic SAR reduces false signals by ensuring both trend strength and direction are considered before entering a trade.
### Weaknesses:
- **Range-Bound Markets**: This strategy may perform poorly in choppy, non-trending markets because both ADX and SAR are trend-following indicators.
- **Lagging Nature**: Since both ADX and SAR are lagging indicators, the strategy may enter trades after the trend has already started, potentially missing early profits.
### Customization:
- **ADX Threshold**: You can increase the threshold if you only want to trade in very strong trends, or lower it to capture more moderate trends.
- **SAR Parameters**: Adjusting the SAR `start`, `increment`, and `max` values will make the Parabolic SAR more or less sensitive to price changes.
### Summary:
This strategy combines the ADX and Parabolic SAR to take advantage of strong market trends. By confirming both trend strength (ADX) and trend direction (Parabolic SAR), it aims to enter high-probability trades in trending markets while minimizing false signals. However, it may struggle in sideways or non-trending markets.
For Educational purposes only !!!
AI SuperTrend x Pivot Percentile - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The AI SuperTrend x Pivot Percentile strategy is a sophisticated trading approach that integrates AI-driven analysis with traditional technical indicators. Combining the AI SuperTrend with the Pivot Percentile strategy highlights several key advantages:
1. Enhanced Accuracy in Trend Prediction: The AI SuperTrend utilizes K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) algorithm for trend prediction, improving accuracy by considering historical data patterns. This is complemented by the Pivot Percentile analysis which provides additional context on trend strength.
2. Comprehensive Market Analysis: The integration offers a multi-faceted approach to market analysis, combining AI insights with traditional technical indicators. This dual approach captures a broader range of market dynamics.
BTC 6H L/S Performance
Local
█ Strategy: How it Works - Detailed Explanation
🔶 AI-Enhanced SuperTrend Indicators
1. SuperTrend Calculation:
- The SuperTrend indicator is calculated using a moving average and the Average True Range (ATR). The basic formula is:
- Upper Band = Moving Average + (Multiplier × ATR)
- Lower Band = Moving Average - (Multiplier × ATR)
- The moving average type (SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, VWMA) and the length of the moving average and ATR are adjustable parameters.
- The direction of the trend is determined based on the position of the closing price in relation to these bands.
2. AI Integration with K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN):
- The KNN algorithm is applied to predict trend direction. It uses historical price data and SuperTrend values to classify the current trend as bullish or bearish.
- The algorithm calculates the 'distance' between the current data point and historical points. The 'k' nearest data points (neighbors) are identified based on this distance.
- A weighted average of these neighbors' trends (bullish or bearish) is calculated to predict the current trend.
For more please check: Multi-TF AI SuperTrend with ADX - Strategy
🔶 Pivot Percentile Analysis
1. Percentile Calculation:
- This involves calculating the percentile ranks for high and low prices over a set of predefined lengths.
- The percentile function is typically defined as:
- Percentile = Value at (P/100) × (N + 1)th position
- Where P is the desired percentile, and N is the number of data points.
2. Trend Strength Evaluation:
- The calculated percentiles for highs and lows are used to determine the strength of bullish and bearish trends.
- For instance, a high percentile rank in the high prices may indicate a strong bullish trend, and vice versa for bearish trends.
For more please check: Pivot Percentile Trend - Strategy
🔶 Strategy Integration
1. Combining SuperTrend and Pivot Percentile:
- The strategy synthesizes the insights from both AI-enhanced SuperTrend and Pivot Percentile analysis.
- It compares the trend direction indicated by the SuperTrend with the strength of the trend as suggested by the Pivot Percentile analysis.
2. Signal Generation:
- A trading signal is generated when both the AI-enhanced SuperTrend and the Pivot Percentile analysis agree on the trend direction.
- For instance, a bullish signal is generated when both the SuperTrend is bullish, and the Pivot Percentile analysis shows strength in bullish trends.
🔶 Risk Management and Filters
- ADX and DMI Filter: The strategy uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) and the Directional Movement Index (DMI) as filters to assess the trend's strength and direction.
- Dynamic Trailing Stop Loss: Based on the SuperTrend indicator, the strategy dynamically adjusts stop-loss levels to manage risk effectively.
This strategy stands out for its ability to combine real-time AI analysis with established technical indicators, offering traders a nuanced and responsive tool for navigating complex market conditions. The equations and algorithms involved are pivotal in accurately identifying market trends and potential trade opportunities.
█ Usage
To effectively use this strategy, traders should:
1. Understand the AI and Pivot Percentile Indicators: A clear grasp of how these indicators work will enable traders to make informed decisions.
