Based on a simple study from LPL Financial's research blog, the market might favor an incumbent president right now. At least that's if it stays above its August 3rd level for four more weeks. Considering where the VIX closed today (new low since labor day), that could be a safe bet.
lplresearch.com/2020/06/29/why-stocks-can-predict-the-next-president/
lplresearch.com/2020/06/29/why-stocks-can-predict-the-next-president/
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