The chart compares Copper (brown) and
USOIL (blue) — two of the most cyclical commodities, both highly sensitive to global growth.
Historically, they tend to move in tandem: when economic momentum improves, both rise; when demand weakens, both fall.
But today we see an unusual divergence —
-Copper holding near multi-year highs, supported by structural deficits and energy transition demand.
-Oil trading below $60, its lowest since 2021, signaling cyclical slowdown and weak liquidity.
This gap rarely lasts long. Either copper is too optimistic, or oil is too pessimistic — one of them is likely “lying.”
Which one will be right this time?
Historically, they tend to move in tandem: when economic momentum improves, both rise; when demand weakens, both fall.
But today we see an unusual divergence —
-Copper holding near multi-year highs, supported by structural deficits and energy transition demand.
-Oil trading below $60, its lowest since 2021, signaling cyclical slowdown and weak liquidity.
This gap rarely lasts long. Either copper is too optimistic, or oil is too pessimistic — one of them is likely “lying.”
Which one will be right this time?
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免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供,也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。
