Gold - Here is the perfect buying opportunity
The rally in the US-Dollar has been wreaking havoc on gold. Over the past two weeks, the metal has suffered one of its most devastating losses in 40 years. During the past 10 trading days, gold only had one single up day, with a total loss of more than 4%. Thursday’s decline was enough to also push it to a six-month low. Since end of January I have been warning to be patient and not to buy into gold´s strength around 1,350 USD. Instead I clearly and repeatedly stated that we should wait for a pullback within the ascending triangle towards the important uptrend line around 1,250 USD..
Now Gold is extremely oversold on its daily and weekly chart. Sentiment is touching extreme pessimistic levels and seasonality is about to change to the positive starting in early July. On top tonight´s CoT-report should very likely show that the commercials have covered a significant part of their shorts which would result in a contrarian and therefore bullish signal!
I don´t see much more downside for gold. Yesterday´s low at 1,246 USD has exactly touched the uptrend-line. Maybe it will take a couple more days until the bulls get the bounce started but prices below 1,240 USD remain very unlikely.
I think gold is a strong contrarian buy right here and now. We should at least get a strong bounce driven by a short squeeze in July which will take gold back towards 1,300 USD and its 200MA. If the ascending triangle formation indeed is in play, gold will continue to rally within the next three months (best seasonal cycle of the year) towards 1,365 USD.
I AM EXTREMELY BULLISH FOR GOLD AND RECOMMEND TO GO LONG
Now Gold is extremely oversold on its daily and weekly chart. Sentiment is touching extreme pessimistic levels and seasonality is about to change to the positive starting in early July. On top tonight´s CoT-report should very likely show that the commercials have covered a significant part of their shorts which would result in a contrarian and therefore bullish signal!
I don´t see much more downside for gold. Yesterday´s low at 1,246 USD has exactly touched the uptrend-line. Maybe it will take a couple more days until the bulls get the bounce started but prices below 1,240 USD remain very unlikely.
I think gold is a strong contrarian buy right here and now. We should at least get a strong bounce driven by a short squeeze in July which will take gold back towards 1,300 USD and its 200MA. If the ascending triangle formation indeed is in play, gold will continue to rally within the next three months (best seasonal cycle of the year) towards 1,365 USD.
I AM EXTREMELY BULLISH FOR GOLD AND RECOMMEND TO GO LONG
评论:
THE BOTTOM IS IN! This morning at 1,237.85 USD
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Gold is on track. The bottom is in... the summer rally has started
Gold is on track. The bottom is in... the summer rally has started
评论:
Gold´s ascending triangle is still in play... Weekly stochastic extremely oversold.. expect a summer rally back towards the horizontal resistance zone around 1,350 - 1,375 USD over the next two to three months at least
