ETHUSDT.5S交易观点
ETH-----Sell around 4565, target 4630 areaAugust 13th ETH Contract Technical Analysis:
Today, the daily chart closed with a small bullish candlestick pattern, with prices rising continuously. The price is above the moving average, and the accompanying indicator is forming a golden cross. The overall upward trend is very clear, and the price has experienced a slight retracement before continuing to rise and breaking through the high to a new all-time high. Therefore, we should continue to buy on pullbacks, but we should still be aware of the risk of pullbacks caused by news and data. The short-term hourly chart shows a low near 4565 and a high near 4685. The current candlestick pattern is continuous, but the accompanying indicator is overbought, so it is not advisable to buy directly. The future market trend is complex, so waiting for a pullback to buy is a safer option.
Today's ETH Short-Term Contract Trading Strategy:
Buy on pullbacks to 4565, with a stop loss at 4535 and a target of 4630.
缠论趋势背驰轻松做,盘整背驰为啥越做越乱?
上述分析中,6仍然是3买,扩展确认后,7就相当于类1卖,9相当于类2卖。
与趋势背驰不同的是,盘整走势的类1卖是在事后通过原来的盘整中枢扩展后才能绝对确认的,因此如果在6-7时,过多想到的是可能形成趋势,就往往会错过最佳的卖点。
与趋势背驰的同级别分解不一样,标准趋势背驰,1卖点就是同级别分解的连接点。而某级别盘整背驰走势结束后,其同级别分解连接点需要到盘整中枢扩展后才能确认,
而这时分界点开始的向下走势往往已经走了相当一段距离,甚至可以在类似12和14的地方随时结束,这就给操作带来难度。如果在这个位置被套,
只要不是有明显的下跌趋势将要形成的迹象,一般最好等再次的向上同级分解走势确认后的高点出来。
因此,上述走势图的当下解析最关键的是震荡操作和中枢扩展的预判。操作难度显然要大于趋势背驰走势。