2. Interpret the Signals Accurately: The strategy provides bullish, bearish, and neutral signals. Traders should align these signals with their market analysis and trading goals.
3. Monitor Market Conditions: Given that this strategy is sensitive to market dynamics, continuous monitoring is crucial for timely decision-making.
4. Adjust Settings as Needed: Traders should feel free to tweak the input parameters to suit their trading preferences and to respond to changing market conditions.
█Default Settings and Their Impact on Performance
1. Trading Direction (Default: "Both")
Effect: Determines whether the strategy will take long positions, short positions, or both. Adjusting this setting can align the strategy with the trader's market outlook or risk preference.
2. AI Settings (Neighbors: 3, Data Points: 24)
Neighbors: The number of nearest neighbors in the KNN algorithm. A higher number might smooth out noise but could miss subtle, recent changes. A lower number makes the model more sensitive to recent data but may increase noise.
Data Points: Defines the amount of historical data considered. More data points provide a broader context but may dilute recent trends' impact.
3. SuperTrend Settings (Length: 10, Factor: 3.0, MA Source: "WMA")
Length: Affects the sensitivity of the SuperTrend indicator. A longer length results in a smoother, less sensitive indicator, ideal for long-term trends.
Factor: Determines the bandwidth of the SuperTrend. A higher factor creates wider bands, capturing larger price movements but potentially missing short-term signals.
MA Source: The type of moving average used (e.g., WMA - Weighted Moving Average). Different MA types can affect the trend indicator's responsiveness and smoothness.
4. AI Trend Prediction Settings (Price Trend: 10, Prediction Trend: 80)
Price Trend and Prediction Trend Lengths: These settings define the lengths of weighted moving averages for price and SuperTrend, impacting the responsiveness and smoothness of the AI's trend predictions.
5. Pivot Percentile Settings (Length: 10)
Length: Influences the calculation of pivot percentiles. A shorter length makes the percentile more responsive to recent price changes, while a longer length offers a broader view of price trends.
6. ADX and DMI Settings (ADX Length: 14, Time Frame: 'D')
ADX Length: Defines the period for the Average Directional Index calculation. A longer period results in a smoother ADX line.
Time Frame: Sets the time frame for the ADX and DMI calculations, affecting the sensitivity to market changes.
7. Commission, Slippage, and Initial Capital
These settings relate to transaction costs and initial investment, directly impacting net profitability and strategy feasibility.
Indicator PanelHello All,
This script shows Indicator panel in a Table. Table.new() is a new feature and released today! Thanks a lot to Pine Team to add this new great feature! This new feature is a game changer!
The script shows indicator values for each symbol and changes background color of each cell by using current and last values of the indicators for each symbol. if current value is greater than last value then backgroung color is green, if lower than last value then red, if they are equals then gray.
You can choose the indicators to display. Number of columns in the table is dynamic and is changed by number of the indicators.
You can choose 5 different Symbols, 6 Indicators and 2 Simple or Exponential Moving averages, you can set type of moving averages and the lengths. You can also set the lengths for each Indicators.
Indicators:
- RSI
- MACD ( MACD and Signal and Histogram )
- DMI ( +DI and -DI + and ADX )
- CCI
- MFI
- Momentum
- MA with Length 50 (length can be set)
- MA with Length 200 (length can be set)
In this example RSI, MACD and MA 200 were chosen, you can see how table size changes dynamically:
Enjoy!
MESA Adaptive Ehlers Flow | AlphaNattMESA Adaptive Ehlers Flow | AlphaNatt
An advanced adaptive indicator based on John Ehlers' MESA (Maximum Entropy Spectrum Analysis) algorithm that automatically adjusts to market cycles in real-time, providing superior trend identification with minimal lag across all market conditions.
🎯 What Makes This Indicator Revolutionary?
