交易观点
以太坊周期中结构分析与交易对策 想说图表分析只能当作地图参考,真正的问题还是核心基本功问题。
我想到大致以下4点要素;
一。识别买卖时机
1.不只是基础的一些信号,还需要结合市场背景去判断
2.买卖之前都清楚自身的风险报酬比例
二。技术性降低买卖成本
1.善用分批建仓/减仓,取个均值吃到中间值的利润
2.耐心的使用挂单和限价单,不要“我觉得”冲动的使用市价单成交
3.交易成本不仅是手续费、滑点、冲动心理成本
三。洞察和感知市场情绪
1.观察散户情绪极端化(恐慌、狂热指数等),可以借助逆向思维
2.一定要花些时间看看盘口
3.学习分辨“市场噪音”
四。严格遵守纪律和计划
1.花钱之前要制定交易计划(盈亏比、进出场位置、资金使用比例等),并且要严格执行
2.纪律就是为了抵抗和避免“我觉得、我认为、应该这样那样”情绪
3.这不是投注或者赌博,大家具备基本功以外比的还是“细节”和“执行力”
最后说这么多,还是要回到以太坊是涨还是跌?
以太坊当前大概率经过健康盘整后再创辉煌。
The Calm Before the Crypto StormHello everyone, this is EC.
After the period of high volatility we discussed in early August—the "meat grinder" mode—the market has entered a phase of consolidation. The surface appears calm, and the direction remains unclear.
This post today is a forward-looking strategic preview. I believe that beneath this quiet surface, a potential shorting opportunity worthy of our attention may be brewing.
1. The Window of Opportunity
Based on my system's observations, the market is currently at a critical junction where the balance of power between bulls and bears is shifting. A relatively clear, high-probability short signal may appear within the next two weeks.
Assets to Watch: BTC, ETH
Potential Direction: Short
2. Necessary Preparations
For any potential trade, advance planning is more important than impulsive action at the moment. If this opportunity materializes, we can begin to think about the following preparations now:
Expectations for the Time Horizon:
If a downtrend begins, we need to be mentally prepared: this may not be a short-term pullback but a larger-degree overall decline. This means the holding period could be longer than anticipated, requiring corresponding patience.
Reviewing Your Trading Toolkit:
Review and confirm that your trading tools are ready. This includes, but is not limited to, your platform selection, capital allocation, and position sizing strategy.
Conclusion:
This preview aims to share my personal thought process and to prepare for a potential scenario.
The market will eventually give us its answer. Until then, what we can do is remain patient and wait for that high-probability signal that aligns with our trading system. When the storm arrives, a prepared ship can sail further.
(Chart Attachment)
[Attach your latest ETHUSDT 1D chart
here, which objectively shows the current consolidation and waiting-for-direction state]
#BTC #ETH #Crypto #TradingStrategy #MarketOutlook #RiskManagement






