Unlike traditional moving averages with fixed parameters, this indicator uses Hilbert Transform mathematics to detect the dominant market cycle and adapts its responsiveness accordingly:
Automatically detects market cycles using advanced signal processing
MAMA (MESA Adaptive Moving Average) adapts from fast to slow based on cycle phase
FAMA (Following Adaptive Moving Average) provides confirmation signals
Dynamic volatility bands that expand and contract with cycle detection
Zero manual optimization required - the indicator tunes itself
📊 Core Components
1. MESA Adaptive Moving Average (MAMA)
The MAMA is the crown jewel of adaptive indicators. It uses the Hilbert Transform to measure the market's dominant cycle and adjusts its smoothing factor in real-time:
During trending phases: Responds quickly to capture moves
During choppy phases: Smooths heavily to filter noise
Transition is automatic and seamless based on price action
Parameters:
Fast Limit: Maximum responsiveness (default: 0.5) - how fast the indicator can adapt
Slow Limit: Minimum responsiveness (default: 0.05) - maximum smoothing during consolidation
2. Following Adaptive Moving Average (FAMA)
The FAMA is a slower version of MAMA that follows the primary signal. The relationship between MAMA and FAMA provides powerful trend confirmation:
MAMA > FAMA: Bullish trend in progress
MAMA < FAMA: Bearish trend in progress
Crossovers signal potential trend changes
3. Hilbert Transform Cycle Detection
The indicator employs sophisticated DSP (Digital Signal Processing) techniques:
Detects the dominant cycle period (1.5 to 50 bars)
Measures phase relationships in the price data
Calculates adaptive alpha values based on cycle dynamics
Continuously updates as market character changes
⚡ Key Features
Adaptive Alpha Calculation
The indicator's "intelligence" comes from its adaptive alpha:
Alpha dynamically adjusts between Fast Limit and Slow Limit based on the rate of phase change in the market cycle. Rapid phase changes trigger faster adaptation, while stable cycles maintain smoother response.
Dynamic Volatility Bands
Unlike static bands, these adapt to both ATR volatility AND the current cycle state:
Bands widen when the indicator detects fast adaptation (trending)
Bands narrow during slow adaptation (consolidation)
Band Multiplier controls overall width (default: 1.5)
Provides context-aware support and resistance
Intelligent Color Coding
Cyan: Bullish regime (MAMA > FAMA and price > MAMA)
Magenta: Bearish regime (MAMA < FAMA and price < MAMA)
Gray: Neutral/transitional state
📈 Trading Strategies
Trend Following Strategy
The MESA indicator excels at identifying and riding strong trends while automatically reducing sensitivity during choppy periods.
Entry Signals:
Long: MAMA crosses above FAMA with price closing above MAMA
Short: MAMA crosses below FAMA with price closing below MAMA
Exit/Management:
Exit longs when MAMA crosses below FAMA
Exit shorts when MAMA crosses above FAMA
Use dynamic bands as trailing stop references
Mean Reversion Strategy
When price extends beyond the dynamic bands during established trends, look for bounces back toward the MAMA line.
Setup Conditions:
Strong trend confirmed by MAMA/FAMA alignment
Price touches or exceeds outer band
Enter on first sign of reversal toward MAMA
Target: Return to MAMA line or opposite band
Cycle-Based Swing Trading
The indicator's cycle detection makes it ideal for swing trading:
Enter on MAMA/FAMA crossovers
Hold through the detected cycle period
Exit on counter-crossover or band extremes
Works exceptionally well on 4H to Daily timeframes
🔬 Technical Background
The Hilbert Transform
The Hilbert Transform is a mathematical operation used in signal processing to extract instantaneous phase and frequency information from a signal. In trading applications:
Separates trend from cycle components
Identifies the dominant market cycle without curve-fitting
Provides leading indicators of trend changes
MESA Algorithm Components
Smoothing: 4-bar weighted moving average for noise reduction
Detrending: Removes linear price trend to isolate cycles
InPhase & Quadrature: Orthogonal components for phase measurement
Homodyne Discriminator: Calculates instantaneous period
Adaptive Alpha: Converts period to smoothing factor
MAMA/FAMA: Final adaptive moving averages
⚙️ Optimization Guide
Fast Limit (0.1 - 0.9)
Higher values (0.5-0.9): More responsive, better for volatile markets and lower timeframes
Lower values (0.1-0.3): Smoother response, better for stable markets and higher timeframes
Default 0.5: Balanced for most applications
Slow Limit (0.01 - 0.1)
Higher values (0.05-0.1): Less smoothing during consolidation, more signals
Lower values (0.01-0.03): Heavy smoothing during chop, fewer but cleaner signals
Default 0.05: Good noise filtering while maintaining responsiveness
Band Multiplier (0.5 - 3.0)
Adjust based on instrument volatility
Backtest to find optimal value for your specific market
1.5 works well for most forex and equity indices
Consider higher values (2.0-2.5) for cryptocurrencies
🎨 Visual Interpretation
The gradient visualization shows probability zones around the MESA line:
MESA line: The adaptive trend center
Band expansion: Indicates strong cycle detection and trending
Band contraction: Indicates consolidation or ranging market
Color intensity: Shows confidence in trend direction
💡 Best Practices
Let it adapt: Give the indicator 50+ bars to properly calibrate to the market
Combine timeframes: Use higher timeframe MESA for trend bias, lower for entries
Respect the bands: Price rarely stays outside bands for extended periods
Watch for compression: Narrow bands often precede explosive moves
Volume confirmation: Combine with volume for higher probability setups
📊 Optimal Timeframes
15m - 1H: Day trading with Fast Limit 0.6-0.8
4H - Daily: Swing trading with Fast Limit 0.4-0.6 (recommended)
Weekly: Position trading with Fast Limit 0.2-0.4
⚠️ Important Considerations
The indicator needs time to "learn" the market - avoid trading the first 50 bars after applying
Extreme gap events can temporarily disrupt cycle calculations
Works best in markets with detectable cyclical behavior
Less effective during news events or extreme volatility spikes
Consider the detected cycle period for position holding times
🔍 What Makes MESA Superior?
Compared to traditional indicators:
vs. Fixed MAs: Automatically adjusts to market conditions instead of using one-size-fits-all parameters
vs. Other Adaptive MAs: Uses true DSP mathematics rather than simple volatility adjustments
vs. Manual Optimization: Continuously re-optimizes itself in real-time
vs. Lagging Indicators: Hilbert Transform provides earlier trend change detection
🎓 Understanding Adaptation
The magic of MESA is that it solves the eternal dilemma of technical analysis: be fast and get whipsawed in chop, or be smooth and miss the early move. MESA does both by detecting when to be fast and when to be smooth.
Adaptation in Action:
Strong trend starts → MESA quickly detects phase change → Fast Limit kicks in → Early entry
Trend continues → Phase stabilizes → MESA maintains moderate speed → Smooth ride
Consolidation begins → Phase changes slow → Slow Limit engages → Whipsaw avoidance
🚀 Advanced Applications
Multi-timeframe confluence: Use MESA on 3 timeframes for high-probability setups
Divergence detection: Watch for MAMA/price divergences at band extremes
Cycle period analysis: The internal period calculation can guide position duration
Band squeeze trading: Narrow bands + MAMA/FAMA cross = high-probability breakout
Created by AlphaNatt - Based on John Ehlers' MESA research. For educational purposes. Always practice proper risk management. Not financial advice. Always DYOR.
TAIndicatorsThis library offers a comprehensive suite of enhanced technical indicator functions, building upon TradingView's built-in indicators. The primary advantage of this library is its expanded flexibility, allowing you to select from a wider range of moving average types for calculations and smoothing across various indicators.
The core difference between these functions and TradingView's standard ones is the ability to specify different moving average types beyond the default. While a standard ta.rsi() is fixed, the rsi() in this library, for example, can be smoothed by an 'SMMA (RMA)', 'WMA', 'VWMA', or others, giving you greater control over your analysis.
█ FEATURES
This library provides enhanced versions of the following popular indicators:
Moving Average (ma): A versatile MA function that includes optional secondary smoothing and Bollinger Bands.
RSI (rsi): Calculate RSI with an optional smoothed signal line using various MA types, plus built-in divergence detection.
MACD (macd): A MACD function where you can define the MA type for both the main calculation and the signal line.
ATR (atr): An ATR function that allows for different smoothing types.
VWAP (vwap): A comprehensive anchored VWAP with multiple configurable bands.
ADX (adx): A standard ADX calculation.
Cumulative Volume Delta (cvd): Provides CVD data based on a lower timeframe.
Bollinger Bands (bb): Create Bollinger Bands with a customizable MA type for the basis line.
Keltner Channels (kc): Keltner Channels with selectable MA types and band styles.
On-Balance Volume (obv): An OBV indicator with an optional smoothed signal line using various MA types.
... and more to come! This library will be actively maintained, with new useful indicator functions added over time.
█ HOW TO USE
To use this library in your scripts, import it using its publishing link. You can then call the functions directly.
For example, to calculate a Weighted Moving Average (WMA) and then smooth it with a Simple Moving Average (SMA) :
import ActiveQuants/TAIndicators/1 as tai
// Calculate a 20-period WMA of the close
// Then, smooth the result with a 10-period SMA
= tai.ma("WMA", close, 20, "SMA", 10)
plot(myWma, color = color.blue)
plot(smoothedWma, color = color.orange)
█ Why Choose This Library?
If you're looking for more control and customization than what's offered by the standard built-in functions, this library is for you. By allowing for a variety of smoothing methods across multiple indicators, it enables a more nuanced and personalized approach to technical analysis. Fine-tune your indicators to better fit your trading style and strategies.
EMA Crossover Strategy with Take Profit and Candle HighlightingStrategy Overview:
This strategy is based on the Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), specifically the EMA 20 and EMA 50. It takes advantage of EMA crossovers to identify potential trend reversals and uses multiple take-profit levels and a stop-loss for risk management.
Key Components:
EMA Crossover Signals:
Buy Signal (Uptrend): A buy signal is generated when the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50, signaling the start of a potential uptrend.
Sell Signal (Downtrend): A sell signal is generated when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50, signaling the start of a potential downtrend.
Take Profit Levels:
Once a buy or sell signal is triggered, the strategy calculates multiple take-profit levels based on the range of the previous candle. The user can define multipliers for each take-profit level.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 50% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 100% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 150% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 200% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
These levels are adjusted dynamically based on the previous candle's high and low, so they adapt to changing market conditions.
Stop Loss:
A stop-loss is set to manage risk. The default stop-loss is 3% from the entry price, but this can be adjusted in the settings. The stop-loss is triggered if the price moves against the position by this amount.
Trend Direction Highlighting:
The strategy highlights the bars (candles) with colors:
Green bars indicate an uptrend (when EMA 20 crosses above EMA 50).
Red bars indicate a downtrend (when EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50).
These visual cues help users easily identify the market direction.
Strategy Entries and Exits:
Entries: The strategy enters a long (buy) position when the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50 and a short (sell) position when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50.
Exits: The strategy exits the positions at any of the defined take-profit levels or the stop-loss. Multiple exit levels provide opportunities to take profit progressively as the price moves in the favorable direction.
Entry and Exit Conditions in Detail:
Buy Entry Condition (Uptrend):
A buy position is opened when EMA 20 crosses above EMA 50, signaling the start of an uptrend.
The strategy calculates take-profit levels above the entry price based on the previous bar's range (high-low) and the multipliers for TP1, TP2, TP3, and TP4.
Sell Entry Condition (Downtrend):
A sell position is opened when EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50, signaling the start of a downtrend.
The strategy calculates take-profit levels below the entry price, similarly based on the previous bar's range.
Exit Conditions:
Take Profit: The strategy attempts to exit the position at one of the take-profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, or TP4). If the price reaches any of these levels, the position is closed.
Stop Loss: The strategy also has a stop-loss set at a default value (3% below the entry for long trades, and 3% above for short trades). The stop-loss helps to protect the position from significant losses.
Backtesting and Performance Metrics:
The strategy can be backtested using TradingView's Strategy Tester. The results will show how the strategy would have performed historically, including key metrics like:
Net Profit
Max Drawdown
Win Rate
Profit Factor
Average Trade Duration
These performance metrics can help users assess the strategy's effectiveness over historical periods and optimize the input parameters (e.g., multipliers, stop-loss level).
Customization:
The strategy allows for the adjustment of several key input values via the settings panel:
Take Profit Multipliers: Users can customize the multipliers for each take-profit level (TP1, TP2, TP3, TP4).
Stop Loss Percentage: The user can also adjust the stop-loss percentage to a custom value.
EMA Periods: The default periods for the EMA 50 and EMA 20 are fixed, but they can be adjusted for different market conditions.
Pros of the Strategy:
EMA Crossover Strategy: A classic and well-known strategy used by traders to identify the start of new trends.
Multiple Take Profit Levels: By taking profits progressively at different levels, the strategy locks in gains as the price moves in favor of the position.
Clear Trend Identification: The use of green and red bars makes it visually easier to follow the market's direction.
Risk Management: The stop-loss and take-profit features help to manage risk and optimize profit-taking.
Cons of the Strategy:
Lagging Indicators: The strategy relies on EMAs, which are lagging indicators. This means that the strategy might enter trades after the trend has already started, leading to missed opportunities or less-than-ideal entry prices.
No Confirmation Indicators: The strategy purely depends on the crossover of two EMAs and does not use other confirming indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD), which might lead to false signals in volatile markets.
How to Use in Real-Time Trading:
Use for Backtesting: Initially, use this strategy in backtest mode to understand how it would have performed historically with your preferred settings.
Paper Trading: Once comfortable, you can use paper trading to test the strategy in real-time market conditions without risking real money.
Live Trading: After testing and optimizing the strategy, you can consider using it for live trading with proper risk management in place (e.g., starting with a small position size and adjusting parameters as needed).
Summary:
This strategy is designed to identify trend reversals using EMA crossovers, with customizable take-profit levels and a stop-loss to manage risk. It's well-suited for traders looking for a systematic way to enter and exit trades based on clear market signals, while also providing flexibility to adjust for different risk profiles and trading styles.
